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Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Serie A · Regular Season - 22
Bahia

Bahia

6th in table
LWLDW
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

14th in table
LLWLL
-5' Ademir
31' Cuiabano
36' Thiago Mendes
Sunday, 9 August 2026
Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Bahia wins
1Draws
3Vasco DA Gama wins
2.3Goals per game
56%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
12 Feb 2026Serie A Vasco DA Gama 0 - 1 Bahia
23 Nov 2025Serie A Bahia 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama
24 Sep 2025Serie A Vasco DA Gama 3 - 1 Bahia
29 Oct 2024Serie A Vasco DA Gama 3 - 2 Bahia
27 Jun 2024Serie A Bahia 2 - 1 Vasco DA Gama
03 Sep 2023Serie A Bahia 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama
01 May 2023Serie A Vasco DA Gama 0 - 1 Bahia
28 Aug 2022Serie B Bahia 2 - 1 Vasco DA Gama
15 May 2022Serie B Vasco DA Gama 1 - 0 Bahia

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo 332274 68:28 +40 73 WWWWD
2 Palmeiras 3320103 56:22 +34 70 DWWWW
3 Cruzeiro 3317610 52:46 +6 57 WWWLW
4 Fluminense 331599 52:42 +10 54 WLLLW
5 Atletico Paranaense 331599 50:40 +10 54 LDLWD
6 Bahia 3314118 48:42 +6 53 WDLWL
7 Atletico-MG 3314811 44:39 +5 50 LLWWD
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 44:39 +5 47 WWLDW
9 Santos 34121111 50:49 +1 47 LDDWL
10 Sao Paulo 3312714 39:39 0 43 LDWWL
11 Coritiba 3411914 40:51 -11 42 LWLLD
12 Mirassol 34101014 39:48 -9 40 WLDWL
13 Botafogo 3310914 45:53 -8 39 LLWDL
14 Vasco DA Gama 3210814 40:49 -9 38 LWLDW
15 Vitoria 3310815 35:48 -13 38 LDDLW
16 Internacional 3491114 38:42 -4 38 WLWLD
17 Gremio 3391014 37:44 -7 37 WWLDD
18 Corinthians 339915 36:42 -6 36 WLDLL
19 Remo 3361116 36:51 -15 29 WLDDD
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 33:68 -35 21 LLWLL

Top scorers

Serie A
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21goals 3assists 31apps
2 PedroFlamengo 18goals 6assists 33apps
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 15goals 3assists 25apps
4 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 12goals 2assists 26apps
5 Samuel LinoFlamengo 11goals 9assists 32apps
6 Carlos ViníciusGremio 11goals 1assists 32apps
7 Luciano JubaBahia 11goals 1assists 29apps
8 Danilo SantosBotafogo 10goals 2assists 25apps
9 ReneVitoria 10goals 1assists 25apps
10 J. CalleriSao Paulo 10goals 2assists 27apps

Recent form

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
29 Oct 2026Serie A Bahia 3 - 2 Sao Paulo W
25 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 1 - 1 Bahia D
18 Oct 2026Serie A Bahia 0 - 3 Flamengo L
11 Oct 2026Serie A Bahia 1 - 0 Mirassol W
09 Oct 2026Serie A Palmeiras 1 - 0 Bahia L
20 Sep 2026Serie A Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1 Bahia L
14 Sep 2026Serie A Bahia 2 - 1 Remo W
05 Sep 2026Serie A RB Bragantino 2 - 3 Bahia W
30 Aug 2026Serie A Bahia 3 - 2 Internacional W
23 Aug 2026Serie A Vitoria 0 - 2 Bahia W
5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Copa Do Brasil Palmeiras 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama L
29 Oct 2026Serie A Vasco DA Gama 1 - 4 Flamengo L
24 Oct 2026Serie A Vasco DA Gama 3 - 2 Corinthians W
21 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Vasco DA Gama 1 - 3 Boca Juniors L
18 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama L
14 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Boca Juniors 0 - 1 Vasco DA Gama W
10 Oct 2026Serie A Vasco DA Gama 0 - 0 Remo D
07 Oct 2026Serie A Botafogo 1 - 2 Vasco DA Gama W
19 Sep 2026Serie A Vasco DA Gama 5 - 0 Coritiba W
15 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Vasco DA Gama 2 - 0 Santa Fe W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Bahia Draw Vasco DA Gama

Most likely scores

1-1 11.4%
1-0 10.9%
2-1 9.7%
2-0 9.2%
0-1 6.7%
0-0 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.7 Bahia · 1.05 Vasco DA Gama

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
90%
Form
10%
75%
Attack
25%
77%
Defence
23%
66%
Goal model
34%
60%
Head to head
40%
50%
Goals
50%
69%
Overall
30%

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
2
8
31-45'
4
2
46-60'
5
3
61-75'
4
9
76-90'
9
3
0-15'
4
5
16-30'
5
6
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
4
4
61-75'
6
3
76-90'
5
Bahia Vasco DA Gama

Side by side

Bahia Vasco DA Gama
21 Played 20
8 Won 5
8 Drawn 6
5 Lost 9
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.2
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.6
1.5 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.2 / 1.1
6 Clean sheets 1
2 Failed to score 5
2 Longest winning run 2
3-0 Biggest win 3-2
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-3
4/6 Penalties scored 1/1

Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama: preview and prediction

Bahia host Vasco DA Gama in the Brazil Serie A (Regular Season - 22) on Sunday, 9th August 2026 at 20:00 at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador. Bahia sit 6th in the table and Vasco DA Gama 14th.

Bahia have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-D-W). Vasco DA Gama are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Bahia won 5, Vasco DA Gama won 3 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.7 goals for Bahia and 1.05 for Vasco DA Gama. It gives Bahia the edge (53% home win, 24% draw, 23% away win), 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.27.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.27 odds).

Who will win Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama?

Bahia are favourites: our model gives Bahia 53%, the draw 24% and Vasco DA Gama 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 9th August 2026 at 20:00 at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador.

Who is the referee?

Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil is in charge of this game.