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CD Motagua vs Alianza Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: CONCACAF Central American Cup · Quarter-finals
CD Motagua

CD Motagua

DLWWD
Full time
3:0
HT 1 - 0
Alianza

Alianza

DLDDL
8' J. Sibrian
30' O. Discua
54' J. Macias
60' J. Monteagudo
86' A. Reyes
90' N. Orellana
90+2' C. Melendez
90+4' N. A. Rodriguez Arias
Thursday, 10 September 2026
Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa
C. Corado

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0CD Motagua wins
1Draws
0Alianza wins
2Goals per game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
05 Nov 2020CONCACAF League Alianza 1 - 1 CD Motagua

Recent form

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
23 Oct 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup CD Motagua 0 - 0 LD Alajuelense D
17 Oct 2026Liga Nacional Platense FC 0 - 2 CD Motagua W
10 Oct 2026Liga Nacional CD Motagua 2 - 1 Atlético Choloma W
20 Sep 2026Liga Nacional Real Espana 1 - 0 CD Motagua L
17 Sep 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup Alianza 0 - 0 CD Motagua D
13 Sep 2026Liga Nacional CD Motagua 1 - 0 Génesis W
10 Sep 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup CD Motagua 3 - 0 Alianza W
05 Sep 2026Liga Nacional Atletico Independiente 0 - 0 CD Motagua D
30 Aug 2026Liga Nacional CD Motagua 2 - 1 Olancho W
26 Aug 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup Municipal 1 - 1 CD Motagua D
1 W 5 D 2 L in the last 8
21 Oct 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup CD Marathon 2 - 1 Alianza L
17 Oct 2026Primera Division Cacahuatique 0 - 0 Alianza D
11 Oct 2026Primera Division Alianza 2 - 2 Inter D
09 Oct 2026Primera Division FAS 2 - 1 Alianza L
04 Oct 2026Primera Division Alianza 2 - 2 Firpo D
01 Oct 2026Primera Division Alianza 2 - 1 Platense W
27 Sep 2026Primera Division Alianza 1 - 1 Inca Aruba D
24 Sep 2026Primera Division Alianza 2 - 2 Fuerte San Francisco D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
CD Motagua Draw Alianza
Value spotted: Draw at 3.78 (model 30% vs market 24%) · Alianza win at 6.79 (model 22% vs market 13%)

Most likely scores

1-0 16.9%
0-0 13.5%
1-1 12.7%
2-0 10.6%
0-1 10.2%
2-1 7.9%

Expected goals: 1.25 CD Motagua · 0.75 Alianza

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams score38%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
47%
Form
53%
62%
Attack
38%
67%
Defence
33%
65%
Goal model
35%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
56%
Overall
43%

Season numbers

CONCACAF Central American Cup 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
2
CD Motagua Alianza

Side by side

CD Motagua Alianza
4 Played 4
2 Won 3
2 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
2 Goals scored per game 1.3
0.5 Goals conceded per game 1
1 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 1
2 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 2
1-0 Biggest win 2-1
- Biggest defeat 3-1
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

CD Motagua vs Alianza: preview and prediction

CD Motagua host Alianza in the World CONCACAF Central American Cup (Quarter-finals) on Thursday, 10th September 2026 at 04:06 at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa.

CD Motagua have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-D). Alianza are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-D-D-L).

In the last 1 meetings, CD Motagua won 0, Alianza won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for CD Motagua and 0.75 for Alianza. It gives CD Motagua the edge (48% home win, 30% draw, 22% away win), 32% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was BTTS Yes at odds of 2.04.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

CD Motagua vs Alianza FAQs

What is the best prediction for CD Motagua vs Alianza?

Our top tip is Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes (2.04 odds).

Who will win CD Motagua vs Alianza?

CD Motagua are favourites: our model gives CD Motagua 48%, the draw 30% and Alianza 22%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 38% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is CD Motagua vs Alianza?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 10th September 2026 at 04:06 at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa.

Who is the referee?

C. Corado is in charge of this game.