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Burton Albion vs Stevenage Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: League One · Regular Season - 36
Burton Albion

Burton Albion

17th in table
LDDWL
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 1
Stevenage

Stevenage

6th in table
WLWLD
44' J. Reid
49' Harvey White
69' Carl Piergianni
72' Jake Beesley
90+4' Jordan Houghton
Saturday, 7 March 2026
Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent
C. Hicks

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2Burton Albion wins
3Draws
3Stevenage wins
2.3Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
20 Dec 2025League One Stevenage 2 - 2 Burton Albion
18 Feb 2025League One Stevenage 0 - 1 Burton Albion
10 Dec 2024EFL Trophy Burton Albion 0 - 4 Stevenage
24 Aug 2024League One Burton Albion 0 - 0 Stevenage
13 Apr 2024League One Stevenage 1 - 2 Burton Albion
09 Dec 2023League One Burton Albion 1 - 2 Stevenage
30 Mar 2015League Two Burton Albion 1 - 1 Stevenage
25 Oct 2014League Two Stevenage 1 - 0 Burton Albion

League One table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Lincoln 4631105 89:41 +48 103 WWWDW
2 Cardiff 4627109 90:50 +40 91 LWWWD
3 Stockport County 46221113 71:58 +13 77 WLWLD
4 Bradford 46221113 58:51 +7 77 WDDDL
5 Bolton 4619189 70:52 +18 75 LDDWL
6 Stevenage 46211213 49:46 +3 75 WDWDL
7 Luton 46211114 68:56 +12 74 WWWDW
8 Plymouth 4622717 75:63 +12 73 WWDWD
9 Huddersfield 46181315 74:64 +10 67 WLDDD
10 Mansfield Town 46161713 62:50 +12 65 WDWWD
11 Wycombe 46171217 69:58 +11 63 WLLDL
12 Reading 46161515 64:60 +4 63 LDLLL
13 Blackpool 4617920 54:65 -11 60 WWWWL
14 Doncaster 4617920 50:69 -19 60 WDLWW
15 Barnsley 46151417 68:73 -5 59 LWLLD
16 Wigan 46141418 49:58 -9 56 LLDWW
17 Burton Albion 46131518 50:60 -10 54 DDDWD
18 Peterborough 4615823 64:68 -4 53 LDLDL
19 AFC Wimbledon 4615823 51:72 -21 53 LWLLL
20 Leyton Orient 46141022 59:71 -12 52 DLLDL
21 Exeter City 46121321 52:61 -9 49 LDDDW
22 Port Vale 46101224 36:61 -25 42 LWLLD
23 Rotherham 46101125 41:71 -30 41 LDLWL
24 Northampton 469829 39:74 -35 35 LLLLL

Top scorers

League One
1 D. BallardLeyton Orient 23goals 4assists 40apps
2 K. WoottonStockport County 19goals 3assists 49apps
3 J. WarehamExeter City 19goals 2assists 46apps
4 L. TolajPlymouth 18goals 8assists 33apps
5 J. MarriottReading 16goals 3assists 24apps
6 H. LeonardPeterborough 16goals 5assists 37apps
7 A. PepplePlymouth 16goals 2assists 35apps
8 D. McGoldrickBarnsley 15goals 3assists 37apps
9 A. FletcherBlackpool 15goals 4assists 43apps
10 J. TaylorWigan 15goals 1assists 40apps

Recent form

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026League One Wycombe 2 - 0 Burton Albion L
24 Oct 2026League One Burton Albion 2 - 1 Leyton Orient W
20 Oct 2026League One Burton Albion 0 - 0 Bradford D
17 Oct 2026League One Peterborough 2 - 2 Burton Albion D
10 Oct 2026League One Doncaster 1 - 0 Burton Albion L
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Grimsby 0 - 0 Burton Albion D
03 Oct 2026League One Burton Albion 1 - 3 Huddersfield L
26 Sep 2026League One Plymouth 0 - 1 Burton Albion W
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Burton Albion 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest U21 D
19 Sep 2026League One Burton Albion 2 - 2 Mansfield Town D
5 W 1 D 3 L in the last 9
31 Oct 2026League One Leicester 2 - 2 Stevenage D
24 Oct 2026League One Stevenage 0 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons L
20 Oct 2026League One Stevenage 3 - 0 Plymouth W
17 Oct 2026League One Bradford 2 - 0 Stevenage L
10 Oct 2026League One Stevenage 1 - 0 Wigan W
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Stevenage 2 - 1 Leicester W
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Walsall 1 - 6 Stevenage W
19 Sep 2026League One Leyton Orient 1 - 0 Stevenage L
10 Sep 2026League One Stevenage 2 - 1 Luton W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Burton Albion Draw Stevenage
Value spotted: Burton Albion win at 2.72 (model 40% vs market 34%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 10.5%
0-1 9.4%
2-1 8.5%
0-0 7.8%
1-2 7.6%

Expected goals: 1.35 Burton Albion · 1.2 Stevenage

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams score52%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
47%
Form
53%
46%
Attack
54%
62%
Defence
38%
50%
Goal model
50%
62%
Head to head
38%
42%
Goals
58%
51%
Overall
48%

Season numbers

League One 2025

When the goals come

4
0-15'
1
7
16-30'
7
5
31-45'
6
9
46-60'
9
9
61-75'
6
6
76-90'
7
6
0-15'
5
8
16-30'
6
8
31-45'
3
7
46-60'
4
9
61-75'
11
11
76-90'
7
Burton Albion Stevenage

Side by side

Burton Albion Stevenage
35 Played 33
10 Won 14
10 Drawn 9
15 Lost 10
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.1
1.2 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.2 / 1.1
9 Clean sheets 11
13 Failed to score 9
2 Longest winning run 4
5-1 Biggest win 2-0
0-4 Biggest defeat 0-1
3/3 Penalties scored 2/2

Burton Albion vs Stevenage: preview and prediction

Burton Albion host Stevenage in the England League One (Regular Season - 36) on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 16:00 at Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent. Burton Albion sit 17th in the table and Stevenage 6th.

Burton Albion have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-W-L). Stevenage have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-L-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Burton Albion won 2, Stevenage won 3 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Burton Albion and 1.2 for Stevenage. It gives Burton Albion the edge (40% home win, 27% draw, 33% away win), 47% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.45.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Burton Albion vs Stevenage FAQs

What is the best prediction for Burton Albion vs Stevenage?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.45 odds).

Who will win Burton Albion vs Stevenage?

Burton Albion are favourites: our model gives Burton Albion 40%, the draw 27% and Stevenage 33%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 52% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Burton Albion vs Stevenage?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 16:00 at Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent.

Who is the referee?

C. Hicks is in charge of this game.