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Bari vs Potenza Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italy: Serie C - Girone C · Girone C - 5
Bari

Bari

2nd in table
WDDLD
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Potenza

Potenza

1st in table
WWDWW
10' M. Mane
43' A. Franzolini
85' V. Mantovani
88' N. Kirwan
Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Stadio San Nicola, Bari
F. Colaninno

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
3Bari wins
1Draws
1Potenza wins
2.8Goals per game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
22 Dec 2021Serie C - Girone C Bari 2 - 0 Potenza
30 Aug 2021Serie C - Girone C Potenza 1 - 1 Bari
07 Mar 2021Serie C - Girone C Bari 0 - 2 Potenza
11 Nov 2020Serie C - Girone C Potenza 1 - 4 Bari
08 Dec 2019Serie C - Girone C Bari 2 - 1 Potenza

Serie C - Girone C table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Potenza 12921 32:17 +15 29 WDWWW
2 Bari 12642 15:8 +7 22 DDDWL
3 Audace Cerignola 12624 19:11 +8 20 WLWWD
4 Sorrento 12624 16:13 +3 20 LDDLW
5 Catania 12615 24:13 +11 19 LWLWW
6 SS Monopoli 12543 13:9 +4 19 DWWLD
7 AZ Picerno 12606 22:19 +3 18 WWLLL
8 Scafatese 12462 18:16 +2 18 DLWDW
9 Inter U23 12525 21:20 +1 17 LWDLW
10 Casertana 12453 16:15 +1 17 LDDWL
11 Cavese 12435 21:20 +1 15 LLWDW
12 Salernitana 12363 15:16 -1 15 DLDDW
13 Foggia 12435 13:15 -2 15 DWLLW
14 Casarano 12435 15:20 -5 15 DWLDL
15 Team Altamura 12435 11:17 -6 15 WDWLD
16 Giugliano 12417 16:29 -13 13 WLWLL
17 Barletta 12264 13:16 -3 12 DLWDL
18 Savoia 12264 13:18 -5 12 DDLWD
19 Cosenza 12237 10:23 -13 9 WDLWL
20 Crotone 12147 12:20 -8 1 LLDLL

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Bari 1 - 1 Scafatese D
27 Oct 2026Coppa Italia Serie C Potenza 2 - 1 Bari L
23 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Casertana 1 - 1 Bari D
18 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Bari 0 - 0 Crotone D
10 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Bari 2 - 0 Giugliano W
04 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Salernitana 2 - 1 Bari L
26 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Bari 1 - 0 Cosenza W
19 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Sorrento 1 - 2 Bari W
15 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Bari 0 - 0 Potenza D
11 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Team Altamura 0 - 3 Bari W
7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Serie C - Girone C Potenza 4 - 2 Crotone W
27 Oct 2026Coppa Italia Serie C Potenza 2 - 1 Bari W
23 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Team Altamura 2 - 2 Potenza D
17 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Potenza 2 - 1 Catania W
11 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Foggia 1 - 3 Potenza W
04 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Potenza 4 - 2 AZ Picerno W
27 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Barletta 1 - 4 Potenza W
20 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Potenza 4 - 2 Cavese W
15 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Bari 0 - 0 Potenza D
11 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Salernitana 4 - 2 Potenza L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Bari Draw Potenza
Value spotted: Bari win at 1.80 (model 56% vs market 50%)

Most likely scores

2-1 9.2%
1-1 8.2%
3-1 6.9%
2-0 6.6%
2-2 6.4%
1-0 5.8%

Expected goals: 2.25 Bari · 1.4 Potenza

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score67%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
44%
Attack
56%
67%
Defence
33%
100%
Goal model
0%
62%
Head to head
38%
64%
Goals
36%
57%
Overall
42%

Season numbers

Serie C - Girone C 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
Bari Potenza

Side by side

Bari Potenza
4 Played 4
3 Won 3
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
1.8 Goals scored per game 2.3
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1.5
2 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 2.5 / 2
3 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 3
3-0 Biggest win 4-1
3-0 Biggest defeat 4-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Bari vs Potenza: preview and prediction

Bari host Potenza in the Italy Serie C - Girone C (Girone C - 5) on Tuesday, 15th September 2026 at 20:00 at Stadio San Nicola, Bari. Bari sit 2nd in the table and Potenza 1st.

Bari have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-D-L-D). Potenza are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-W-W).

In the last 5 meetings, Bari won 3, Potenza won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 2.25 goals for Bari and 1.4 for Potenza. It gives Bari the edge (56% home win, 20% draw, 23% away win), 70% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.16. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Bari vs Potenza FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bari vs Potenza?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.16 odds).

Who will win Bari vs Potenza?

Bari are favourites: our model gives Bari 56%, the draw 20% and Potenza 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 67% chance in our model, and it happened in 60% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bari vs Potenza?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 15th September 2026 at 20:00 at Stadio San Nicola, Bari.

Who is the referee?

F. Colaninno is in charge of this game.