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Botafogo vs Santos Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Serie A · Regular Season - 19
Botafogo

Botafogo

12th in table
LDWLL
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 0
Santos

Santos

9th in table
LWDDL
25' Huguinho
26' Thaciano
41' Lucas Emanuel
45+2' Matheus Martins
45+2' Álvaro Barreal
57' A. Barreal
78' Nahuel Ferraresi
90+7' Kadir Barría
90' K. Barria
Thursday, 16 July 2026
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Botafogo wins
4Draws
3Santos wins
2.7Goals per game
56%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
26 Oct 2025Serie A Botafogo 2 - 2 Santos
01 Jun 2025Serie A Santos 0 - 1 Botafogo
26 Nov 2023Serie A Botafogo 1 - 1 Santos
23 Jul 2023Serie A Santos 2 - 2 Botafogo
10 Nov 2022Serie A Botafogo 3 - 0 Santos
21 Jul 2022Serie A Santos 2 - 0 Botafogo
17 Jan 2021Serie A Santos 2 - 1 Botafogo
20 Sep 2020Serie A Botafogo 0 - 0 Santos
03 Nov 2019Serie A Santos 4 - 1 Botafogo

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo 332274 68:28 +40 73 WWWWD
2 Palmeiras 3320103 56:22 +34 70 DWWWW
3 Cruzeiro 3317610 52:46 +6 57 WWWLW
4 Fluminense 331599 52:42 +10 54 WLLLW
5 Atletico Paranaense 331599 50:40 +10 54 LDLWD
6 Bahia 3314118 48:42 +6 53 WDLWL
7 Atletico-MG 3314811 44:39 +5 50 LLWWD
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 44:39 +5 47 WWLDW
9 Santos 34121111 50:49 +1 47 LDDWL
10 Sao Paulo 3312714 39:39 0 43 LDWWL
11 Coritiba 3311913 40:50 -10 42 WLLDL
12 Botafogo 3310914 45:53 -8 39 LLWDL
13 Vasco DA Gama 3210814 40:49 -9 38 LWLDW
14 Vitoria 3310815 35:48 -13 38 LDDLW
15 Gremio 3391014 37:44 -7 37 WWLDD
16 Mirassol 3391014 37:47 -10 37 LDWLD
17 Corinthians 339915 36:42 -6 36 WLDLL
18 Internacional 3381114 37:42 -5 35 LWLDW
19 Remo 3361116 36:51 -15 29 WLDDD
20 Chapecoense-sc 324919 32:66 -34 21 LWLLL

Top scorers

Serie A
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21goals 3assists 31apps
2 PedroFlamengo 18goals 6assists 33apps
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 15goals 3assists 25apps
4 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 12goals 2assists 26apps
5 Samuel LinoFlamengo 11goals 9assists 32apps
6 Carlos ViníciusGremio 11goals 1assists 32apps
7 Luciano JubaBahia 11goals 1assists 29apps
8 Danilo SantosBotafogo 10goals 2assists 25apps
9 ReneVitoria 10goals 1assists 25apps
10 J. CalleriSao Paulo 10goals 2assists 27apps

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
29 Oct 2026Serie A Remo 2 - 1 Botafogo L
24 Oct 2026Serie A Internacional 3 - 0 Botafogo L
17 Oct 2026Serie A Botafogo 1 - 0 Chapecoense-sc W
12 Oct 2026Serie A Coritiba 1 - 1 Botafogo D
07 Oct 2026Serie A Botafogo 1 - 2 Vasco DA Gama L
19 Sep 2026Serie A Mirassol 2 - 0 Botafogo L
16 Sep 2026Serie A Botafogo 3 - 2 Gremio W
12 Sep 2026Serie A Botafogo 1 - 1 RB Bragantino D
06 Sep 2026Serie A Botafogo 0 - 0 Palmeiras D
30 Aug 2026Serie A Flamengo 3 - 0 Botafogo L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Serie A RB Bragantino 2 - 1 Santos L
28 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 0 - 0 Palmeiras D
25 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 1 - 1 Bahia D
18 Oct 2026Serie A Fluminense 1 - 2 Santos W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Santos L
08 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 2 - 2 Flamengo D
02 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Santos W
19 Sep 2026Serie A Remo 1 - 2 Santos W
16 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Atletico-MG 4 - 2 Santos L
13 Sep 2026Serie A Santos 2 - 1 Cruzeiro W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Botafogo Draw Santos

Most likely scores

2-1 8.9%
1-1 8.5%
2-2 6.9%
1-2 6.6%
3-1 6.2%
2-0 5.7%

Expected goals: 2.1 Botafogo · 1.55 Santos

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score69%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
42%
Form
58%
47%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
47%
58%
Goal model
42%
75%
Head to head
25%
64%
Goals
36%
56%
Overall
43%

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

7
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
6
4
31-45'
6
5
46-60'
7
5
61-75'
3
9
76-90'
4
6
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
5
4
31-45'
3
8
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
8
6
76-90'
8
Botafogo Santos

Side by side

Botafogo Santos
17 Played 18
6 Won 5
4 Drawn 6
7 Lost 7
1.8 Goals scored per game 1.4
1.8 Goals conceded per game 1.6
2.1 / 1.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 1.4
1 Clean sheets 4
2 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 1
4-0 Biggest win 3-1
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-3
2/2 Penalties scored 4/4

Botafogo vs Santos: preview and prediction

Botafogo host Santos in the Brazil Serie A (Regular Season - 19) on Thursday, 16th July 2026 at 23:30 at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro. Botafogo sit 12th in the table and Santos 9th.

Botafogo are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-L-L). Santos have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Botafogo won 2, Santos won 3 and 4 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 2.1 goals for Botafogo and 1.55 for Santos. It gives Botafogo the edge (50% home win, 21% draw, 29% away win), 70% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.30.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Botafogo vs Santos FAQs

What is the best prediction for Botafogo vs Santos?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.30 odds).

Who will win Botafogo vs Santos?

Botafogo are favourites: our model gives Botafogo 50%, the draw 21% and Santos 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 69% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Botafogo vs Santos?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 16th July 2026 at 23:30 at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro.

Who is the referee?

Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil is in charge of this game.