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Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

2nd in table
LDWWW
Full time
3:0
HT 1 - 0
SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07

13th in table
WLDWL
5' Fábio Silva
39' Laurin Ulrich
66' Jobe Bellingham
80' Felix Nmecha
89' Felix Nmecha
Saturday, 12 September 2026
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Harm Osmers, Germany

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
4Borussia Dortmund wins
3Draws
0SC Paderborn 07 wins
5Goals per game
86%Both scored
86%Over 2.5
02 Feb 2021DFB Pokal Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 SC Paderborn 07
28 Aug 2020Friendlies Clubs Borussia Dortmund 1 - 1 SC Paderborn 07
31 May 2020Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 1 - 6 Borussia Dortmund
22 Nov 2019Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 3 - 3 SC Paderborn 07
28 Oct 2015DFB Pokal Borussia Dortmund 7 - 1 SC Paderborn 07
18 Apr 2015Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07
22 Nov 2014Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 2 - 2 Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 7520 25:6 +19 17 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 7520 12:4 +8 17 WDDWW
3 SC Freiburg 7412 16:9 +7 13 LLWDW
4 Bayer Leverkusen 7412 16:12 +4 13 LWWWD
5 RB Leipzig 7403 20:11 +9 12 WLWLW
6 Werder Bremen 7331 15:14 +1 12 WDDWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 7313 16:13 +3 10 LWLWL
8 SV Elversberg 7313 12:15 -3 10 LWLDL
9 FC Augsburg 7232 17:13 +4 9 DLDLD
10 1899 Hoffenheim 7304 14:14 0 9 WWLLW
11 Hamburger SV 7304 6:16 -10 9 LWWWL
12 1. FC Köln 7223 8:11 -3 8 DLWLD
13 SC Paderborn 07 7223 6:9 -3 8 WDLWL
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 7223 10:17 -7 8 LWLDW
15 VfB Stuttgart 7205 10:13 -3 6 LLWLL
16 FC Schalke 04 7133 4:7 -3 6 DLLDW
17 Union Berlin 7133 6:18 -12 6 DDWLL
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 7106 11:22 -11 3 WLLLL

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen 8goals 0assists 7apps
2 M. OliseBayern München 6goals 3assists 7apps
3 P. SchickBayer Leverkusen 6goals 2assists 7apps
4 Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt 5goals 1assists 7apps
5 P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 5goals 0assists 7apps
6 C. NkunkuRB Leipzig 4goals 1assists 6apps
7 L. DíazBayern München 4goals 1assists 6apps
8 Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg 4goals 0assists 6apps
9 H. KaneBayern München 4goals 5assists 7apps
10 M. GregoritschFC Augsburg 4goals 0assists 7apps

Recent form

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Werder Bremen W
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Sabah FA 1 - 2 Borussia Dortmund W
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 0 - 0 Borussia Dortmund D
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Bodo/Glimt 1 - 0 Borussia Dortmund L
09 Oct 2026Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 2 - 2 Werder Bremen D
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 Borussia Dortmund W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 W
08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Villarreal W
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Borussia Dortmund W
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026DFB Pokal SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 VfB Stuttgart L
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 1 - 0 Hamburger SV W
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Werder Bremen 2 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 D
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart L
30 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs DC United 0 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 W
20 Sep 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 3 - 1 1899 Hoffenheim W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 L
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 SC Freiburg L
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 D
23 Aug 2026DFB Pokal Phönix Lübeck 2 - 4 SC Paderborn 07 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Borussia Dortmund Draw SC Paderborn 07
Value spotted: Draw at 6.91 (model 28% vs market 14%) · SC Paderborn 07 win at 11.10 (model 32% vs market 9%)

Most likely scores

1-1 13.1%
1-0 11.9%
0-1 10.5%
0-0 9.5%
2-1 8.2%
2-0 7.5%

Expected goals: 1.25 Borussia Dortmund · 1.1 SC Paderborn 07

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
86%
Form
14%
100%
Attack
0%
33%
Defence
67%
0%
Goal model
0%
85%
Head to head
15%
71%
Goals
29%
68%
Overall
31%

Season numbers

Bundesliga 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Borussia Dortmund SC Paderborn 07

Side by side

Borussia Dortmund SC Paderborn 07
2 Played 2
2 Won 0
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 1
2.5 Goals scored per game 0
1 Goals conceded per game 0.5
2 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 0
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 0
2-0 Biggest win -
- Biggest defeat 0-1
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07: preview and prediction

Borussia Dortmund host SC Paderborn 07 in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 3) on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 14:30 at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund. Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd in the table and SC Paderborn 07 13th.

Borussia Dortmund are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-W). SC Paderborn 07 have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-W-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 4, SC Paderborn 07 won 0 and 3 ended level. These games average 5 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% and over 2.5 goals in 86%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.1 for SC Paderborn 07. It gives Borussia Dortmund the edge (40% home win, 28% draw, 32% away win), 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win. We also like Over 2.5, Over 0.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 FAQs

What is the best prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Home Win.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?

Borussia Dortmund are favourites: our model gives Borussia Dortmund 40%, the draw 28% and SC Paderborn 07 32%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 86% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 14:30 at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund.

Who is the referee?

Harm Osmers, Germany is in charge of this game.