Carlisle vs Southend Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: National League · Regular Season - 7
Carlisle

Carlisle

14th in table
LWWDW
Full time
2:2
HT 1 - 0
Southend

Southend

3rd in table
LDWWL
4' G. Kelly
7' K. McAdam
43' V. Daley-Campbell
53' H. Cardwell
62' L. Duru
83' L. Chambers-Parillon
90+4' P. Omochere
90' K. McAdam
90' G. Kelly
Saturday, 12 September 2026
Brunton Park, Carlisle
Steven Copeland

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6games
3Carlisle wins
2Draws
1Southend wins
2.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
07 Mar 2026National League Carlisle 2 - 2 Southend
08 Nov 2025National League Southend 1 - 2 Carlisle
03 Apr 2021League Two Southend 0 - 2 Carlisle
19 Sep 2020League Two Carlisle 2 - 0 Southend
28 Feb 2015League Two Southend 2 - 0 Carlisle
23 Aug 2014League Two Carlisle 1 - 1 Southend

National League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Boreham Wood 131120 34:13 +21 35 WWWWW
2 Harrogate Town 13913 29:17 +12 28 WWWWL
3 Southend 13832 31:19 +12 27 WWDLW
4 Yeovil Town 13742 32:15 +17 25 WWDWW
5 Worthing 13733 27:18 +9 24 WWDWW
6 Altrincham 13805 20:19 +1 24 WLWWW
7 AFC Fylde 13724 24:18 +6 23 WLLWL
8 Barrow 13634 22:16 +6 21 WWWWW
9 AFC Hornchurch 13706 15:19 -4 21 WLWLW
10 FC Halifax Town 13625 22:15 +7 20 WWDLD
11 Kidderminster Harriers 13553 15:12 +3 20 DDLLD
12 Aldershot Town 13535 18:16 +2 18 LLLWL
13 Sutton Utd 13535 14:18 -4 18 LDLDD
14 Carlisle 13454 23:20 +3 17 DWWLL
15 Woking 13436 20:20 0 15 LWLWD
16 Forest Green 12435 19:22 -3 15 LDDLD
17 Eastleigh 13436 14:20 -6 15 LLDLW
18 Tamworth 13427 21:30 -9 14 LWWLW
19 Wealdstone 13337 17:24 -7 12 LLDWL
20 Hartlepool 13409 12:19 -7 12 WLLLL
21 Boston United 13337 15:23 -8 12 LLDLW
22 Scunthorpe 12318 15:21 -6 10 LLWLL
23 Solihull Moors 132110 13:35 -22 7 LLWLL
24 Gateshead 131111 8:31 -23 4 LLLLL

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Carlisle 2 - 1 Tamworth W
10 Oct 2026National League Carlisle 0 - 0 Kidderminster Harriers D
03 Oct 2026National League Aldershot Town 1 - 3 Carlisle W
29 Sep 2026National League AFC Fylde 0 - 2 Carlisle W
26 Sep 2026National League Carlisle 2 - 5 Woking L
19 Sep 2026National League Eastleigh 1 - 0 Carlisle L
15 Sep 2026National League Carlisle 1 - 1 Forest Green D
12 Sep 2026National League Carlisle 2 - 2 Southend D
05 Sep 2026National League Boreham Wood 2 - 1 Carlisle L
31 Aug 2026National League Carlisle 4 - 2 Scunthorpe W
5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Southend 1 - 2 Berkhamsted L
10 Oct 2026National League Boston United 1 - 2 Southend W
03 Oct 2026National League Southend 3 - 1 AFC Fylde W
30 Sep 2026National League Eastleigh 1 - 1 Southend D
26 Sep 2026National League Southend 2 - 4 Barrow L
19 Sep 2026National League Gateshead 1 - 6 Southend W
15 Sep 2026National League Southend 3 - 1 Tamworth W
12 Sep 2026National League Carlisle 2 - 2 Southend D
05 Sep 2026National League Southend 3 - 2 Yeovil Town W
31 Aug 2026National League Woking 1 - 1 Southend D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Carlisle Draw Southend
Value spotted: Southend win at 2.80 (model 40% vs market 32%)

Most likely scores

2-2 7.2%
1-2 6.7%
2-1 6.7%
1-1 6.3%
2-3 5.2%
3-2 5.2%

Expected goals: 2.15 Carlisle · 2.15 Southend

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals62%
Both teams score78%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
55%
Attack
45%
50%
Defence
50%
38%
Goal model
62%
71%
Head to head
29%
62%
Goals
38%
53%
Overall
46%

Season numbers

National League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
4
0
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
1
Carlisle Southend

Side by side

Carlisle Southend
6 Played 6
2 Won 4
2 Drawn 1
2 Lost 1
2.2 Goals scored per game 2
1.7 Goals conceded per game 1.3
3.3 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 2.3
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 3
4-1 Biggest win 3-2
2-3 Biggest defeat 1-3
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Carlisle vs Southend: preview and prediction

Carlisle host Southend in the England National League (Regular Season - 7) on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 17:30 at Brunton Park, Carlisle. Carlisle sit 14th in the table and Southend 3rd.

Carlisle are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-W). Southend have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-L).

In the last 6 meetings, Carlisle won 3, Southend won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 2.15 goals for Carlisle and 2.15 for Southend. It gives Carlisle the edge (40% home win, 20% draw, 40% away win), 80% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.35. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Carlisle vs Southend FAQs

What is the best prediction for Carlisle vs Southend?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.35 odds).

Who will win Carlisle vs Southend?

It looks very close: our model gives Carlisle 40%, the draw 20% and Southend 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 78% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.3 goals in total, with a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Carlisle vs Southend?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 17:30 at Brunton Park, Carlisle.

Who is the referee?

Steven Copeland is in charge of this game.