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Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Serie A · Regular Season - 4
Bahia

Bahia

6th in table
LWLDW
Full time
2:0
HT 2 - 0
Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc

20th in table
LLWLL
-5' Luciano Juba
12' Rodrigo (Penalty)
34' R. Gomez
64' José Guilherme
Friday, 17 July 2026
Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Bahia wins
3Draws
2Chapecoense-sc wins
1.9Goals per game
38%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
01 Oct 2022Serie B Chapecoense-sc 3 - 1 Bahia
14 Jun 2022Serie B Bahia 0 - 1 Chapecoense-sc
24 Oct 2021Serie A Bahia 3 - 0 Chapecoense-sc
04 Jul 2021Serie A Chapecoense-sc 0 - 2 Bahia
07 Nov 2019Serie A Bahia 1 - 1 Chapecoense-SC
28 Jul 2019Serie A Chapecoense-SC 0 - 0 Bahia
04 Nov 2018Serie A Bahia 1 - 0 Chapecoense-sc
19 Jul 2018Serie A Chapecoense-sc 1 - 1 Bahia

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo 332274 68:28 +40 73 WWWWD
2 Palmeiras 3320103 56:22 +34 70 DWWWW
3 Cruzeiro 3317610 52:46 +6 57 WWWLW
4 Fluminense 331599 52:42 +10 54 WLLLW
5 Atletico Paranaense 331599 50:40 +10 54 LDLWD
6 Bahia 3314118 48:42 +6 53 WDLWL
7 Atletico-MG 3314811 44:39 +5 50 LLWWD
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 44:39 +5 47 WWLDW
9 Santos 34121111 50:49 +1 47 LDDWL
10 Sao Paulo 3312714 39:39 0 43 LDWWL
11 Coritiba 3311913 40:50 -10 42 WLLDL
12 Botafogo 3310914 45:53 -8 39 LLWDL
13 Vasco DA Gama 3210814 40:49 -9 38 LWLDW
14 Vitoria 3310815 35:48 -13 38 LDDLW
15 Gremio 3391014 37:44 -7 37 WWLDD
16 Mirassol 3391014 37:47 -10 37 LDWLD
17 Corinthians 339915 36:42 -6 36 WLDLL
18 Internacional 3381114 37:42 -5 35 LWLDW
19 Remo 3361116 36:51 -15 29 WLDDD
20 Chapecoense-sc 324919 32:66 -34 21 LWLLL

Top scorers

Serie A
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21goals 3assists 31apps
2 PedroFlamengo 18goals 6assists 33apps
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 15goals 3assists 25apps
4 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 12goals 2assists 26apps
5 Samuel LinoFlamengo 11goals 9assists 32apps
6 Carlos ViníciusGremio 11goals 1assists 32apps
7 Luciano JubaBahia 11goals 1assists 29apps
8 Danilo SantosBotafogo 10goals 2assists 25apps
9 ReneVitoria 10goals 1assists 25apps
10 J. CalleriSao Paulo 10goals 2assists 27apps

Recent form

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
29 Oct 2026Serie A Bahia 3 - 2 Sao Paulo W
25 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 1 - 1 Bahia D
18 Oct 2026Serie A Bahia 0 - 3 Flamengo L
11 Oct 2026Serie A Bahia 1 - 0 Mirassol W
09 Oct 2026Serie A Palmeiras 1 - 0 Bahia L
20 Sep 2026Serie A Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1 Bahia L
14 Sep 2026Serie A Bahia 2 - 1 Remo W
05 Sep 2026Serie A RB Bragantino 2 - 3 Bahia W
30 Aug 2026Serie A Bahia 3 - 2 Internacional W
23 Aug 2026Serie A Vitoria 0 - 2 Bahia W
2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Serie A Chapecoense-sc 1 - 2 Mirassol L
28 Oct 2026Serie A RB Bragantino 3 - 0 Chapecoense-sc L
24 Oct 2026Serie A Chapecoense-sc 2 - 1 Fluminense W
17 Oct 2026Serie A Botafogo 1 - 0 Chapecoense-sc L
12 Oct 2026Serie A Chapecoense-sc 1 - 4 Atletico Paranaense L
07 Oct 2026Serie A Vitoria 4 - 0 Chapecoense-sc L
26 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Atletico Nacional 1 - 1 Chapecoense-sc D
19 Sep 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Chapecoense-sc D
12 Sep 2026Serie A Chapecoense-sc 1 - 2 Internacional L
06 Sep 2026Serie A Corinthians 1 - 2 Chapecoense-sc W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Bahia Draw Chapecoense-sc

Most likely scores

1-0 14.5%
2-0 11.6%
1-1 11.6%
2-1 9.3%
0-0 9.1%
0-1 7.3%

Expected goals: 1.6 Bahia · 0.8 Chapecoense-sc

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams score44%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
83%
Form
17%
62%
Attack
38%
50%
Defence
50%
76%
Goal model
24%
50%
Head to head
50%
58%
Goals
42%
63%
Overall
36%

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
4
16-30'
4
6
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
2
9
76-90'
8
2
0-15'
2
5
16-30'
6
5
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
9
4
61-75'
5
3
76-90'
6
Bahia Chapecoense-sc

Side by side

Bahia Chapecoense-sc
17 Played 17
7 Won 1
5 Drawn 6
5 Lost 10
1.5 Goals scored per game 1
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.9
1.6 / 1.4 Scored per game (home / away) 1.4 / 0.5
4 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 6
2 Longest winning run 1
3-0 Biggest win 4-2
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-4
3/5 Penalties scored 2/3

Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc: preview and prediction

Bahia host Chapecoense-sc in the Brazil Serie A (Regular Season - 4) on Friday, 17th July 2026 at 23:30 at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador. Bahia sit 6th in the table and Chapecoense-sc 20th.

Bahia have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-D-W). Chapecoense-sc are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Bahia won 3, Chapecoense-sc won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 1.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for Bahia and 0.8 for Chapecoense-sc. It gives Bahia the edge (56% home win, 25% draw, 19% away win), 43% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.61. We also like BTTS Yes, Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.61 odds).

Who will win Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc?

Bahia are favourites: our model gives Bahia 56%, the draw 25% and Chapecoense-sc 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 44% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc?

Kick-off is on Friday, 17th July 2026 at 23:30 at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador.

Who is the referee?

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil is in charge of this game.