Bayern München vs Arsenal Prediction, H2H & Stats
World: UEFA Champions League
· League Stage - 3
13'
Kai Havertz
25'
Eberechi Eze
35'
Alphonso Davies
39'
Ezri Konsa
61'
Harry Kane (Penalty)
82'
Declan Rice
Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Allianz Arena, Munich
Davide Massa
Head to head
Last 10 meetings10games
4Bayern München wins
3Draws
3Arsenal wins
3.6Goals per game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
26 Nov 2025UEFA Champions League
Arsenal
3 - 1
Bayern München
3 - 1
Bayern München
17 Apr 2024UEFA Champions League
Bayern Munich
1 - 0
Arsenal
1 - 0
Arsenal
09 Apr 2024UEFA Champions League
Arsenal
2 - 2
Bayern Munich
2 - 2
Bayern Munich
18 Jul 2019International Champions Cup
Arsenal
2 - 1
Bayern Munich
2 - 1
Bayern Munich
19 Jul 2017International Champions Cup
Bayern Munich
1 - 1
Arsenal
1 - 1
Arsenal
07 Mar 2017UEFA Champions League
Arsenal
1 - 5
Bayern Munich
1 - 5
Bayern Munich
15 Feb 2017UEFA Champions League
Bayern Munich
5 - 1
Arsenal
5 - 1
Arsenal
04 Nov 2015UEFA Champions League
Bayern Munich
5 - 1
Arsenal
5 - 1
Arsenal
20 Oct 2015UEFA Champions League
Arsenal
2 - 0
Bayern Munich
2 - 0
Bayern Munich
11 Mar 2014UEFA Champions League
Bayern Munich
1 - 1
Arsenal
1 - 1
Arsenal
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Liverpool |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 |  VfB Stuttgart |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 6 |
| 5 |  Barcelona |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 |
| 6 |  Manchester City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Sporting CP |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 | Arsenal |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Real Betis |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Borussia Dortmund |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 | Bayern München |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 4 |
| 13 |  AS Roma |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Shakhtar Donetsk |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 15 |  Atletico Madrid |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 |
| 16 |  PSV Eindhoven |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |  Como |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Manchester United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |  Villarreal |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Club Brugge KV |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Lens |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  RB Leipzig |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 24 |  Feyenoord |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | |
| 26 |  Bodo/Glimt |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 27 |  AEK Athens FC |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |  Fenerbahçe |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 29 |  Viking |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 |  Slavia Praha |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 |  Inter |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  Lask Linz |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 33 |  FC Porto |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |  Lille |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Galatasaray |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 |
Top scorers
UEFA Champions League
1
J. Mickels
Sabah FA
4goals
J. MickelsSabah FA
4goals
2
E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart
4goals
E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart
4goals
3
E. HaalandManchester City
4goals
E. HaalandManchester City
4goals
4
S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund
4goals
S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund
4goals
5
TaliscaFenerbahçe
4goals
TaliscaFenerbahçe
4goals
6
N. TresoldiClub Brugge KV
4goals
N. TresoldiClub Brugge KV
4goals
7
O. DembéléParis Saint Germain
3goals
O. DembéléParis Saint Germain
3goals
8
M. GreenwoodFenerbahçe
3goals
M. GreenwoodFenerbahçe
3goals
9
P. FodenManchester City
3goals
P. FodenManchester City
3goals
10
V. SimićSabah FA
3goals
V. SimićSabah FA
3goals
Recent form
7 W
3 D
0 L
in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga
Bayern München
6 - 1
RB Leipzig
W
6 - 1
RB Leipzig
W
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League
Viking
3 - 3
Bayern München
D
3 - 3
Bayern München
D
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
2 - 2
Bayern München
D
2 - 2
Bayern München
D
18 Sep 2026Bundesliga
Bayern München
7 - 0
Union Berlin
W
7 - 0
Union Berlin
W
13 Sep 2026Bundesliga
SV Elversberg
1 - 2
Bayern München
W
1 - 2
Bayern München
W
10 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League
Bayern München
5 - 0
Bodo/Glimt
W
5 - 0
Bodo/Glimt
W
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04
0 - 0
Bayern München
D
0 - 0
Bayern München
D
02 Sep 2026DFB Pokal
VfL Osnabrück
1 - 4
Bayern München
W
1 - 4
Bayern München
W
28 Aug 2026Bundesliga
Bayern München
5 - 1
VfB Stuttgart
W
5 - 1
VfB Stuttgart
W
22 Aug 2026Super Cup
Borussia Dortmund
1 - 2
Bayern München
W
1 - 2
Bayern München
W
9 W
0 D
1 L
