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Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 36
Ayr Utd

Ayr Utd

7th in table
WDLWW
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 1
ST Johnstone

ST Johnstone

1st in table
WDLDD
37' K. Fotheringham
64' N. McAllister
80' M. Boyes
Friday, 1 May 2026
Somerset Park, Ayr
J. Hay

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
1Ayr Utd wins
2Draws
4ST Johnstone wins
3.3Goals per game
71%Both scored
71%Over 2.5
28 Feb 2026Championship ST Johnstone 3 - 1 Ayr Utd
17 Feb 2026Challenge Cup ST Johnstone 3 - 3 Ayr Utd
12 Dec 2025Championship Ayr Utd 2 - 4 ST Johnstone
04 Oct 2025Championship ST Johnstone 0 - 0 Ayr Utd
25 Jul 2023League Cup ST Johnstone 1 - 2 Ayr Utd
23 Jul 2022League Cup ST Johnstone 1 - 0 Ayr Utd
08 Feb 2020FA Cup Ayr Utd 1 - 2 ST Johnstone

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 ST Johnstone 3622113 67:25 +42 77 WWWWW
2 Partick 3617154 53:36 +17 66 DDDWD
3 Arbroath 36131310 43:41 +2 52 DDWLL
4 Dunfermline 3614913 52:41 +11 51 DWLDL
5 Raith Rovers 3612915 43:42 +1 45 WLLWW
6 Queen's Park 3691413 35:48 -13 41 DLDLW
7 Ayr Utd 3681513 38:47 -9 39 LLLWL
8 Morton 3681414 36:52 -16 38 DLDLL
9 Airdrie United 3681216 35:49 -14 36 DWDDL
10 Ross County 3681018 36:57 -21 34 LWWLL

Top scorers

Championship
1 S. MallanST Johnstone 2goals 2assists 11apps
2 U. IkpeazuST Johnstone 1goals 0assists 14apps
3 G. Mackay-StevenRoss County 0goals 1assists 1apps
4 T. Oakley-BootheDunfermline 0goals 0assists 22apps
5 R. CallachanArbroath 0goals 0assists 1apps
6 J. BonnarAyr Utd 0goals 0assists 1apps
7 C. MainAyr Utd 0goals 0assists 1apps
8 T. WattPartick 0goals 0assists 1apps
9 R. FlynnArbroath 0goals 0assists 1apps
10 R. DochertyRoss County 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 4 L in the last 9
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Annan Athletic 0 - 2 Ayr Utd W
31 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 3 - 2 Queen's Park W
16 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Partick L
10 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
03 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 2 Ayr Utd W
25 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir L
18 Sep 2026Championship Queen's Park 0 - 2 Ayr Utd W
12 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 3 Inverness CT L
05 Sep 2026Championship Partick 1 - 0 Ayr Utd L
2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premiership Kilmarnock 2 - 2 ST Johnstone D
28 Oct 2026Premiership ST Johnstone 2 - 2 Motherwell D
24 Oct 2026Premiership Rangers 4 - 0 ST Johnstone L
17 Oct 2026Premiership ST Johnstone 1 - 1 Dundee Utd D
11 Oct 2026Premiership Aberdeen 0 - 1 ST Johnstone W
19 Sep 2026Premiership ST Johnstone 1 - 1 Falkirk D
09 Sep 2026Premiership ST Johnstone 0 - 1 Celtic L
06 Sep 2026Premiership ST Johnstone 2 - 1 Hibernian W
02 Sep 2026Premiership Dundee 1 - 1 ST Johnstone D
29 Aug 2026Premiership Heart Of Midlothian 2 - 1 ST Johnstone L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ayr Utd Draw ST Johnstone

Most likely scores

0-1 13.8%
1-1 12.4%
0-2 10%
0-0 9.5%
1-2 9%
1-0 8.6%

Expected goals: 0.9 Ayr Utd · 1.45 ST Johnstone

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams score45%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
24%
Form
76%
24%
Attack
76%
27%
Defence
73%
24%
Goal model
76%
50%
Head to head
50%
45%
Goals
55%
32%
Overall
67%

Season numbers

Championship 2025

When the goals come

9
0-15'
6
10
16-30'
16
6
31-45'
10
4
46-60'
10
2
61-75'
9
6
76-90'
15
9
0-15'
5
3
16-30'
2
6
31-45'
6
10
46-60'
5
7
61-75'
3
12
76-90'
4
Ayr Utd ST Johnstone

Side by side

Ayr Utd ST Johnstone
35 Played 35
8 Won 21
15 Drawn 11
12 Lost 3
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.9
1.3 Goals conceded per game 0.7
1 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 2.1 / 1.7
8 Clean sheets 19
9 Failed to score 7
2 Longest winning run 4
4-2 Biggest win 5-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-1
3/3 Penalties scored 4/4

Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone: preview and prediction

Ayr Utd host ST Johnstone in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 36) on Friday, 1st May 2026 at 19:45 at Somerset Park, Ayr. Ayr Utd sit 7th in the table and ST Johnstone 1st.

Ayr Utd are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W). ST Johnstone have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-D-D).

In the last 7 meetings, Ayr Utd won 1, ST Johnstone won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% and over 2.5 goals in 71%.

Our goal model expects about 0.9 goals for Ayr Utd and 1.45 for ST Johnstone. It gives ST Johnstone the edge (23% home win, 27% draw, 50% away win), 42% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.71.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.71 odds).

Who will win Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone?

ST Johnstone are favourites: our model gives Ayr Utd 23%, the draw 27% and ST Johnstone 50%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 45% chance in our model, and it happened in 71% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone?

Kick-off is on Friday, 1st May 2026 at 19:45 at Somerset Park, Ayr.

Who is the referee?

J. Hay is in charge of this game.