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Celje vs Aluminij Prediction, H2H & Stats

Slovenia: 1. SNL · Regular Season - 11
Celje

Celje

4th in table
DDWDW
Full time
1:0
HT 1 - 0
Aluminij

Aluminij

7th in table
LLLDW
10' M. Avdyli
19' P. Petrisko
55' A. Bekavac
80' M. Avdyli
83' A. Tutyskinas
90+2' R. Schaubach
Saturday, 10 October 2026
Celje
A. Jeric

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
6Celje wins
1Draws
2Aluminij wins
3.9Goals per game
78%Both scored
89%Over 2.5
02 Sep 20261. SNL Aluminij 0 - 2 Celje
26 Apr 20261. SNL Celje 5 - 0 Aluminij
05 Mar 20261. SNL Aluminij 2 - 1 Celje
01 Nov 20251. SNL Celje 2 - 1 Aluminij
17 Aug 20251. SNL Aluminij 2 - 3 Celje
30 Mar 20241. SNL Celje 2 - 2 Aluminij
04 Feb 2024Friendlies Clubs Celje 4 - 1 Aluminij
09 Dec 20231. SNL Aluminij 1 - 3 Celje
27 Sep 20231. SNL Celje 1 - 3 Aluminij

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Koper 14842 25:12 +13 28 WWWDW
2 Maribor 14662 21:14 +7 24 LLDWD
3 Olimpija Ljubljana 14644 16:12 +4 22 WDWDL
4 Celje 13553 17:12 +5 20 WDDWD
5 Bravo 14554 15:15 0 20 LDDLW
6 Nafta 14536 18:20 -2 18 LDDWL
7 Aluminij 14455 21:13 +8 17 WDLLD
8 Brinje-Grosuplje 14347 15:25 -10 13 DDLLW
9 Mura 14275 14:25 -11 13 DDDDD
10 Radomlje 13157 15:29 -14 8 LDDDL

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 20261. SNL Celje 4 - 0 Nafta W
28 Oct 20261. SNL Olimpija Ljubljana 1 - 1 Celje D
25 Oct 2026Cup Korotan Prevalje 0 - 2 Celje W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Celje 2 - 2 Red Bull Salzburg D
18 Oct 20261. SNL Maribor 0 - 0 Celje D
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Celje 0 - 3 Omonia Nicosia L
10 Oct 20261. SNL Celje 1 - 0 Aluminij W
20 Sep 20261. SNL Mura 0 - 0 Celje D
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 Celje L
12 Sep 20261. SNL Bravo 2 - 1 Celje L
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 20261. SNL Aluminij 5 - 0 Radomlje W
28 Oct 20261. SNL Nafta 0 - 0 Aluminij D
23 Oct 2026Cup Brežice 4 - 2 Aluminij L
16 Oct 20261. SNL Aluminij 0 - 1 Olimpija Ljubljana L
10 Oct 20261. SNL Celje 1 - 0 Aluminij L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Aluminij 0 - 0 NK Varazdin D
19 Sep 20261. SNL Maribor 2 - 2 Aluminij D
13 Sep 20261. SNL Mura 1 - 6 Aluminij W
05 Sep 20261. SNL Aluminij 0 - 0 Bravo D
02 Sep 20261. SNL Aluminij 0 - 2 Celje L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Celje Draw Aluminij
Value spotted: Aluminij win at 4.93 (model 55% vs market 18%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.3%
1-2 9.8%
0-1 9%
0-2 8.5%
1-3 6.2%
2-1 6%

Expected goals: 1.15 Celje · 1.9 Aluminij

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score58%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
33%
Attack
67%
46%
Defence
54%
32%
Goal model
68%
80%
Head to head
20%
72%
Goals
28%
51%
Overall
48%

Season numbers

1. SNL 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
4
Celje Aluminij

Side by side

Celje Aluminij
9 Played 10
3 Won 3
3 Drawn 4
3 Lost 3
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.1
1 / 1.4 Scored per game (home / away) 0.8 / 2.8
3 Clean sheets 2
2 Failed to score 5
2 Longest winning run 2
1-0 Biggest win 4-2
0-1 Biggest defeat 0-2
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Celje vs Aluminij: preview and prediction

Celje host Aluminij in the Slovenia 1. SNL (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 16:30 at Celje. Celje sit 4th in the table and Aluminij 7th.

Celje are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-D-W). Aluminij are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-D-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Celje won 6, Aluminij won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 goals in 89%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Celje and 1.9 for Aluminij. It gives Aluminij the edge (23% home win, 22% draw, 55% away win), 59% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Under 3.5 at odds of 1.56.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Celje vs Aluminij FAQs

What is the best prediction for Celje vs Aluminij?

Our top tip is Over/Under 3.5: Under 3.5 (1.56 odds).

Who will win Celje vs Aluminij?

Aluminij are favourites: our model gives Celje 23%, the draw 22% and Aluminij 55%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 58% chance in our model, and it happened in 78% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Celje vs Aluminij?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 16:30 at Celje.

Who is the referee?

A. Jeric is in charge of this game.