AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction, H2H & Stats

Netherlands: Eredivisie · Regular Season - 12
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

5th in table
DWLLL
Kick-off
16:45
Sun, 8 Nov 2026
Groningen

Groningen

8th in table
WLDLL
Sunday, 8 November 2026
AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar), Alkmaar

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
6AZ Alkmaar wins
2Draws
2Groningen wins
2.4Goals per game
30%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
22 Mar 2026Eredivisie Groningen 3 - 0 AZ Alkmaar
10 Aug 2025Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 4 - 1 Groningen
11 May 2025Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 3 - 0 Groningen
18 Dec 2024KNVB Beker AZ Alkmaar 3 - 1 Groningen
25 Aug 2024Eredivisie Groningen 0 - 0 AZ Alkmaar
11 Mar 2023Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Groningen
01 Oct 2022Eredivisie Groningen 1 - 4 AZ Alkmaar
21 Dec 2021Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Groningen
24 Oct 2021Eredivisie Groningen 2 - 0 AZ Alkmaar
13 May 2021Eredivisie Groningen 0 - 0 AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Feyenoord 11740 33:12 +21 25 DDWWW
2 Ajax 11731 30:13 +17 24 WWWDD
3 PSV Eindhoven 11722 35:13 +22 23 WDLWL
4 Twente 11722 28:10 +18 23 WWLDW
5 AZ Alkmaar 11623 20:13 +7 20 LLDLW
6 Fortuna Sittard 11542 18:18 0 19 DWDDW
7 Heerenveen 11533 19:13 +6 18 WWWLW
8 Groningen 11434 26:24 +2 15 LDLWW
9 Cambuur 11434 23:22 +1 15 WWDWD
10 GO Ahead Eagles 11353 23:27 -4 14 LWLDD
11 Sparta Rotterdam 11335 20:26 -6 12 WLWDL
12 Utrecht 11335 19:31 -12 12 LDWWL
13 PEC Zwolle 12336 13:24 -11 12 DWDWL
14 NEC Nijmegen 11254 17:19 -2 11 LDDDD
15 Excelsior 11326 16:28 -12 11 LLLLD
16 Telstar 11236 16:23 -7 9 WLLDL
17 ADO Den Haag 11137 13:24 -11 6 LLWDD
18 Willem II 12039 11:40 -29 3 DLLLL

Top scorers

Eredivisie
1 S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles 8goals 2assists 11apps
2 B. WillumssonGroningen 8goals 1assists 11apps
3 W. WeghorstTwente 8goals 2assists 11apps
4 M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam 7goals 1assists 11apps
5 G. TilPSV Eindhoven 7goals 1assists 11apps
6 T. van BergenGroningen 7goals 3assists 11apps
7 J. BrandtAjax 6goals 2assists 11apps
8 J. TrenskowHeerenveen 6goals 2assists 11apps
9 A. Hadj-MoussaFeyenoord 6goals 2assists 10apps
10 S. MijnansPSV Eindhoven 6goals 2assists 9apps

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
05 Nov 2026UEFA Europa League AZ Alkmaar 1 - 2 Juventus L
31 Oct 2026Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar L
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 0 - 2 Twente L
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Ararat-Armenia 0 - 4 AZ Alkmaar W
18 Oct 2026Eredivisie Cambuur 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar D
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 Hapoel Beer Sheva W
10 Oct 2026Eredivisie Feyenoord 2 - 0 AZ Alkmaar L
20 Sep 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Telstar W
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Sunderland 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar L
11 Sep 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Willem II D
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Eredivisie Groningen 2 - 3 Sparta Rotterdam L
29 Oct 2026KNVB Beker Groningen 0 - 2 Emmen L
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 2 - 2 Groningen D
18 Oct 2026Eredivisie Groningen 2 - 5 Ajax L
11 Oct 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 1 - 5 Groningen W
18 Sep 2026Eredivisie Groningen 3 - 0 PEC Zwolle W
12 Sep 2026Eredivisie GO Ahead Eagles 1 - 1 Groningen D
06 Sep 2026Eredivisie Groningen 2 - 2 Twente D
28 Aug 2026Eredivisie Groningen 2 - 3 Fortuna Sittard L
23 Aug 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 5 - 1 Groningen L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
AZ Alkmaar Draw Groningen
Value spotted: Groningen win at 5.50 (model 37% vs market 17%)

