Barakaldo vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spain: Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 36
Barakaldo

Barakaldo

7th in table
DLWDD
Full time
2:0
HT 1 - 0
Mérida AD

Mérida AD

10th in table
WWWDL
33' M. Arana
55' J. Lancho
73' J. Huidobro (Penalty)
90' S. El Ftouhi
Saturday, 9 May 2026
Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0Barakaldo wins
0Draws
1Mérida AD wins
1Goals per game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
30 Aug 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 1 - 0 Barakaldo

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Tenerife 3822106 62:24 +38 76 LWLWD
2 Celta de Vigo II 3818119 61:48 +13 65 DLWLD
3 Zamora 38171011 53:42 +11 61 LLWWW
4 Ponferradina 3817912 43:33 +10 60 WWWLD
5 Real Madrid II 38161012 61:52 +9 58 DDLWW
6 Pontevedra 3814168 49:31 +18 58 DLWDD
7 Barakaldo 38151310 51:38 +13 58 DWWLW
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38151112 53:49 +4 56 WDWLD
9 Lugo 38131411 36:40 -4 53 DWLWL
10 Mérida AD 38141014 47:53 -6 52 WDLLL
11 Arenas Getxo 3815716 46:55 -9 52 WDDLW
12 Racing Ferrol 38131015 41:47 -6 49 LDDDD
13 Athletic Club II 38131015 38:46 -8 49 LWLDD
14 Real Avilés 38111116 55:67 -12 44 DLLDD
15 Cacereño 38101414 42:49 -7 44 LWWWD
16 CF Talavera 38111017 38:47 -9 43 WDLWL
17 Ourense CF 38101315 44:47 -3 43 WDLDL
18 Guadalajara 38101117 44:58 -14 41 DLWDD
19 Osasuna II 38101018 28:42 -14 40 LDWWW
20 Arenteiro 3861022 29:53 -24 28 DLLLL

Top scorers

Primera División RFEF - Group 1
1 João ResendePontevedra 4goals 0assists 28apps
2 Eugeni ValderramaMarbella 4goals 0assists 26apps
3 BebéIbiza 3goals 0assists 30apps
4 Raúl BlancoAlcorcon 2goals 0assists 30apps
5 Isma SierraVillarreal II 2goals 0assists 26apps
6 Javier AvilésAlgeciras 2goals 0assists 21apps
7 Marcelo RibeiroAntequera 2goals 0assists 21apps
8 Joel JorqueraReal Murcia 2goals 0assists 14apps
9 Max SvenssonIbiza 2goals 0assists 13apps
10 Arnau SolàIbiza 1goals 0assists 10apps

Recent form

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 0 - 0 Pontevedra D
24 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 0 - 0 Barakaldo D
17 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 2 - 0 Mirandes W
10 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense 1 - 0 Barakaldo L
03 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 1 - 1 Arenas Getxo D
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 3 - 3 Real Avilés D
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Racing Ferrol 1 - 0 Barakaldo L
11 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 1 - 0 Extremadura 1924 W
05 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 CD Coria 4 - 1 Barakaldo L
30 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 0 - 0 Cultural Leonesa D
4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Lugo 2 - 1 Mérida AD L
25 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 0 - 0 CD Coria D
18 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Arenas Getxo 0 - 4 Mérida AD W
11 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Pontevedra 1 - 2 Mérida AD W
04 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 2 - 0 Cacereño W
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 3 - 5 UD Logroñés L
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 1 - 0 Mérida AD L
12 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 3 - 4 Mirandes L
06 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Cultural Leonesa 1 - 0 Mérida AD L
29 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 1 - 0 Deportivo La Coruña II W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Barakaldo Draw Mérida AD

Most likely scores

1-0 14.2%
2-0 11.7%
1-1 11.4%
2-1 9.4%
0-0 8.6%
0-1 6.9%

Expected goals: 1.65 Barakaldo · 0.8 Mérida AD

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score44%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
60%
Defence
40%
77%
Goal model
23%
0%
Head to head
100%
0%
Goals
100%
59%
Overall
40%

Season numbers

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2025

When the goals come

2
0-15'
6
7
16-30'
7
8
31-45'
10
10
46-60'
1
6
61-75'
11
13
76-90'
8
6
0-15'
3
5
16-30'
7
6
31-45'
10
4
46-60'
7
7
61-75'
9
6
76-90'
14
Barakaldo Mérida AD

Side by side

Barakaldo Mérida AD
35 Played 35
13 Won 13
12 Drawn 9
10 Lost 13
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.3
1 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.6 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 0.9
9 Clean sheets 10
10 Failed to score 8
3 Longest winning run 2
5-0 Biggest win 3-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 1-4
3/3 Penalties scored 1/1

Barakaldo vs Mérida AD: preview and prediction

Barakaldo host Mérida AD in the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 36) on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 13:00 at Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo. Barakaldo sit 7th in the table and Mérida AD 10th.

Barakaldo have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-D-D). Mérida AD are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-L).

In the last 1 meetings, Barakaldo won 0, Mérida AD won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Barakaldo and 0.8 for Mérida AD. It gives Barakaldo the edge (58% home win, 24% draw, 18% away win), 44% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Draw at odds of 3.56.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Barakaldo vs Mérida AD FAQs

What is the best prediction for Barakaldo vs Mérida AD?

Our top tip is Draw: Draw (3.56 odds).

Who will win Barakaldo vs Mérida AD?

Barakaldo are favourites: our model gives Barakaldo 58%, the draw 24% and Mérida AD 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 44% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Barakaldo vs Mérida AD?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 13:00 at Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo.