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CD Marathon vs Alianza Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: CONCACAF Central American Cup · Final
CD Marathon

CD Marathon

LLDWW
Full time
2:1
HT 2 - 1
Alianza

Alianza

DLDDL
5' H. Osorio
15' N. Messiniti
22' D. Ramirez
46' Y. Moreno
54' J. Rivera
64' M. Mier
77' E. Hernandez
78' J. A. Arriaga Chavez
Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula
S. Madrigal

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
1CD Marathon wins
0Draws
1Alianza wins
1Goals per game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
20 Aug 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup CD Marathon 0 - 1 Alianza
28 Aug 2024CONCACAF Central American Cup CD Marathon 1 - 0 Alianza

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
21 Oct 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup CD Marathon 2 - 1 Alianza W
15 Oct 2026Liga Nacional CD Marathon 2 - 1 Olancho W
11 Oct 2026Liga Nacional Lobos Upnfm 0 - 0 CD Marathon D
21 Sep 2026Liga Nacional Juticalpa 3 - 2 CD Marathon L
18 Sep 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup LD Alajuelense 3 - 1 CD Marathon L
13 Sep 2026Liga Nacional CD Marathon 1 - 0 CD Olimpia W
11 Sep 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup CD Marathon 2 - 2 LD Alajuelense D
06 Sep 2026Liga Nacional CD Marathon 5 - 0 Estrella Roja W
29 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Génesis 1 - 2 CD Marathon W
27 Aug 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup CD Marathon 3 - 0 Real Estelí W
1 W 5 D 2 L in the last 8
21 Oct 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup CD Marathon 2 - 1 Alianza L
17 Oct 2026Primera Division Cacahuatique 0 - 0 Alianza D
11 Oct 2026Primera Division Alianza 2 - 2 Inter D
09 Oct 2026Primera Division FAS 2 - 1 Alianza L
04 Oct 2026Primera Division Alianza 2 - 2 Firpo D
01 Oct 2026Primera Division Alianza 2 - 1 Platense W
27 Sep 2026Primera Division Alianza 1 - 1 Inca Aruba D
24 Sep 2026Primera Division Alianza 2 - 2 Fuerte San Francisco D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
CD Marathon Draw Alianza
Value spotted: CD Marathon win at 1.67 (model 61% vs market 54%)

Most likely scores

1-0 12.4%
2-0 11.5%
1-1 10.6%
2-1 9.8%
3-0 7.1%
0-0 6.7%

Expected goals: 1.85 CD Marathon · 0.85 Alianza

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
75%
Attack
25%
50%
Defence
50%
75%
Goal model
25%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
58%
Overall
41%

Season numbers

CONCACAF Central American Cup 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
3
CD Marathon Alianza

Side by side

CD Marathon Alianza
6 Played 6
2 Won 3
2 Drawn 1
2 Lost 2
1.5 Goals scored per game 0.8
1 Goals conceded per game 1.2
1.7 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0.7
3 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 2
1 Longest winning run 2
3-0 Biggest win 2-1
0-1 Biggest defeat 3-0
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

CD Marathon vs Alianza: preview and prediction

CD Marathon host Alianza in the World CONCACAF Central American Cup (Final) on Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 03:00 at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula.

CD Marathon have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-W-W). Alianza are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-D-D-L).

In the last 2 meetings, CD Marathon won 1, Alianza won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.85 goals for CD Marathon and 0.85 for Alianza. It gives CD Marathon the edge (61% home win, 22% draw, 17% away win), 51% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.14. We also like Draw No Bet: Home, Home Wins Either Half.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

CD Marathon vs Alianza FAQs

What is the best prediction for CD Marathon vs Alianza?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.14 odds).

Who will win CD Marathon vs Alianza?

CD Marathon are favourites: our model gives CD Marathon 61%, the draw 22% and Alianza 17%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is CD Marathon vs Alianza?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 03:00 at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula.

Who is the referee?

S. Madrigal is in charge of this game.