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BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja Prediction, H2H & Stats

Latvia: Virsliga · Regular Season - 22
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

4th in table
DWWWW
Full time
3:1
HT 1 - 0
FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja

5th in table
DLWDD
41' M. Sylla
50' M. Sylla
56' M. Sylla
78' A. Haidara
90' D. Gueye
Saturday, 4 July 2026
Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
A. Anufrijevs

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2BFC Daugavpils wins
2Draws
4FK Liepaja wins
3.5Goals per game
88%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
17 May 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 2 - 1 BFC Daugavpils
03 Apr 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 FK Liepaja
02 Nov 2025Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 FK Liepaja
16 Aug 2025Cup BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 FK Liepaja
09 Aug 2025Virsliga FK Liepaja 2 - 1 BFC Daugavpils
13 Jun 2025Virsliga FK Liepaja 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils
19 Apr 2025Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 4 - 2 FK Liepaja
09 Nov 2024Virsliga FK Liepaja 3 - 3 BFC Daugavpils

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Rīgas FS 352852 87:24 +63 89 WWWWW
2 Riga 352582 95:33 +62 83 DWWWW
3 Auda 352177 61:38 +23 70 WWLWD
4 BFC Daugavpils 3514912 42:37 +5 51 WWWWD
5 FK Liepaja 3513913 49:49 0 48 DDWLD
6 Super Nova 3511618 35:53 -18 39 DLLLW
7 FS Jelgava 358819 37:61 -24 32 LLLLL
8 Grobiņa 3561118 27:64 -37 29 LLWLD
9 Tukums 3551020 44:67 -23 25 LDLLD
10 Ogre United 354724 34:85 -51 19 DLLLW

Top scorers

Virsliga
1 M. BadamosiRiga 4goals 0assists 32apps
2 E. DašķevičsAuda 4goals 0assists 29apps
3 PauloRiga 3goals 1assists 15apps
4 Ž. LipuščekRīgas FS 3goals 0assists 34apps
5 M. OšsSuper Nova 3goals 0assists 32apps
6 Filip HašekFS Jelgava 3goals 0assists 30apps
7 A. AppiahAuda 3goals 1assists 16apps
8 D. KiwindaBFC Daugavpils 2goals 2assists 21apps
9 D. LemajićRīgas FS 2goals 1assists 30apps
10 A. HaïdaraFK Liepaja 2goals 0assists 33apps

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 Tukums W
25 Oct 2026Virsliga FS Jelgava 0 - 1 BFC Daugavpils W
19 Oct 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 1 Auda W
11 Oct 2026Virsliga Ogre United 1 - 2 BFC Daugavpils W
19 Sep 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D
13 Sep 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 Rīgas FS L
07 Sep 2026Virsliga Riga 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils D
02 Sep 2026Cup BFC Daugavpils 2 - 2 Auda D
29 Aug 2026Virsliga Grobiņa 1 - 0 BFC Daugavpils L
22 Aug 2026Virsliga Super Nova 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D
3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 3 - 3 Super Nova D
24 Oct 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 0 - 0 Tukums D
18 Oct 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 3 - 0 FS Jelgava W
12 Oct 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 2 - 3 Auda L
19 Sep 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D
11 Sep 2026Virsliga Ogre United 2 - 2 FK Liepaja D
07 Sep 2026Virsliga Rīgas FS 0 - 0 FK Liepaja D
31 Aug 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 3 - 2 Riga W
25 Aug 2026Virsliga Auda 1 - 0 FK Liepaja L
21 Aug 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 3 - 1 Grobiņa W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
BFC Daugavpils Draw FK Liepaja
Value spotted: BFC Daugavpils win at 2.62 (model 52% vs market 34%)

Most likely scores

1-0 16.3%
1-1 12.2%
0-0 11.6%
2-0 11.4%
0-1 8.7%
2-1 8.6%

Expected goals: 1.4 BFC Daugavpils · 0.75 FK Liepaja

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Both teams score40%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
33%
Attack
67%
67%
Defence
33%
71%
Goal model
29%
20%
Head to head
80%
43%
Goals
57%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

Virsliga 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
4
2
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
7
11
46-60'
6
3
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
6
0
0-15'
8
3
16-30'
4
3
31-45'
4
9
46-60'
4
4
61-75'
3
7
76-90'
8
BFC Daugavpils FK Liepaja

Side by side

BFC Daugavpils FK Liepaja
21 Played 21
6 Won 8
6 Drawn 4
9 Lost 9
1 Goals scored per game 1.3
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.5
0.8 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 0.7
5 Clean sheets 3
6 Failed to score 7
4 Longest winning run 2
3-1 Biggest win 4-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
2/3 Penalties scored 7/7

BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja: preview and prediction

BFC Daugavpils host FK Liepaja in the Latvia Virsliga (Regular Season - 22) on Saturday, 4th July 2026 at 14:00 at Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils. BFC Daugavpils sit 4th in the table and FK Liepaja 5th.

BFC Daugavpils are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-W). FK Liepaja have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-D-D).

In the last 8 meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 2, FK Liepaja won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 88% and over 2.5 goals in 75%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 0.75 for FK Liepaja. It gives BFC Daugavpils the edge (52% home win, 27% draw, 20% away win), 36% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.51. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja FAQs

What is the best prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.51 odds).

Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja?

BFC Daugavpils are favourites: our model gives BFC Daugavpils 52%, the draw 27% and FK Liepaja 20%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 40% chance in our model, and it happened in 88% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 4th July 2026 at 14:00 at Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils.

Who is the referee?

A. Anufrijevs is in charge of this game.