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AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II Prediction, H2H & Stats

Netherlands: Eredivisie · Regular Season - 6
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

5th in table
LWDWL
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 0
Willem II

Willem II

18th in table
LLLLW
29' Tonny Vilhena
32' J. Clasie
81' D. Haen
Friday, 11 September 2026
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4AZ Alkmaar wins
3Draws
2Willem II wins
3.7Goals per game
78%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
02 Feb 2025Eredivisie Willem II 0 - 2 AZ Alkmaar
10 Nov 2024Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 2 Willem II
20 Mar 2022Eredivisie Willem II 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar
18 Dec 2021Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 4 - 1 Willem II
03 Apr 2021Eredivisie Willem II 0 - 1 AZ Alkmaar
20 Dec 2020Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 5 - 3 Willem II
18 Jan 2020Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 3 Willem II
06 Oct 2019Eredivisie Willem II 1 - 1 AZ Alkmaar
28 Feb 2019KNVB Beker Willem II 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Feyenoord 10730 32:11 +21 24 DWWWW
2 Ajax 10631 29:13 +16 21 WWDDW
3 PSV Eindhoven 10622 28:13 +15 20 DLWLW
4 Twente 10622 19:10 +9 20 WLDWW
5 AZ Alkmaar 10622 20:12 +8 20 LDLWD
6 Fortuna Sittard 10532 17:17 0 18 WDDWL
7 Heerenveen 10433 18:13 +5 15 WWLWD
8 Groningen 10433 24:21 +3 15 DLWWD
9 GO Ahead Eagles 10352 23:23 0 14 WLDDD
10 Cambuur 10334 19:22 -3 12 WDWDW
11 Utrecht 10334 17:27 -10 12 DWWLW
12 NEC Nijmegen 10253 17:18 -1 11 DDDDL
13 Excelsior 10325 16:19 -3 11 LLLDL
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10235 17:24 -7 9 LWDLL
15 PEC Zwolle 10226 11:23 -12 8 DWLLL
16 Telstar 10136 12:21 -9 6 LLDLD
17 ADO Den Haag 10136 13:23 -10 6 LWDDL
18 Willem II 10028 10:32 -22 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Eredivisie
1 S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles 8goals 2assists 10apps
2 B. WillumssonGroningen 8goals 0assists 10apps
3 J. BrandtAjax 6goals 2assists 10apps
4 J. TrenskowHeerenveen 6goals 2assists 10apps
5 M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam 6goals 1assists 10apps
6 G. TilPSV Eindhoven 6goals 1assists 10apps
7 Nacho FerriFeyenoord 6goals 1assists 9apps
8 A. Hadj-MoussaFeyenoord 6goals 1assists 9apps
9 T. van BergenGroningen 6goals 3assists 10apps
10 G. ZechiëlFeyenoord 5goals 4assists 10apps

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 0 - 2 Twente L
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Ararat-Armenia 0 - 4 AZ Alkmaar W
18 Oct 2026Eredivisie Cambuur 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar D
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 Hapoel Beer Sheva W
10 Oct 2026Eredivisie Feyenoord 2 - 0 AZ Alkmaar L
20 Sep 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Telstar W
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Sunderland 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar L
11 Sep 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Willem II D
06 Sep 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 2 - 3 AZ Alkmaar W
29 Aug 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 5 - 2 GO Ahead Eagles W
1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
27 Oct 2026KNVB Beker Helmond Sport 3 - 4 Willem II W
24 Oct 2026Eredivisie Willem II 1 - 6 Cambuur L
17 Oct 2026Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 2 Willem II L
11 Oct 2026Eredivisie Utrecht 3 - 1 Willem II L
19 Sep 2026Eredivisie Willem II 0 - 1 Fortuna Sittard L
15 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 5 - 1 Willem II L
11 Sep 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Willem II D
05 Sep 2026Eredivisie Willem II 0 - 3 Excelsior L
30 Aug 2026Eredivisie Willem II 2 - 2 Heerenveen D
15 Aug 2026Eredivisie Willem II 1 - 4 NEC Nijmegen L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
AZ Alkmaar Draw Willem II

Most likely scores

3-0 7.6%
3-1 7.6%
4-0 7.1%
4-1 7.1%
2-0 6.1%
2-1 6.1%

Expected goals: 3.75 AZ Alkmaar · 1 Willem II

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals66%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
94%
Form
6%
80%
Attack
20%
72%
Defence
28%
95%
Goal model
5%
71%
Head to head
29%
67%
Goals
33%
79%
Overall
20%

Season numbers

Eredivisie 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
4
46-60'
0
4
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
6
1
76-90'
2
AZ Alkmaar Willem II

Side by side

AZ Alkmaar Willem II
5 Played 4
5 Won 0
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 3
3.2 Goals scored per game 1
1 Goals conceded per game 3.3
3.5 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1
5 Longest winning run 0
5-2 Biggest win -
- Biggest defeat 1-4
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II: preview and prediction

AZ Alkmaar host Willem II in the Netherlands Eredivisie (Regular Season - 6) on Friday, 11th September 2026 at 19:00 at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar. AZ Alkmaar sit 5th in the table and Willem II 18th.

AZ Alkmaar have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-L). Willem II are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 4, Willem II won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 3.75 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1 for Willem II. It gives AZ Alkmaar the edge (82% home win, 9% draw, 6% away win), 82% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 3-0.

Our pick was Home Win. We also like Over 0.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II FAQs

What is the best prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Home Win.

Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II?

AZ Alkmaar are favourites: our model gives AZ Alkmaar 82%, the draw 9% and Willem II 6%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 78% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.8 goals in total, with a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II?

Kick-off is on Friday, 11th September 2026 at 19:00 at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.

Who is the referee?

Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands is in charge of this game.