Capalaba vs St George Willawong Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: Queensland Premier League · Regular Season - 17
Capalaba

Capalaba

12th in table
DWLLL
Full time
0:2
HT 0 - 1
St George Willawong

St George Willawong

11th in table
LWLLL
44'
66'
Saturday, 4 July 2026
John Frederick Park

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
1Capalaba wins
1Draws
1St George Willawong wins
3Goals per game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
28 Mar 2026Queensland Premier League St George Willawong 0 - 1 Capalaba
03 Aug 2024Queensland Premier League Capalaba 1 - 3 St George Willawong
28 Apr 2024Queensland Premier League St George Willawong 2 - 2 Capalaba

Queensland Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Brisbane Strikers 221732 52:18 +34 54 WWLWW
2 Broadbeach United 221642 51:20 +31 52 LWLWL
3 SC Wanderers 221075 46:28 +18 37 LWWWD
4 Ipswich 221057 35:30 +5 35 LLWDW
5 Robina City 22958 36:29 +7 32 WLLDW
6 Caboolture 22949 45:38 +7 31 LWDLD
7 Redlands United 22868 40:38 +2 30 WLDDD
8 Holland Park Hawks 229310 40:48 -8 30 WLWLD
9 Logan Lightning 228311 39:41 -2 27 LWLDW
10 North Star 226313 22:41 -19 21 WWWLD
11 St George Willawong 224117 13:52 -39 13 LLLWL
12 Capalaba 223217 21:57 -36 11 LLLWD

Recent form

1 W 1 D 8 L in the last 10
15 Aug 2026Queensland Premier League Capalaba 1 - 2 Robina City L
09 Aug 2026Queensland Premier League Ipswich 3 - 0 Capalaba L
31 Jul 2026Queensland Premier League North Star 1 - 0 Capalaba L
19 Jul 2026Queensland Premier League Capalaba 3 - 0 Holland Park Hawks W
11 Jul 2026Queensland Premier League Redlands United 1 - 1 Capalaba D
04 Jul 2026Queensland Premier League Capalaba 0 - 2 St George Willawong L
27 Jun 2026Queensland Premier League Broadbeach United 3 - 1 Capalaba L
23 Jun 2026Queensland Premier League Robina City 5 - 1 Capalaba L
20 Jun 2026Queensland Premier League Capalaba 0 - 5 SC Wanderers L
05 Jun 2026Queensland Premier League Logan Lightning 1 - 0 Capalaba L
3 W 0 D 7 L in the last 10
15 Aug 2026Queensland Premier League St George Willawong 1 - 6 SC Wanderers L
09 Aug 2026Queensland Premier League Logan Lightning 4 - 1 St George Willawong L
02 Aug 2026Queensland Premier League St George Willawong 0 - 1 Brisbane Strikers L
18 Jul 2026Queensland Premier League St George Willawong 1 - 0 Caboolture W
11 Jul 2026Queensland Premier League St George Willawong 0 - 2 Robina City L
04 Jul 2026Queensland Premier League Capalaba 0 - 2 St George Willawong W
27 Jun 2026Queensland Premier League St George Willawong 2 - 0 North Star W
19 Jun 2026Queensland Premier League Holland Park Hawks 2 - 1 St George Willawong L
13 Jun 2026Queensland Premier League Broadbeach United 4 - 1 St George Willawong L
07 Jun 2026Queensland Premier League St George Willawong 0 - 3 Redlands United L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Capalaba Draw St George Willawong
Value spotted: Capalaba win at 3.24 (model 39% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

1-1 7.7%
2-1 7.5%
1-2 7.5%
2-2 7.3%
3-1 4.9%
1-3 4.9%

Expected goals: 1.95 Capalaba · 1.95 St George Willawong

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams score73%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
43%
Attack
57%
52%
Defence
48%
61%
Goal model
39%
50%
Head to head
50%
44%
Goals
56%
50%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

Queensland Premier League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
5
6
46-60'
1
5
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
7
0-15'
2
8
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
7
10
46-60'
8
6
61-75'
7
12
76-90'
9
Capalaba St George Willawong

Side by side

Capalaba St George Willawong
16 Played 16
2 Won 2
1 Drawn 1
13 Lost 13
1 Goals scored per game 0.5
3 Goals conceded per game 2.4
1.3 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 0.4 / 0.6
1 Clean sheets 2
4 Failed to score 10
2 Longest winning run 1
2-1 Biggest win 2-0
0-5 Biggest defeat 1-5
0/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Capalaba vs St George Willawong: preview and prediction

Capalaba host St George Willawong in the Australia Queensland Premier League (Regular Season - 17) on Saturday, 4th July 2026 at 09:00 at John Frederick Park. Capalaba sit 12th in the table and St George Willawong 11th.

Capalaba are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-L-L). St George Willawong are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Capalaba won 1, St George Willawong won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.95 goals for Capalaba and 1.95 for St George Willawong. It gives Capalaba the edge (39% home win, 21% draw, 39% away win), 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.88. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Capalaba vs St George Willawong FAQs

What is the best prediction for Capalaba vs St George Willawong?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.88 odds).

Who will win Capalaba vs St George Willawong?

It looks very close: our model gives Capalaba 39%, the draw 21% and St George Willawong 39%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 73% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.9 goals in total, with a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Capalaba vs St George Willawong?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 4th July 2026 at 09:00 at John Frederick Park.