in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Premier League
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Arsenal
W
0 - 1
Arsenal
W
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League
Arsenal
3 - 0
Lille
W
3 - 0
Lille
W
10 Oct 2026Premier League
Arsenal
2 - 1
Leeds
W
2 - 1
Leeds
W
19 Sep 2026Premier League
Brighton
3 - 0
Arsenal
L
3 - 0
Arsenal
L
15 Sep 2026League Cup
Ipswich
2 - 4
Arsenal
W
2 - 4
Arsenal
W
12 Sep 2026Premier League
Sunderland
0 - 2
Arsenal
W
0 - 2
Arsenal
W
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League
Napoli
0 - 1
Arsenal
W
0 - 1
Arsenal
W
06 Sep 2026Premier League
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
W
2 - 1
Chelsea
W
31 Aug 2026Premier League
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Arsenal
W
0 - 1
Arsenal
W
21 Aug 2026Premier League
Arsenal
3 - 0
Coventry
W
3 - 0
Coventry
W
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Goal model
79%
9%
7%
Form & stats
10%
45%
45%
Bookmaker odds
43%
26%
31%
Bayern München
Draw
Arsenal
Value spotted: Bayern München win at 2.20 (model 79% vs market 43%)
Most likely scores
3-1
7%
4-1
7%
3-0
5.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
Expected goals: 4 Bayern München · 1.25 Arsenal
Goal lines
Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals72%
Both teams score66%
Team comparison
40%
60%
67%
33%
0%
100%
0%
0%
38%
62%
43%
57%
47%
53%
Season numbers
UEFA Champions League 2026When the goals come
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
4
3
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Bayern München
Arsenal
Side by side
Bayern München
Arsenal
2
Played
2
1
Won
2
1
Drawn
0
0
Lost
0
4
Goals scored per game
2
1.5
Goals conceded per game
0
5 / 3
Scored per game (home / away)
3 / 1
1
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
1
Longest winning run
2
5-0
Biggest win
3-0
-
Biggest defeat
-
1/1
Penalties scored
0/0
What comes next
Bayern München
Arsenal (H)
21 Oct
SC Freiburg (A)
25 Oct
1. FC Magdeburg (H)
28 Oct
Borussia Dortmund (H)
31 Oct
Atletico Madrid (A)
03 Nov
Arsenal
Bayern München (A)
21 Oct
Everton (H)
24 Oct
Fleetwood Town (A)
27 Oct
Liverpool (A)
01 Nov
Slavia Praha (A)
04 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third
Missing players
Bayern München
+ T. Buchmann Knee Injury
+ J. Kimmich Personal Reasons
+ J. Musiala Muscle Injury
+ M. Olise Red Card
Arsenal
+ P. Hincapie Ankle Injury
+ W. Saliba Back Injury
+ C. Tzolis Hamstring Injury
Betting markets
Odds: Bet365
Bayern München
2.20
45% implied
Draw
3.60
28% implied
Arsenal
3.00
33% implied
Bayern München
1.62
62% implied
Arsenal
2.20
45% implied
Over 0.5
1.02
98% implied
Under 0.5
17.00
6% implied
Over 1.5
1.17
85% implied
Our tip
Under 1.5
5.00
20% implied
Over 2.5
1.53
65% implied
Our tip
Under 2.5
2.50
40% implied
Over 3.5
2.30
43% implied
Our tip
Under 3.5
1.62
62% implied
Over 4.5
4.00
25% implied
Under 4.5
1.25
80% implied
Bayern München/Draw
13.00
8% implied
Bayern München/Arsenal
23.00
4% implied
Draw/Arsenal
7.50
13% implied
Draw/Draw
6.50
15% implied
Bayern München/Bayern München
3.50
29% implied
Draw/Bayern München
6.00
17% implied
Arsenal/Bayern München
21.00
5% implied
Arsenal/Draw
13.00
8% implied
Arsenal/Arsenal
4.50
22% implied
Yes
1.44
69% implied
Our tip
No
2.62
38% implied
1:1
7.00
14% implied
2:1
9.50
11% implied
2:2
11.00
9% implied
1:0
12.00
8% implied
1:2
12.00
8% implied
2:0
13.00
8% implied
3:1
15.00
7% implied
0:1
15.00
7% implied
Bayern München/Draw
1.36
74% implied
Bayern München/Arsenal
1.28
78% implied
Draw/Arsenal
1.67
60% implied
Bayern München
2.62
38% implied
Draw
2.40
42% implied
Arsenal
3.40
29% implied
Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.
Bayern München vs Arsenal: preview and prediction
Bayern München host Arsenal in the World UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 20:00 at Allianz Arena, Munich. Bayern München sit 12th in the table and Arsenal 8th.
Bayern München are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-D-W). Arsenal are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-W).
In the last 10 meetings, Bayern München won 4, Arsenal won 3 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% and over 2.5 goals in 60%.
Our goal model expects about 4 goals for Bayern München and 1.25 for Arsenal. It gives Bayern München the edge (79% home win, 9% draw, 7% away win), 84% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 3-1.
Our pick was BTTS Yes. We also like Over 1.5, Over 2.5, Over 3.5.
Bayern München vs Arsenal FAQs
What is the best prediction for Bayern München vs Arsenal?
Our top tip is Banker: BTTS Yes.
Who will win Bayern München vs Arsenal?
Bayern München are favourites: our model gives Bayern München 79%, the draw 9% and Arsenal 7%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 66% chance in our model, and it happened in 80% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 5.3 goals in total, with a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is Bayern München vs Arsenal?
Kick-off is on Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 20:00 at Allianz Arena, Munich.
Who is the referee?
Davide Massa is in charge of this game.