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Barakaldo vs Real Avilés Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spain: Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 5
Barakaldo

Barakaldo

15th in table
DLWDD
Full time
3:3
HT 0 - 2
Real Avilés

Real Avilés

9th in table
LWWLW
17' S. Mayo
30' A. Santamaria
33' M. Ruiz
33' B. Cayarga
43' Y. Rodriguez
53' C. Mattheus
54' A. Raton
59' B. Cayarga
77' E. Mateos
86' X. Fernandez
89' A. Pena
90' C. Montes
Sunday, 27 September 2026
Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo
M. Pozueta Rodriguez

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
1Barakaldo wins
0Draws
2Real Avilés wins
4.3Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
17 May 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 1 - 4 Barakaldo
07 Dec 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 1 - 2 Real Avilés
17 Aug 2024Friendlies Clubs Barakaldo 1 - 4 Real Avilés

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Lugo 10811 18:9 +9 25 WLWWW
2 UD Logroñés 10622 20:13 +7 20 LWDLW
3 Mirandes 10523 13:10 +3 17 WWLDL
4 Racing Ferrol 10523 9:7 +2 17 DLWWW
5 Extremadura 1924 10514 19:10 +9 16 WWDWW
6 Athletic Club II 10433 17:13 +4 15 WLLDL
7 Pontevedra 10433 12:11 +1 15 DWWLL
8 Cacereño 10433 9:8 +1 15 LWLDL
9 Real Avilés 10424 18:13 +5 14 WLWWL
10 Ponferradina 10352 6:6 0 14 DDDLW
11 Real Unión 10343 19:17 +2 13 LWDDD
12 Mérida AD 10415 16:14 +2 13 LDWWW
13 Cultural Leonesa 10334 10:10 0 12 LLDWL
14 Zamora 10334 11:12 -1 12 LLDDW
15 Barakaldo 10253 8:10 -2 11 DDWLD
16 Deportivo La Coruña II 10325 11:17 -6 11 WLLLL
17 Unionistas de Salamanca 10316 12:18 -6 10 LWLDW
18 CD Coria 10235 12:17 -5 9 LDWLL
19 UD Ourense 10226 4:15 -11 8 WLLWD
20 Arenas Getxo 10226 8:22 -14 8 WWLLD

Recent form

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 0 - 0 Pontevedra D
24 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 0 - 0 Barakaldo D
17 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 2 - 0 Mirandes W
10 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense 1 - 0 Barakaldo L
03 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 1 - 1 Arenas Getxo D
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 3 - 3 Real Avilés D
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Racing Ferrol 1 - 0 Barakaldo L
11 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 1 - 0 Extremadura 1924 W
05 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 CD Coria 4 - 1 Barakaldo L
30 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 0 - 0 Cultural Leonesa D
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Unión 0 - 3 Real Avilés W
24 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 1 - 3 UD Logroñés L
18 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 3 - 0 UD Ourense W
11 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 0 - 2 Real Avilés W
02 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 1 - 2 Lugo L
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 3 - 3 Real Avilés D
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 CD Coria 1 - 1 Real Avilés D
12 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 3 - 1 Unionistas de Salamanca W
06 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Athletic Club II 2 - 1 Real Avilés L
28 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 0 - 1 Pontevedra L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Barakaldo Draw Real Avilés
Value spotted: Real Avilés win at 3.91 (model 39% vs market 23%)

Most likely scores

0-1 13.4%
1-1 13.4%
0-0 11.6%
1-0 11.6%
0-2 7.7%
1-2 7.7%

Expected goals: 1 Barakaldo · 1.15 Real Avilés

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Both teams score43%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
29%
Attack
71%
50%
Defence
50%
100%
Goal model
0%
33%
Head to head
67%
46%
Goals
54%
41%
Overall
58%

Season numbers

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
0
Barakaldo Real Avilés

Side by side

Barakaldo Real Avilés
4 Played 4
1 Won 1
1 Drawn 1
2 Lost 2
0.5 Goals scored per game 1.3
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.3
0.5 / 0.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 1
2 Clean sheets 0
2 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 1
1-0 Biggest win 3-1
4-1 Biggest defeat 0-1
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Barakaldo vs Real Avilés: preview and prediction

Barakaldo host Real Avilés in the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 5) on Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 11:00 at Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo. Barakaldo sit 15th in the table and Real Avilés 9th.

Barakaldo have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-D-D). Real Avilés are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W).

In the last 3 meetings, Barakaldo won 1, Real Avilés won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 4.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Barakaldo and 1.15 for Real Avilés. It gives Real Avilés the edge (31% home win, 29% draw, 39% away win), 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.83. We also like Under 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Barakaldo vs Real Avilés FAQs

What is the best prediction for Barakaldo vs Real Avilés?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.83 odds).

Who will win Barakaldo vs Real Avilés?

Real Avilés are favourites: our model gives Barakaldo 31%, the draw 29% and Real Avilés 39%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 43% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Barakaldo vs Real Avilés?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 11:00 at Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo.

Who is the referee?

M. Pozueta Rodriguez is in charge of this game.