Most likely scores

1-1 8.5%
2-1 8%
1-2 7.6%
2-2 7.2%
3-1 5.1%
1-0 4.7%

Expected goals: 1.9 AZ Alkmaar · 1.8 Groningen

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams score71%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
36%
Form
64%
18%
Attack
82%
61%
Defence
39%
61%
Goal model
39%
71%
Head to head
29%
67%
Goals
33%
52%
Overall
47%

Season numbers

Eredivisie 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
7
2
16-30'
6
4
31-45'
4
4
46-60'
2
4
61-75'
3
5
76-90'
3
3
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
6
1
46-60'
5
1
61-75'
4
3
76-90'
4
AZ Alkmaar Groningen

Side by side

AZ Alkmaar Groningen
11 Played 11
6 Won 4
2 Drawn 3
3 Lost 4
1.8 Goals scored per game 2.4
1.2 Goals conceded per game 2.2
1.8 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 2.2 / 2.6
3 Clean sheets 1
3 Failed to score 0
5 Longest winning run 2
5-2 Biggest win 3-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 2-5
1/1 Penalties scored 1/2

What comes next

AZ Alkmaar
Groningen (H) 08 Nov
Sparta Rotterdam (A) 22 Nov
Sparta Praha (A) 26 Nov
PEC Zwolle (A) 29 Nov
PSV Eindhoven (H) 05 Dec
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar (A) 08 Nov
Heerenveen (H) 21 Nov
Willem II (H) 27 Nov
Telstar (A) 04 Dec
Feyenoord (H) 13 Dec
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
AZ Alkmaar 1.53 65% implied Our tip
Draw 4.50 22% implied
Groningen 5.50 18% implied
AZ Alkmaar 1.20 83% implied Our tip
Groningen 4.33 23% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 21.00 5% implied
Over 1.5 1.11 90% implied
Under 1.5 6.50 15% implied
Over 2.5 1.40 71% implied
Under 2.5 2.88 35% implied
Over 3.5 2.00 50% implied
Under 3.5 1.73 58% implied
Over 4.5 3.40 29% implied
Under 4.5 1.30 77% implied
AZ Alkmaar/Draw 15.00 7% implied
AZ Alkmaar/Groningen 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Groningen 12.00 8% implied
Draw/Draw 8.00 13% implied
AZ Alkmaar/AZ Alkmaar 2.25 44% implied
Draw/AZ Alkmaar 4.75 21% implied
Groningen/AZ Alkmaar 17.00 6% implied
Groningen/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Groningen/Groningen 9.00 11% implied
Yes 1.50 67% implied
No 2.50 40% implied
2:1 8.50 12% implied
1:1 9.00 11% implied
2:0 10.00 10% implied
3:1 11.00 9% implied
1:0 12.00 8% implied
3:0 13.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
3:2 17.00 6% implied
AZ Alkmaar/Draw 1.14 88% implied
AZ Alkmaar/Groningen 1.18 85% implied
Draw/Groningen 2.38 42% implied
AZ Alkmaar 1.95 51% implied Our tip
Draw 2.75 36% implied
Groningen 5.00 20% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: preview and prediction

AZ Alkmaar host Groningen in the Netherlands Eredivisie (Regular Season - 12) on Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 16:45 at AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar), Alkmaar. AZ Alkmaar sit 5th in the table and Groningen 8th.

AZ Alkmaar are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-L-L). Groningen are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-L).

In the last 10 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 6, Groningen won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 30% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.9 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.8 for Groningen. It gives AZ Alkmaar the edge (41% home win, 22% draw, 37% away win), 71% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Verdict: our pick is Home Win at odds of 1.55.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen FAQs

What is the best prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.55 odds).

Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?

AZ Alkmaar are favourites: our model gives AZ Alkmaar 41%, the draw 22% and Groningen 37%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 71% chance in our model, and it happened in 30% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 8th November 2026 at 16:45 at AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar), Alkmaar.