Birmingham vs Brentford Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: League Cup · Round of 64
Birmingham

Birmingham

WWLWW
Full time
1:6
HT 1 - 3
Brentford

Brentford

DLDLW
6' C. Wilson
26' Jannik Schuster
28' D. Gray
35' A. Hickey
37' Jhon Solís
40' N. Collins
55' Bright Osayi-Samuel
70' M. Damsgaard
73' I. Thiago
77' N. Collins
Tuesday, 25 August 2026
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham
T. Robinson

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Birmingham wins
4Draws
3Brentford wins
1.9Goals per game
33%Both scored
22%Over 2.5
06 Apr 2021Championship Brentford 0 - 0 Birmingham
12 Sep 2020Championship Birmingham 1 - 0 Brentford
15 Feb 2020Championship Birmingham 1 - 1 Brentford
03 Aug 2019Championship Brentford 0 - 1 Birmingham
29 Dec 2018Championship Birmingham 0 - 0 Brentford
02 Oct 2018Championship Brentford 1 - 1 Birmingham
20 Feb 2018Championship Brentford 5 - 0 Birmingham
01 Nov 2017Championship Birmingham 0 - 2 Brentford
02 Jan 2017Championship Birmingham 1 - 3 Brentford

Top scorers

League Cup
1 T. BarryEverton 4goals 2assists 3apps
2 H. LeonardPeterborough 4goals 0assists 3apps
3 R. ClearyBarnsley 3goals 1assists 3apps
4 C. EvansFleetwood Town 3goals 0assists 4apps
5 V. CastellanosWest Ham 3goals 0assists 3apps
6 C. WilsonBrentford 3goals 0assists 3apps
7 D. WelbeckChelsea 3goals 0assists 3apps
8 R. ChristieBournemouth 3goals 0assists 2apps
9 Y. SalechCardiff 3goals 1assists 2apps
10 J. BowenWest Ham 2goals 1assists 3apps

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Championship Birmingham 3 - 0 Millwall W
31 Oct 2026Championship Lincoln 1 - 3 Birmingham W
24 Oct 2026Championship Cardiff 1 - 0 Birmingham L
17 Oct 2026Championship Birmingham 3 - 0 QPR W
13 Oct 2026Championship Birmingham 4 - 0 Preston W
10 Oct 2026Championship West Brom 0 - 1 Birmingham W
19 Sep 2026Championship Birmingham 2 - 2 Middlesbrough D
12 Sep 2026Championship Derby 1 - 2 Birmingham W
09 Sep 2026Championship Norwich 2 - 1 Birmingham L
06 Sep 2026Championship Birmingham 2 - 2 Wolves D
3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Brentford 2 - 0 Nottingham Forest W
28 Oct 2026League Cup Sunderland 3 - 2 Brentford L
25 Oct 2026Premier League Hull City 1 - 1 Brentford D
17 Oct 2026Premier League Brentford 1 - 2 Liverpool L
10 Oct 2026Premier League Aston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford D
18 Sep 2026Premier League Brentford 3 - 0 Chelsea W
15 Sep 2026League Cup Reading 1 - 2 Brentford W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Bournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford D
05 Sep 2026Premier League Brentford 1 - 1 Sunderland D
30 Aug 2026Premier League Leeds 1 - 1 Brentford D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Birmingham Draw Brentford
Value spotted: Birmingham win at 4.00 (model 32% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

0-1 13.5%
1-1 13.5%
0-0 12.2%
1-0 12.2%
0-2 7.4%
1-2 7.4%

Expected goals: 1 Birmingham · 1.1 Brentford

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams score42%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
100%
Form
0%
100%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
75%
Head to head
25%
75%
Goals
25%
75%
Overall
25%

Season numbers

League Cup 2026

Birmingham vs Brentford: preview and prediction

Birmingham host Brentford in the England League Cup (Round of 64) on Tuesday, 25th August 2026 at 20:00 at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham.

Birmingham are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-W). Brentford have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-D-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Birmingham won 2, Brentford won 3 and 4 ended level. These games average 1.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 22%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Birmingham and 1.1 for Brentford. It gives Brentford the edge (32% home win, 30% draw, 38% away win), 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.95. We also like Over 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Birmingham vs Brentford FAQs

What is the best prediction for Birmingham vs Brentford?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.95 odds).

Who will win Birmingham vs Brentford?

Brentford are favourites: our model gives Birmingham 32%, the draw 30% and Brentford 38%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 42% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.1 goals in total, with a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Birmingham vs Brentford?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 25th August 2026 at 20:00 at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham.

Who is the referee?

T. Robinson is in charge of this game.