Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz Prediction, H2H & Stats

Austria: Cup · Round of 16
Kick-off
18:00
Thu, 29 Oct 2026
Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

WLWWD
Thursday, 29 October 2026
Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6games
0Austria Lustenau wins
1Draws
5Sturm Graz wins
2.2Goals per game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
22 Aug 2026Bundesliga Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Austria Lustenau
25 Nov 2023Bundesliga Sturm Graz 2 - 0 Austria Lustenau
19 Aug 2023Bundesliga Austria Lustenau 0 - 1 Sturm Graz
04 Mar 2023Bundesliga Austria Lustenau 0 - 2 Sturm Graz
18 Sep 2022Bundesliga Sturm Graz 2 - 0 Austria Lustenau
30 Oct 2013Cup Austria Lustenau 0 - 4 Sturm Graz

Recent form

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga Rapid Vienna 5 - 1 Austria Lustenau L
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Austria Lustenau 0 - 4 Lask Linz L
11 Oct 2026Bundesliga TSV Hartberg 4 - 3 Austria Lustenau L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Austria Lustenau 0 - 1 FC Schalke 04 L
24 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Austria Lustenau 3 - 1 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz W
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga Austria Lustenau 2 - 0 SCR Altach W
13 Sep 2026Bundesliga Austria Vienna 2 - 1 Austria Lustenau L
05 Sep 2026Cup SV Lafnitz 2 - 6 Austria Lustenau W
28 Aug 2026Bundesliga Austria Lustenau 0 - 4 WSG Wattens L
22 Aug 2026Bundesliga Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Austria Lustenau D
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Bundesliga Sturm Graz 2 - 2 Ried D
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Marseille W
18 Oct 2026Bundesliga Sturm Graz 6 - 1 Grazer AK W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Bournemouth 3 - 0 Sturm Graz L
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga Austria Vienna 0 - 2 Sturm Graz W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Sturm Graz 3 - 1 Floridsdorfer AC W
20 Sep 2026Bundesliga Red Bull Salzburg 3 - 0 Sturm Graz L
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz 0 - 0 Rennes D
13 Sep 2026Bundesliga Sturm Graz 2 - 1 Lask Linz W
05 Sep 2026Cup Voitsberg 1 - 4 Sturm Graz W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Austria Lustenau Draw Sturm Graz
Value spotted: Austria Lustenau win at 6.50 (model 35% vs market 14%)

Most likely scores

1-2 7.2%
2-2 7.2%
1-1 6.4%
2-1 6.4%
1-3 5.4%
2-3 5.4%

Expected goals: 2 Austria Lustenau · 2.25 Sturm Graz

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals61%
Both teams score77%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
33%
Defence
67%
0%
Goal model
0%
7%
Head to head
93%
11%
Goals
89%
30%
Overall
69%

Season numbers

Cup 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
Austria Lustenau Sturm Graz

Side by side

Austria Lustenau Sturm Graz
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
3.5 Goals scored per game 3.5
1 Goals conceded per game 0.5
0 / 3.5 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 3.5
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 2
2-6 Biggest win 1-4
- Biggest defeat -
0/1 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Austria Lustenau
Sturm Graz (H) 29 Oct
Red Bull Salzburg (A) 01 Nov
Grazer AK (H) 07 Nov
WSG Wattens (A) 21 Nov
Rapid Vienna (H) 28 Nov
Sturm Graz
Austria Lustenau (A) 29 Oct
Wolfsberger AC (A) 01 Nov
Celje (H) 05 Nov
Red Bull Salzburg (H) 08 Nov
SCR Altach (A) 22 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Austria Lustenau 6.50 15% implied
Draw 4.50 22% implied
Sturm Graz 1.45 69% implied Our tip
Austria Lustenau 4.50 22% implied
Sturm Graz 1.18 85% implied Our tip
Over 0.5 1.03 97% implied
Under 0.5 15.00 7% implied
Over 1.5 1.17 85% implied
Under 1.5 5.00 20% implied
Over 2.5 1.57 64% implied
Under 2.5 2.35 43% implied
Over 3.5 2.38 42% implied
Under 3.5 1.53 65% implied
Over 4.5 4.33 23% implied
Under 4.5 1.20 83% implied
Austria Lustenau/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Austria Lustenau/Sturm Graz 19.00 5% implied
Draw/Sturm Graz 4.50 22% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00 14% implied
Austria Lustenau/Austria Lustenau 11.00 9% implied
Draw/Austria Lustenau 13.00 8% implied
Sturm Graz/Austria Lustenau 34.00 3% implied
Sturm Graz/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Sturm Graz/Sturm Graz 2.20 45% implied
Yes 1.73 58% implied
No 2.00 50% implied
0:2 8.00 13% implied
1:1 8.50 12% implied
1:2 8.50 12% implied
0:1 9.00 11% implied
0:3 11.00 9% implied
1:3 11.00 9% implied
0:0 15.00 7% implied
2:2 15.00 7% implied
Austria Lustenau/Draw 2.62 38% implied
Austria Lustenau/Sturm Graz 1.18 85% implied
Draw/Sturm Graz 1.11 90% implied
Austria Lustenau 6.00 17% implied
Draw 2.50 40% implied
Sturm Graz 1.91 52% implied Our tip

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz: preview and prediction

Austria Lustenau host Sturm Graz in the Austria Cup (Round of 16) on Thursday, 29th October 2026 at 18:00 at Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau.

Austria Lustenau are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L). Sturm Graz are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-D).

In the last 6 meetings, Austria Lustenau won 0, Sturm Graz won 5 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% and over 2.5 goals in 17%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Austria Lustenau and 2.25 for Sturm Graz. It gives Sturm Graz the edge (35% home win, 20% draw, 45% away win), 79% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Verdict: our pick is Away Win.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz FAQs

What is the best prediction for Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Away Win.

Who will win Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?

Sturm Graz are favourites: our model gives Austria Lustenau 35%, the draw 20% and Sturm Graz 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 77% chance in our model, and it happened in 17% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.3 goals in total, with a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 29th October 2026 at 18:00 at Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau.