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Ayr Utd vs Partick Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 11
Ayr Utd

Ayr Utd

7th in table
WDLWW
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 1
Partick

Partick

1st in table
WDWLW
35' O. Smyth
45' O. Smyth (Penalty)
56' L. McBeth
57' S. Drozd
75' L. Ashcroft
90' T. Letsosa
90+1' A. Fitzpatrick
90+3' S. McMann
90+3' B. McPherson
Friday, 16 October 2026
Somerset Park, Ayr
M. MacDermid

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
1Ayr Utd wins
2Draws
6Partick wins
1.8Goals per game
33%Both scored
22%Over 2.5
05 Sep 2026Championship Partick 1 - 0 Ayr Utd
04 Apr 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Partick
24 Jan 2026Championship Partick 2 - 1 Ayr Utd
06 Dec 2025Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 0 Partick
21 Oct 2025Championship Partick 2 - 1 Ayr Utd
16 Aug 2025League Cup Partick 2 - 0 Ayr Utd
09 May 2025Premiership Ayr Utd 0 - 2 Partick
06 May 2025Premiership Partick 0 - 1 Ayr Utd
15 Mar 2025Championship Partick 2 - 0 Ayr Utd

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Partick 13742 17:7 +10 25 LWDWW
2 Raith Rovers 13733 20:9 +11 24 WLDWW
3 Dunfermline 13661 15:7 +8 24 WWWDD
4 Stenhousemuir 13724 13:12 +1 23 LLLDL
5 Livingston 13625 18:11 +7 20 WWDLL
6 Inverness CT 13544 17:16 +1 19 LWWLW
7 Ayr Utd 12435 13:14 -1 15 WLDWL
8 Arbroath 13328 7:22 -15 11 LLLLL
9 Morton 12318 12:20 -8 10 WWWLL
10 Queen's Park 132110 8:22 -14 7 LLLWL

Recent form

4 W 1 D 4 L in the last 9
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Annan Athletic 0 - 2 Ayr Utd W
31 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 3 - 2 Queen's Park W
16 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Partick L
10 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
03 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 2 Ayr Utd W
25 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir L
18 Sep 2026Championship Queen's Park 0 - 2 Ayr Utd W
12 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 3 Inverness CT L
05 Sep 2026Championship Partick 1 - 0 Ayr Utd L
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Edinburgh City 0 - 3 Partick W
31 Oct 2026Championship Partick 2 - 3 Morton L
24 Oct 2026Championship Partick 3 - 0 Stenhousemuir W
20 Oct 2026Championship Dunfermline 1 - 1 Partick D
16 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Partick W
10 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 2 Partick W
03 Oct 2026Championship Partick 3 - 0 Arbroath W
19 Sep 2026Championship Partick 0 - 0 Raith Rovers D
15 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Partick L
05 Sep 2026Championship Partick 1 - 0 Ayr Utd W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ayr Utd Draw Partick
Value spotted: Ayr Utd win at 4.19 (model 29% vs market 22%) · Draw at 3.55 (model 31% vs market 25%)

Most likely scores

0-1 14.9%
0-0 13.5%
1-1 13.4%
1-0 12.2%
0-2 8.2%
1-2 7.4%

Expected goals: 0.9 Ayr Utd · 1.1 Partick

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams score40%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
41%
Form
59%
50%
Attack
50%
25%
Defence
75%
32%
Goal model
68%
15%
Head to head
85%
33%
Goals
67%
32%
Overall
67%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
3
5
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
4
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2
Ayr Utd Partick

Side by side

Ayr Utd Partick
10 Played 9
3 Won 5
3 Drawn 3
4 Lost 1
1 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.1 Goals conceded per game 0.3
1 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.2 / 1
2 Clean sheets 6
3 Failed to score 3
1 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 3-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 1-0
1/2 Penalties scored 0/0

Ayr Utd vs Partick: preview and prediction

Ayr Utd host Partick in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 11) on Friday, 16th October 2026 at 19:30 at Somerset Park, Ayr. Ayr Utd sit 7th in the table and Partick 1st.

Ayr Utd are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W). Partick are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Ayr Utd won 1, Partick won 6 and 2 ended level. These games average 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 22%.

Our goal model expects about 0.9 goals for Ayr Utd and 1.1 for Partick. It gives Partick the edge (29% home win, 31% draw, 40% away win), 32% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.14. We also like Away Win, Over 2.5, HT Over 0.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ayr Utd vs Partick FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ayr Utd vs Partick?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.14 odds).

Who will win Ayr Utd vs Partick?

Partick are favourites: our model gives Ayr Utd 29%, the draw 31% and Partick 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 40% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ayr Utd vs Partick?

Kick-off is on Friday, 16th October 2026 at 19:30 at Somerset Park, Ayr.

Who is the referee?

M. MacDermid is in charge of this game.