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Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Wales: Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Barry Town

Barry Town

6th in table
LLWLW
Full time
1:4
HT 0 - 3
GAP Connah S Quay FC

GAP Connah S Quay FC

2nd in table
WWWWW
10' D. Barton
19' J. Hodkin
30' N. Daley
30' H. Franklin
37' H. Franklin
63' J. Hodkin
68' J. Lester
Saturday, 26 September 2026
Jenner Park, Barry
J. A. Jones

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Barry Town wins
2Draws
3GAP Connah S Quay FC wins
2.9Goals per game
44%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
29 Mar 2026Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FC 1 - 1 Barry Town
21 Feb 2026Premier League Barry Town 1 - 0 GAP Connah S Quay FC
03 Jan 2026Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FC 3 - 1 Barry Town
27 Sep 2025Premier League Barry Town 0 - 0 GAP Connah S Quay FC
13 Apr 2025Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 - 2 Barry Town
22 Feb 2025Premier League Barry Town 0 - 2 GAP Connah S Quay FC
09 Nov 2024Premier League Barry Town 3 - 2 GAP Connah S Quay FC
07 Sep 2024Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FC 1 - 2 Barry Town
02 Dec 2023Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FC 7 - 0 Barry Town

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 The New Saints 131210 44:6 +38 37 WWWWW
2 GAP Connah S Quay FC 131012 30:9 +21 31 WWWWW
3 Penybont 13931 25:11 +14 30 WLWWW
4 Caernarfon Town 13823 37:15 +22 26 WLDWD
5 Colwyn Bay 13814 22:15 +7 25 WLWWW
6 Barry Town 13814 28:23 +5 25 LWLLD
7 Cardiff MET 13634 24:16 +8 21 LWWDL
8 Airbus UK 13706 25:18 +7 21 WWLWL
9 Cambrian & Clydach 13535 21:33 -12 18 LLWLW
10 Llandudno 13517 22:23 -1 16 LLLLD
11 Briton Ferry 13337 12:22 -10 12 LWDDL
12 Haverfordwest County AFC 13319 8:19 -11 10 LLLLW
13 Ammanford AFC 13238 10:32 -22 9 WWLLD
14 Flint Town United 13229 12:25 -13 8 LWWLL
15 Trefelin 13139 8:31 -23 6 WLLDL
16 Holywell 130211 14:44 -30 2 LLDLL

Recent form

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Welsh Cup Barry Town 2 - 0 Tredegar Town W
09 Oct 2026Premier League Penybont 3 - 1 Barry Town L
03 Oct 2026Premier League Caernarfon Town 0 - 1 Barry Town W
26 Sep 2026Premier League Barry Town 1 - 4 GAP Connah S Quay FC L
18 Sep 2026Premier League Colwyn Bay 5 - 2 Barry Town L
15 Sep 2026Premier League Barry Town 2 - 2 Ammanford AFC D
11 Sep 2026Premier League Barry Town 4 - 1 Llandudno W
05 Sep 2026Premier League The New Saints 1 - 0 Barry Town L
31 Aug 2026Premier League Briton Ferry 1 - 4 Barry Town W
28 Aug 2026Premier League Barry Town 4 - 2 Airbus UK W
8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
16 Oct 2026Welsh Cup GAP Connah S Quay FC 4 - 0 Porthmadog W
09 Oct 2026Premier League Briton Ferry 1 - 2 GAP Connah S Quay FC W
03 Oct 2026Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FC 1 - 0 Penybont W
26 Sep 2026Premier League Barry Town 1 - 4 GAP Connah S Quay FC W
18 Sep 2026Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FC 1 - 0 Cardiff MET W
15 Sep 2026Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FC 3 - 0 Airbus UK W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Colwyn Bay 2 - 1 GAP Connah S Quay FC L
04 Sep 2026Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FC 1 - 1 Haverfordwest County AFC D
31 Aug 2026Premier League Flint Town United 1 - 2 GAP Connah S Quay FC W
28 Aug 2026Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FC 3 - 0 Cambrian & Clydach W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Barry Town Draw GAP Connah S Quay FC
Value spotted: Barry Town win at 3.48 (model 43% vs market 26%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.6%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 7.7%
2-2 6.9%
1-0 6%
2-0 5.4%

Expected goals: 1.8 Barry Town · 1.6 GAP Connah S Quay FC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams score67%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
41%
Form
59%
60%
Attack
40%
29%
Defence
71%
47%
Goal model
53%
62%
Head to head
38%
56%
Goals
44%
49%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
4
4
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
4
4
46-60'
5
6
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
5
1
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
4
46-60'
3
5
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
1
Barry Town GAP Connah S Quay FC

Side by side

Barry Town GAP Connah S Quay FC
10 Played 10
7 Won 7
1 Drawn 1
2 Lost 2
2.5 Goals scored per game 2.3
1.6 Goals conceded per game 0.7
2.6 / 2.4 Scored per game (home / away) 2.5 / 2
1 Clean sheets 5
1 Failed to score 0
6 Longest winning run 5
4-1 Biggest win 6-0
5-2 Biggest defeat 1-2
2/3 Penalties scored 3/3

Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: preview and prediction

Barry Town host GAP Connah S Quay FC in the Wales Premier League (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 26th September 2026 at 14:30 at Jenner Park, Barry. Barry Town sit 6th in the table and GAP Connah S Quay FC 2nd.

Barry Town are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-W). GAP Connah S Quay FC are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Barry Town won 4, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.8 goals for Barry Town and 1.6 for GAP Connah S Quay FC. It gives Barry Town the edge (43% home win, 23% draw, 35% away win), 66% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.74. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC FAQs

What is the best prediction for Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.74 odds).

Who will win Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Barry Town are favourites: our model gives Barry Town 43%, the draw 23% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 67% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 26th September 2026 at 14:30 at Jenner Park, Barry.

Who is the referee?

J. A. Jones is in charge of this game.