Barnsley vs Stevenage Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: League One · Regular Season - 5
Barnsley

Barnsley

23rd in table
LLLLD
Full time
1:5
HT 1 - 1
Stevenage

Stevenage

16th in table
WLWLD
16' Carl Piergianni
17' C. McGeehan (Penalty)
43' O. Sanderson
52' D. Kemp
57' T. Vancooten
66' D. Kemp
85' Patrick Kelly
86' Saxon Earley
90' M. Mellon
Saturday, 5 September 2026
Oakwell, Barnsley
N. Hair

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6games
2Barnsley wins
0Draws
4Stevenage wins
2.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
21 Apr 2026League One Stevenage 1 - 0 Barnsley
31 Jan 2026League One Barnsley 3 - 1 Stevenage
25 Jan 2025League One Barnsley 0 - 1 Stevenage
14 Sep 2024League One Stevenage 3 - 0 Barnsley
09 Apr 2024League One Stevenage 2 - 1 Barnsley
23 Dec 2023League One Barnsley 2 - 1 Stevenage

League One table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Huddersfield 14851 28:12 +16 29 DWWWW
2 Stockport County 14824 26:14 +12 26 WLDWW
3 Luton 14734 27:21 +6 24 DWWWW
4 Oxford United 12651 20:11 +9 23 DWDWD
5 Plymouth 14725 21:19 +2 23 DWLLW
6 Reading 13643 25:13 +12 22 DWWLW
7 Bradford 13643 10:8 +2 22 LDDWD
8 Cambridge United 14563 21:21 0 21 LDLDW
9 Sheffield Wednesday 13553 22:14 +8 20 DDLLW
10 Leicester 13544 22:19 +3 19 DWLWW
11 Mansfield Town 13544 20:18 +2 19 DLWWD
12 Milton Keynes Dons 13463 22:20 +2 18 WWWLW
13 Wycombe 13463 21:23 -2 18 WDDWL
14 Leyton Orient 13526 19:14 +5 17 WLLWD
15 Burton Albion 14455 18:21 -3 17 LWDDL
16 Stevenage 12444 17:13 +4 16 DLWLW
17 Notts County 12354 13:14 -1 14 WDWLL
18 AFC Wimbledon 13346 9:21 -12 13 LDLLL
19 Blackpool 12336 17:21 -4 12 DLWLL
20 Doncaster 13337 14:22 -8 12 LLWLL
21 Wigan 14329 11:22 -11 11 DWLLL
22 Peterborough 13247 11:23 -12 10 LDLDW
23 Barnsley 12237 12:22 -10 9 DLLLL
24 Bromley 13238 13:33 -20 9 LLDLL

Top scorers

League One
1 A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons 13goals 3assists 13apps
2 K. WoottonStockport County 9goals 1assists 14apps
3 J. TaylorHuddersfield 9goals 2assists 12apps
4 J. MarriottReading 8goals 0assists 8apps
5 D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield 7goals 5assists 13apps
6 N. WellsLuton 7goals 2assists 13apps
7 M. SmithMansfield Town 6goals 2assists 11apps
8 J. StockleyAFC Wimbledon 6goals 1assists 13apps
9 M. HarrisOxford United 6goals 1assists 12apps
10 E. RiisLeicester 6goals 1assists 9apps

Recent form

0 W 3 D 6 L in the last 9
31 Oct 2026League One Barnsley 1 - 1 Oxford United D
24 Oct 2026League One Reading 2 - 1 Barnsley L
20 Oct 2026League One Luton 2 - 1 Barnsley L
17 Oct 2026League One Barnsley 1 - 2 Cambridge United L
10 Oct 2026League One Stockport County 3 - 1 Barnsley L
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Fleetwood Town 4 - 1 Barnsley L
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Barnsley 3 - 4 Leeds United U21 L
19 Sep 2026League One Barnsley 1 - 1 Leicester D
15 Sep 2026League Cup Peterborough 3 - 3 Barnsley D
5 W 1 D 3 L in the last 9
31 Oct 2026League One Leicester 2 - 2 Stevenage D
24 Oct 2026League One Stevenage 0 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons L
20 Oct 2026League One Stevenage 3 - 0 Plymouth W
17 Oct 2026League One Bradford 2 - 0 Stevenage L
10 Oct 2026League One Stevenage 1 - 0 Wigan W
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Stevenage 2 - 1 Leicester W
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Walsall 1 - 6 Stevenage W
19 Sep 2026League One Leyton Orient 1 - 0 Stevenage L
10 Sep 2026League One Stevenage 2 - 1 Luton W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Barnsley Draw Stevenage
Value spotted: Draw at 3.34 (model 37% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

0-0 22.3%
0-1 16.7%
1-0 16.7%
1-1 12.6%
0-2 6.3%
2-0 6.3%

Expected goals: 0.75 Barnsley · 0.75 Stevenage

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals44%
Over 2.5 goals19%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Both teams score28%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
70%
Form
30%
56%
Attack
44%
63%
Defence
38%
44%
Goal model
56%
20%
Head to head
80%
33%
Goals
67%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

League One 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
2
Barnsley Stevenage

Side by side

Barnsley Stevenage
4 Played 4
2 Won 0
1 Drawn 3
1 Lost 1
1.3 Goals scored per game 1
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 0.5
1 Clean sheets 1
2 Failed to score 1
0 Longest winning run 0
2-1 Biggest win -
0-1 Biggest defeat 1-2
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Barnsley vs Stevenage: preview and prediction

Barnsley host Stevenage in the England League One (Regular Season - 5) on Saturday, 5th September 2026 at 15:00 at Oakwell, Barnsley. Barnsley sit 23rd in the table and Stevenage 16th.

Barnsley are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-D). Stevenage have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-L-D).

In the last 6 meetings, Barnsley won 2, Stevenage won 4 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 0.75 goals for Barnsley and 0.75 for Stevenage. It gives Barnsley the edge (32% home win, 37% draw, 32% away win), 19% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.31.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Barnsley vs Stevenage FAQs

What is the best prediction for Barnsley vs Stevenage?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.31 odds).

Who will win Barnsley vs Stevenage?

It looks very close: our model gives Barnsley 32%, the draw 37% and Stevenage 32%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 28% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.5 goals in total, with a 19% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Barnsley vs Stevenage?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 5th September 2026 at 15:00 at Oakwell, Barnsley.

Who is the referee?

N. Hair is in charge of this game.