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Burgos vs Almeria Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spain: Segunda División · Regular Season - 39
Burgos

Burgos

7th in table
LWWWD
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Almeria

Almeria

3rd in table
WWDWD
-5' Mario Cantero
19' Miguel Atienza
29' Miguel de la Fuente
45' Álex Muñoz
54' Dion Lopy
59' Léo Baptistão
Saturday, 9 May 2026
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos
S. Lax

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
2Burgos wins
0Draws
3Almeria wins
2.6Goals per game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
14 Dec 2025Segunda División Almeria 1 - 2 Burgos
21 Mar 2025Segunda División Burgos 3 - 1 Almeria
05 Oct 2024Segunda División Almeria 2 - 0 Burgos
30 Apr 2022Segunda División Burgos 0 - 2 Almeria
07 Nov 2021Segunda División Almeria 2 - 0 Burgos

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Racing Santander 4225710 90:61 +29 82 WDWWW
2 Deportivo La Coruna 4222119 65:44 +21 77 LWWWW
3 Almeria 4222812 81:63 +18 74 LDWDW
4 Malaga 42211011 75:52 +23 73 WDDWW
5 Las Palmas 4220139 57:40 +17 73 DLWDW
6 Castellón 42201210 70:51 +19 72 LDWWD
7 Burgos 42201210 48:33 +15 72 WWWDD
8 Eibar 42191013 52:40 +12 67 LWLWL
9 Sporting Gijon 4218717 60:54 +6 61 WWWLL
10 Cordoba 42171015 57:61 -4 61 DLLWW
11 AD Ceuta FC 42171015 51:63 -12 61 WWLDW
12 Albacete 42161115 56:55 +1 59 LWWWW
13 FC Andorra 42161016 62:54 +8 58 LLLWL
14 Granada CF 42121218 50:56 -6 48 LLLLW
15 Real Sociedad II 42121119 52:61 -9 47 DLDWD
16 Leganes 42111318 43:51 -8 46 WLDLL
17 Valladolid 42121020 44:57 -13 46 LLLWL
18 Cadiz 42111021 41:61 -20 43 LWDLD
19 Mirandes 42101022 47:69 -22 40 LWDLL
20 Huesca 4291122 41:63 -22 38 DLDLL
21 Cultural Leonesa 4291023 39:68 -29 37 DLWLD
22 Zaragoza 4281222 35:59 -24 36 LDLLL

Top scorers

Segunda División
1 Sergio ArribasAlmeria 26goals 7assists 45apps
2 ChupeMalaga 24goals 5assists 42apps
3 Andrés MartínRacing Santander 23goals 9assists 41apps
4 Asier VillalibreRacing Santander 16goals 2assists 31apps
5 Adri EmbarbaAlmeria 16goals 10assists 43apps
6 Jonathan DubasinSporting Gijon 16goals 4assists 37apps
7 Carlos FernándezMirandes 16goals 2assists 35apps
8 Gorka CarreraReal Sociedad II 15goals 3assists 38apps
9 J. OteroSporting Gijon 15goals 12assists 35apps
10 Álex CalatravaCastellón 15goals 8assists 43apps

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Segunda División Burgos 1 - 1 Castellón D
29 Oct 2026Copa del Rey Laredo 2 - 4 Burgos W
26 Oct 2026Segunda División FC Andorra 2 - 3 Burgos W
18 Oct 2026Segunda División Burgos 1 - 0 Sabadell W
12 Oct 2026Segunda División Burgos 0 - 1 Granada CF L
03 Oct 2026Segunda División Almeria 2 - 1 Burgos L
27 Sep 2026Segunda División Burgos 1 - 0 Eldense W
20 Sep 2026Segunda División Las Palmas 1 - 2 Burgos W
11 Sep 2026Segunda División Burgos 3 - 1 AD Ceuta FC W
06 Sep 2026Segunda División Oviedo 0 - 0 Burgos D
8 W 2 D 0 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Segunda División Eibar 1 - 1 Almeria D
27 Oct 2026Copa del Rey Castellonense 1 - 2 Almeria W
24 Oct 2026Segunda División Almeria 2 - 2 Oviedo D
17 Oct 2026Segunda División Real Sociedad II 2 - 4 Almeria W
11 Oct 2026Segunda División Almeria 3 - 0 Leganes W
03 Oct 2026Segunda División Almeria 2 - 1 Burgos W
27 Sep 2026Segunda División Mallorca 0 - 1 Almeria W
20 Sep 2026Segunda División Almeria 2 - 0 Celta de Vigo II W
12 Sep 2026Segunda División Cordoba 0 - 2 Almeria W
06 Sep 2026Segunda División Almeria 3 - 2 Cadiz W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Burgos Draw Almeria
Value spotted: Burgos win at 2.71 (model 46% vs market 35%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.5%
1-0 11.9%
2-1 9.1%
2-0 8.6%
0-1 8.6%
0-0 8.2%

Expected goals: 1.45 Burgos · 1.05 Almeria

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
30%
Attack
70%
67%
Defence
33%
64%
Goal model
36%
40%
Head to head
60%
38%
Goals
62%
46%
Overall
53%

Season numbers

Segunda División 2025

When the goals come

3
0-15'
13
7
16-30'
12
12
31-45'
11
6
46-60'
11
7
61-75'
11
10
76-90'
19
5
0-15'
7
4
16-30'
6
7
31-45'
9
5
46-60'
10
4
61-75'
6
7
76-90'
21
Burgos Almeria

Side by side

Burgos Almeria
38 Played 38
17 Won 21
11 Drawn 7
10 Lost 10
1.2 Goals scored per game 2.1
0.9 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.3 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 2.6 / 1.5
15 Clean sheets 7
13 Failed to score 4
3 Longest winning run 4
5-1 Biggest win 5-1
0-2 Biggest defeat 2-3
11/11 Penalties scored 12/13

Burgos vs Almeria: preview and prediction

Burgos host Almeria in the Spain Segunda División (Regular Season - 39) on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 15:15 at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos. Burgos sit 7th in the table and Almeria 3rd.

Burgos are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-D). Almeria are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-W-D).

In the last 5 meetings, Burgos won 2, Almeria won 3 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Burgos and 1.05 for Almeria. It gives Burgos the edge (46% home win, 26% draw, 27% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.48.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Burgos vs Almeria FAQs

What is the best prediction for Burgos vs Almeria?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.48 odds).

Who will win Burgos vs Almeria?

Burgos are favourites: our model gives Burgos 46%, the draw 26% and Almeria 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 40% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Burgos vs Almeria?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 15:15 at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos.

Who is the referee?

S. Lax is in charge of this game.