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Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: DFB Pokal · Round of 32
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

WWWWL
Kick-off
20:45
Wed, 28 Oct 2026
1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg

WWDDL
Wednesday, 28 October 2026
BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen
Felix Zwayer

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
6Bayer Leverkusen wins
2Draws
21. FC Nürnberg wins
2.4Goals per game
30%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
20 Apr 2019Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 FC Nurnberg
03 Dec 2018Bundesliga FC Nurnberg 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen
20 Apr 2014Bundesliga FC Nurnberg 1 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen
30 Nov 2013Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 0 FC Nurnberg
04 May 2013Bundesliga FC Nurnberg 0 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen
01 Dec 2012Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 0 FC Nurnberg
05 May 2012Bundesliga FC Nurnberg 1 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen
17 Dec 2011Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 0 - 3 FC Nurnberg
05 Feb 2011Bundesliga FC Nurnberg 1 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen
19 Sep 2010Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 0 - 0 FC Nurnberg

Top scorers

DFB Pokal
1 P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 4goals 0assists 1apps
2 L. GindorfHannover 96 3goals 0assists 1apps
3 D. PejčinovićVfB Stuttgart 3goals 0assists 1apps
4 N. AmiriFSV Mainz 05 2goals 2assists 1apps
5 I. MatanovićSC Freiburg 2goals 1assists 1apps
6 M. LjubičićUnion Berlin 2goals 1assists 1apps
7 H. BolinBorussia Mönchengladbach 2goals 1assists 1apps
8 P. Wimmer1899 Hoffenheim 2goals 1assists 1apps
9 B. PichlerHannover 96 2goals 1assists 1apps
10 Francis-Ikechukwu OnyekaSV Elversberg 2goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Bundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen L
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League OFI 0 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
18 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 SC Freiburg W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Lech Poznan 0 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen W
20 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig W
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 Celje W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga FC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen D
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin W
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 3 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen L
5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
24 Oct 20262. Bundesliga 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 1 1. FC Kaiserslautern L
16 Oct 20262. Bundesliga Energie Cottbus 1 - 1 1. FC Nürnberg D
10 Oct 20262. Bundesliga 1. FC Nürnberg 4 - 4 VfL Wolfsburg D
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs 1. FC Nürnberg 3 - 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 W
19 Sep 20262. Bundesliga Karlsruher SC 0 - 1 1. FC Nürnberg W
11 Sep 20262. Bundesliga 1. FC Nürnberg 2 - 1 Hannover 96 W
05 Sep 20262. Bundesliga Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 1. FC Nürnberg D
29 Aug 20262. Bundesliga 1. FC Nürnberg 4 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld W
22 Aug 2026DFB Pokal FC Viktoria Köln 1 - 1 1. FC Nürnberg D
15 Aug 20262. Bundesliga SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 - 4 1. FC Nürnberg W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Bayer Leverkusen Draw 1. FC Nürnberg
Value spotted: 1. FC Nürnberg win at 13.00 (model 13% vs market 7%)

Most likely scores

2-0 9.4%
2-1 9.4%
3-0 7.9%
3-1 7.9%
1-0 7.5%
1-1 7.5%

Expected goals: 2.5 Bayer Leverkusen · 1 1. FC Nürnberg

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score58%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
75%
Form
25%
80%
Attack
20%
100%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
93%
Head to head
7%
86%
Goals
14%
83%
Overall
16%

Season numbers

DFB Pokal 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
Bayer Leverkusen 1. FC Nürnberg

Side by side

Bayer Leverkusen 1. FC Nürnberg
1 Played 1
1 Won 0
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
4 Goals scored per game 1
0 Goals conceded per game 1
0 / 4 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 1
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 0
0-4 Biggest win -
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Nürnberg (H) 28 Oct
VfB Stuttgart (H) 31 Oct
Marseille (H) 05 Nov
1. FC Köln (A) 08 Nov
SC Paderborn 07 (H) 21 Nov
1. FC Nürnberg
Bayer Leverkusen (A) 28 Oct
FC St. Pauli (A) 01 Nov
SV Darmstadt 98 (H) 07 Nov
Eintracht Braunschweig (H) 21 Nov
1. FC Heidenheim (A) 27 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Bayer Leverkusen 1.17 85% implied Our tip
Draw 8.00 13% implied
1. FC Nürnberg 13.00 8% implied
Bayer Leverkusen 1.05 95% implied Our tip
1. FC Nürnberg 11.00 9% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 29.00 3% implied
Over 1.5 1.05 95% implied
Under 1.5 11.00 9% implied
Over 2.5 1.22 82% implied
Under 2.5 4.20 24% implied
Over 3.5 1.53 65% implied
Under 3.5 2.38 42% implied
Over 4.5 2.20 45% implied
Under 4.5 1.62 62% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/Draw 21.00 5% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/1. FC Nürnberg 51.00 2% implied
Draw/1. FC Nürnberg 29.00 3% implied
Draw/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/Bayer Leverkusen 1.53 65% implied
Draw/Bayer Leverkusen 4.33 23% implied
1. FC Nürnberg/Bayer Leverkusen 15.00 7% implied
1. FC Nürnberg/Draw 23.00 4% implied
1. FC Nürnberg/1. FC Nürnberg 23.00 4% implied
Yes 1.62 62% implied
No 2.20 45% implied
3:0 8.50 12% implied
2:0 9.50 11% implied
3:1 10.00 10% implied
4:0 10.00 10% implied
2:1 11.00 9% implied
4:1 12.00 8% implied
1:0 15.00 7% implied
5:0 15.00 7% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/Draw 1.04 96% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/1. FC Nürnberg 1.08 93% implied
Draw/1. FC Nürnberg 5.50 18% implied
Bayer Leverkusen 1.44 69% implied Our tip
Draw 3.50 29% implied
1. FC Nürnberg 10.00 10% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: preview and prediction

Bayer Leverkusen host 1. FC Nürnberg in the Germany DFB Pokal (Round of 32) on Wednesday, 28th October 2026 at 20:45 at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen.

Bayer Leverkusen are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-L). 1. FC Nürnberg have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-D-D-L).

In the last 10 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 6, 1. FC Nürnberg won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 30% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1 for 1. FC Nürnberg. It gives Bayer Leverkusen the edge (70% home win, 17% draw, 13% away win), 67% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Verdict: our pick is Home Win at odds of 1.14.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.14 odds).

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Bayer Leverkusen are favourites: our model gives Bayer Leverkusen 70%, the draw 17% and 1. FC Nürnberg 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 58% chance in our model, and it happened in 30% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 28th October 2026 at 20:45 at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen.

Who is the referee?

Felix Zwayer is in charge of this game.