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Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction, H2H & Stats

Bulgaria: First League · Conference League Group - 35
Botev Plovdiv

Botev Plovdiv

8th in table
WWWLW
Full time
5:0
HT 1 - 0
Cherno More Varna

Cherno More Varna

6th in table
LWLWW
20' S. Petrov
50' Mascote
56' E. Kwateng
57' N. Iliev
77' S. Tsonov
87' Zakaria Tindano
Saturday, 16 May 2026
Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
L. Lubomirov

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
2Botev Plovdiv wins
2Draws
3Cherno More Varna wins
1.7Goals per game
43%Both scored
29%Over 2.5
09 May 2026First League Cherno More Varna 2 - 0 Botev Plovdiv
29 Nov 2025First League Botev Plovdiv 2 - 1 Cherno More Varna
27 Jul 2025First League Cherno More Varna 2 - 1 Botev Plovdiv
05 Apr 2025First League Cherno More Varna 1 - 1 Botev Plovdiv
25 Oct 2024First League Botev Plovdiv 1 - 0 Cherno More Varna
31 Mar 2024First League Botev Plovdiv 0 - 0 Cherno More Varna
26 Sep 2023First League Cherno More Varna 1 - 0 Botev Plovdiv

First League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Levski Sofia 302244 64:22 +42 70 DWDWW
2 Ludogorets 301794 57:20 +37 60 LDWWW
3 CSKA 1948 301857 50:31 +19 59 WWLWW
4 CSKA Sofia 301686 43:23 +20 56 DWWWL
5 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3011136 30:33 -3 46 DDWWW
6 Cherno More Varna 3011118 33:26 +7 44 LDLLW
7 Arda Kardzhali 3012810 33:27 +6 44 WLWWW
8 Botev Plovdiv 3011712 40:37 +3 40 WDWWL
9 Slavia Sofia 3010911 36:33 +3 39 DLWLD
10 Botev Vratsa 3091110 24:26 -2 38 WLDLW
11 Lokomotiv Sofia 3091011 40:39 +1 37 LWLLW
12 Spartak Varna 3051213 25:50 -25 27 DWLLL
13 Dobrudzha 307518 23:43 -20 26 LLDLL
14 Septemvri Sofia 307518 25:58 -33 26 DWDLL
15 Beroe 3041115 19:44 -25 23 DLLWL
16 Montana 303819 15:45 -30 17 DLLLL

Top scorers

First League
1 I. ChochevLudogorets 12goals 2assists 37apps
2 Everton BalaLevski Sofia 12goals 1assists 35apps
3 S. GodoyCSKA Sofia 9goals 1assists 31apps
4 M. DialloCSKA 1948 9goals 0assists 0apps
5 K. DuahLudogorets 8goals 1assists 19apps
6 B. KaragarenArda Kardzhali 7goals 2assists 36apps
7 Georg StojanovskiSpartak Varna 7goals 2assists 25apps
8 A. AralicaLokomotiv Sofia 7goals 2assists 17apps
9 Franklin MascoteBotev Plovdiv 7goals 0assists 30apps
10 P. StanićLudogorets 7goals 7assists 34apps

Recent form

7 W 0 D 2 L in the last 9
30 Oct 2026First League Lokomotiv Sofia 2 - 5 Botev Plovdiv W
23 Oct 2026First League CSKA 1948 4 - 0 Botev Plovdiv L
18 Oct 2026Cup Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0 - 4 Botev Plovdiv W
14 Oct 2026Pro Cup Botev Plovdiv 2 - 0 Botev Vratsa W
10 Oct 2026First League Botev Plovdiv 1 - 0 Slavia Sofia W
19 Sep 2026First League Septemvri Sofia 0 - 3 Botev Plovdiv W
13 Sep 2026First League Botev Plovdiv 2 - 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W
04 Sep 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 2 - 3 Botev Plovdiv W
30 Aug 2026First League Botev Plovdiv 1 - 3 Levski Sofia L
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026First League Cherno More Varna 1 - 0 Botev Vratsa W
27 Oct 2026First League Cherno More Varna 2 - 0 Septemvri Sofia W
21 Oct 2026Pro Cup Cherno More Varna 0 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv L
17 Oct 2026Cup Marek 0 - 3 Cherno More Varna W
11 Oct 2026First League Cherno More Varna 0 - 2 Levski Sofia L
04 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Ludogorets 5 - 0 Cherno More Varna L
26 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Cherno More Varna 1 - 0 Dunav Ruse W
19 Sep 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 1 - 1 Cherno More Varna D
11 Sep 2026First League Cherno More Varna 2 - 2 Lokomotiv Sofia D
06 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 Cherno More Varna L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Botev Plovdiv Draw Cherno More Varna
Value spotted: Cherno More Varna win at 2.68 (model 44% vs market 35%)

Most likely scores

0-1 14.6%
1-1 13.1%
0-0 11.6%
1-0 10.5%
0-2 9.1%
1-2 8.2%

Expected goals: 0.9 Botev Plovdiv · 1.25 Cherno More Varna

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Both teams score42%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
38%
Form
63%
55%
Attack
45%
40%
Defence
60%
31%
Goal model
69%
50%
Head to head
50%
45%
Goals
55%
43%
Overall
57%

Season numbers

First League 2025

When the goals come

4
0-15'
2
5
16-30'
7
6
31-45'
7
6
46-60'
3
8
61-75'
7
8
76-90'
10
2
0-15'
5
11
16-30'
4
6
31-45'
5
6
46-60'
6
8
61-75'
3
12
76-90'
5
Botev Plovdiv Cherno More Varna

Side by side

Botev Plovdiv Cherno More Varna
33 Played 34
11 Won 14
7 Drawn 12
15 Lost 8
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.3 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.1 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.1 / 1.1
9 Clean sheets 18
11 Failed to score 11
2 Longest winning run 2
5-0 Biggest win 4-0
0-5 Biggest defeat 0-4
1/1 Penalties scored 4/4

Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna: preview and prediction

Botev Plovdiv host Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria First League (Conference League Group - 35) on Saturday, 16th May 2026 at 17:00 at Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv. Botev Plovdiv sit 8th in the table and Cherno More Varna 6th.

Botev Plovdiv are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-W). Cherno More Varna are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W).

In the last 7 meetings, Botev Plovdiv won 2, Cherno More Varna won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 1.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% and over 2.5 goals in 29%.

Our goal model expects about 0.9 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.25 for Cherno More Varna. It gives Cherno More Varna the edge (27% home win, 29% draw, 44% away win), 36% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.68. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna FAQs

What is the best prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.68 odds).

Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?

Cherno More Varna are favourites: our model gives Botev Plovdiv 27%, the draw 29% and Cherno More Varna 44%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 42% chance in our model, and it happened in 43% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 16th May 2026 at 17:00 at Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv.

Who is the referee?

L. Lubomirov is in charge of this game.