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Australia vs Brazil Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: Friendlies · Friendly International
Australia

Australia

LDDDL
Full time
2:4
HT 2 - 2
Brazil

Brazil

WLDWW
3' Vanderson
28' A. Circati
33' C. Metcalfe
40' Gabriel Magalhães
45' Raphinha (Penalty)
57' Nestory Irankunda
68' Harry Souttar
68' Endrick
69' Bruno Guimaraes
80' Vinicius Junior (Penalty)
Tuesday, 29 September 2026
Accor Stadium, Sydney
Yusuke Araki, Japan

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
0Australia wins
1Draws
1Brazil wins
3Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
25 Sep 2026Friendlies Australia 1 - 1 Brazil
13 Jun 2017Friendlies Australia 0 - 4 Brazil

Top scorers

Friendlies
1 M. OsmajićMontenegro 5goals 0assists 4apps
2 Son Heung-MinSouth Korea 5goals 0assists 8apps
3 L. SadulaevRussia 4goals 1assists 7apps
4 J. VélezPeru 4goals 0assists 8apps
5 D. LukebakioBelgium 4goals 0assists 3apps
6 F. WirtzGermany 3goals 2assists 4apps
7 N. PazArgentina 3goals 1assists 6apps
8 M. AraújoUruguay 3goals 1assists 5apps
9 J. HallUSA 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 M. OliseFrance 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
29 Sep 2026Friendlies Australia 2 - 4 Brazil L
25 Sep 2026Friendlies Australia 1 - 1 Brazil D
03 Jul 2026World Cup Australia 1 - 1 Egypt D
26 Jun 2026World Cup Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia D
19 Jun 2026World Cup USA 2 - 0 Australia L
14 Jun 2026World Cup Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye W
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Switzerland 1 - 1 Australia D
31 May 2026Friendlies Mexico 1 - 0 Australia L
31 Mar 2026FIFA Series Australia 5 - 1 Curaçao W
27 Mar 2026FIFA Series Australia 1 - 0 Cameroon W
7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
03 Oct 2026Friendlies India 0 - 4 Brazil W
29 Sep 2026Friendlies Australia 2 - 4 Brazil W
25 Sep 2026Friendlies Australia 1 - 1 Brazil D
05 Jul 2026World Cup Brazil 1 - 2 Norway L
29 Jun 2026World Cup Brazil 2 - 1 Japan W
24 Jun 2026World Cup Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil W
20 Jun 2026World Cup Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti W
13 Jun 2026World Cup Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco D
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Brazil 2 - 1 Egypt W
31 May 2026Friendlies Brazil 6 - 2 Panama W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Australia Draw Brazil
Value spotted: Australia win at 10.70 (model 35% vs market 9%) · Draw at 5.90 (model 31% vs market 17%)

Most likely scores

0-0 13.5%
0-1 13.5%
1-0 13.5%
1-1 13.5%
0-2 6.8%
1-2 6.8%

Expected goals: 1 Australia · 1 Brazil

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams score40%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
17%
Form
83%
13%
Attack
87%
70%
Defence
30%
41%
Goal model
59%
20%
Head to head
80%
17%
Goals
83%
29%
Overall
70%

Season numbers

Friendlies 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
3
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
5
1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2
Australia Brazil

Side by side

Australia Brazil
3 Played 5
0 Won 3
2 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
0.7 Goals scored per game 2.6
1 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1 / 0.5 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 1
0 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 3
- Biggest win 6-2
1-0 Biggest defeat 1-2
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

Australia vs Brazil: preview and prediction

Australia host Brazil in the World Friendlies (Friendly International) on Tuesday, 29th September 2026 at 11:00 at Accor Stadium, Sydney.

Australia are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-D-L). Brazil are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-D-W-W).

In the last 2 meetings, Australia won 0, Brazil won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Australia and 1 for Brazil. It gives Australia the edge (35% home win, 31% draw, 35% away win), 32% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Under 3.5 at odds of 1.68.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Australia vs Brazil FAQs

What is the best prediction for Australia vs Brazil?

Our top tip is Over/Under 3.5: Under 3.5 (1.68 odds).

Who will win Australia vs Brazil?

It looks very close: our model gives Australia 35%, the draw 31% and Brazil 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 40% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Australia vs Brazil?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 29th September 2026 at 11:00 at Accor Stadium, Sydney.

Who is the referee?

Yusuke Araki, Japan is in charge of this game.