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Carlisle vs Southend Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: National League · Regular Season - 37
Carlisle

Carlisle

3rd in table
LWWDW
Full time
2:2
HT 2 - 0
Southend

Southend

6th in table
LDWWL
3' G. Kelly
29' J. Gubbins
36' R. Linney
65' A. Dallas
69' J. Golding
81' T. Thomas (Own Goal)
Saturday, 7 March 2026
Brunton Park, Carlisle

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
3Carlisle wins
1Draws
1Southend wins
2.2Goals per game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
08 Nov 2025National League Southend 1 - 2 Carlisle
03 Apr 2021League Two Southend 0 - 2 Carlisle
19 Sep 2020League Two Carlisle 2 - 0 Southend
28 Feb 2015League Two Southend 2 - 0 Carlisle
23 Aug 2014League Two Carlisle 1 - 1 Southend

National League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 York 463394 114:41 +73 108 DWWWW
2 Rochdale 463376 88:41 +47 106 DWWDL
3 Carlisle 462989 87:51 +36 95 WWWDD
4 Boreham Wood 4627910 95:58 +37 90 WWWLW
5 Scunthorpe 46231310 77:62 +15 82 LDWLD
6 Southend 46231211 83:47 +36 81 WLWWD
7 Forest Green 46231211 82:52 +30 81 WLWDW
8 FC Halifax Town 46201016 69:66 +3 70 WLDDW
9 Hartlepool 46181414 54:59 -5 68 LWWLD
10 Woking 46161515 69:54 +15 63 LWDWD
11 Tamworth 46171118 63:71 -8 62 WDLDW
12 Boston United 46151417 63:67 -4 59 WWDWD
13 Altrincham 4617623 55:65 -10 57 WWWLL
14 Solihull Moors 46141418 71:72 -1 56 WLDDW
15 Wealdstone 46151120 67:74 -7 56 LDDLW
16 Yeovil Town 4615625 48:68 -20 51 LLDLW
17 Eastleigh 46131122 57:80 -23 50 WDLWD
18 Gateshead 4614824 54:90 -36 50 LLWWD
19 Sutton Utd 46111421 59:79 -20 47 LLLLD
20 Aldershot Town 4613726 69:87 -18 46 LLLLL
21 Brackley Town 46101224 40:75 -35 42 LWLDL
22 Morecambe 4691126 66:103 -37 38 LLLDW
23 Braintree 4681226 38:76 -38 36 LLLDL
24 Truro City 4681028 42:72 -30 34 WLLDL

Top scorers

National League
1 I. HendersonRochdale 4goals 3assists 11apps
2 S. JohnsonFC Halifax Town 0goals 0assists 10apps
3 Michael DacostaHartlepool 0goals 0assists 2apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Carlisle 2 - 1 Tamworth W
10 Oct 2026National League Carlisle 0 - 0 Kidderminster Harriers D
03 Oct 2026National League Aldershot Town 1 - 3 Carlisle W
29 Sep 2026National League AFC Fylde 0 - 2 Carlisle W
26 Sep 2026National League Carlisle 2 - 5 Woking L
19 Sep 2026National League Eastleigh 1 - 0 Carlisle L
15 Sep 2026National League Carlisle 1 - 1 Forest Green D
12 Sep 2026National League Carlisle 2 - 2 Southend D
05 Sep 2026National League Boreham Wood 2 - 1 Carlisle L
31 Aug 2026National League Carlisle 4 - 2 Scunthorpe W
5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Southend 1 - 2 Berkhamsted L
10 Oct 2026National League Boston United 1 - 2 Southend W
03 Oct 2026National League Southend 3 - 1 AFC Fylde W
30 Sep 2026National League Eastleigh 1 - 1 Southend D
26 Sep 2026National League Southend 2 - 4 Barrow L
19 Sep 2026National League Gateshead 1 - 6 Southend W
15 Sep 2026National League Southend 3 - 1 Tamworth W
12 Sep 2026National League Carlisle 2 - 2 Southend D
05 Sep 2026National League Southend 3 - 2 Yeovil Town W
31 Aug 2026National League Woking 1 - 1 Southend D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Carlisle Draw Southend
Value spotted: Carlisle win at 2.34 (model 46% vs market 38%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.2%
2-1 9.3%
1-0 8.6%
1-2 7.3%
2-0 7.1%
0-1 6.8%

Expected goals: 1.65 Carlisle · 1.3 Southend

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
63%
Form
37%
57%
Attack
43%
42%
Defence
58%
55%
Goal model
45%
71%
Head to head
29%
64%
Goals
36%
58%
Overall
41%

Season numbers

National League 2025

When the goals come

8
0-15'
4
13
16-30'
7
6
31-45'
7
11
46-60'
7
9
61-75'
7
14
76-90'
19
6
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
5
13
31-45'
3
8
46-60'
7
3
61-75'
7
11
76-90'
8
Carlisle Southend

Side by side

Carlisle Southend
35 Played 32
22 Won 15
5 Drawn 8
8 Lost 9
1.8 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.2 Goals conceded per game 0.9
2.2 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.5
12 Clean sheets 13
5 Failed to score 4
4 Longest winning run 3
5-0 Biggest win 5-1
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
4/4 Penalties scored 1/1

Carlisle vs Southend: preview and prediction

Carlisle host Southend in the England National League (Regular Season - 37) on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 18:30 at Brunton Park, Carlisle. Carlisle sit 3rd in the table and Southend 6th.

Carlisle are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-W). Southend have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-L).

In the last 5 meetings, Carlisle won 3, Southend won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% and over 2.5 goals in 20%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Carlisle and 1.3 for Southend. It gives Carlisle the edge (46% home win, 24% draw, 30% away win), 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.39. We also like Over 2.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Carlisle vs Southend FAQs

What is the best prediction for Carlisle vs Southend?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.39 odds).

Who will win Carlisle vs Southend?

Carlisle are favourites: our model gives Carlisle 46%, the draw 24% and Southend 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 40% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Carlisle vs Southend?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 18:30 at Brunton Park, Carlisle.