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Aurora vs Nacional Potosí Prediction, H2H & Stats

Bolivia: Primera División · Apertura - 21
Aurora

Aurora

6th in table
WDLLW
Full time
2:2
HT 1 - 2
Nacional Potosí

Nacional Potosí

7th in table
WDLLW
16' A. Terrazas (Penalty)
21' P. Azogue
36' P. Azogue
45+14' leandro barro
45' M. Tomianovic (Penalty)
69' Óscar Damián Villalba
69' R. Ramallo
73' Weslen Junior
75' Harrison Mojica
79' Jair Torrico
90+4' Juan Batista
Sunday, 11 October 2026
Felix Capriles, Cochabamba
M. Lopez

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Aurora wins
2Draws
4Nacional Potosí wins
2.6Goals per game
56%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
10 Jul 2026Primera División Nacional Potosí 2 - 0 Aurora
27 Sep 2025Primera División Aurora 1 - 2 Nacional Potosí
16 May 2025Primera División Nacional Potosí 3 - 1 Aurora
17 Dec 2024Primera División Aurora 1 - 1 Nacional Potosí
14 Sep 2024Primera División Nacional Potosí 1 - 3 Aurora
12 Mar 2024Primera División Aurora 4 - 1 Nacional Potosí
03 Mar 2024Primera División Nacional Potosí 1 - 0 Aurora
22 Jul 2023Primera División Nacional Potosí 0 - 0 Aurora
19 Feb 2023Primera División Aurora 2 - 0 Nacional Potosí

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bolívar 231733 58:23 +35 54 WWWWW
2 Always Ready 231562 55:16 +39 51 WLWWW
3 The Strongest 231364 42:26 +16 45 LWLWW
4 Real Potosí 231085 30:16 +14 38 LWWWW
5 Oriente Petrolero 231148 40:29 +11 37 WDWWL
6 Aurora 238105 34:30 +4 34 WLDLW
7 Nacional Potosí 239410 35:31 +4 31 WLDLW
8 Guabirá 23869 34:47 -13 30 LDLWL
9 Independiente Petrolero 238510 31:39 -8 29 WDLLL
10 Blooming 236107 31:25 +6 28 LDLDW
11 Real Oruro 238312 37:56 -19 27 LWWLL
12 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 237313 24:43 -19 24 WLDWL
13 Universitario de Vinto 236314 30:45 -15 21 LWLDW
14 Gualberto Villarroel SJ 234811 27:40 -13 20 WLWLL
15 ABB 236215 33:51 -18 20 LLLLL
16 Real Tomayapo 235513 16:40 -24 20 LWDLL

Top scorers

Primera División
1 E. TriverioAlways Ready 18goals 0assists 23apps
2 A. CáceresGualberto Villarroel SJ 12goals 2assists 22apps
3 WillieIndependiente Petrolero 10goals 0assists 23apps
4 Felipe Fajardo JuanABB 10goals 3assists 22apps
5 J. FloresOriente Petrolero 8goals 3assists 19apps
6 D. RomeroBolívar 8goals 1assists 19apps
7 D. LomThe Strongest 7goals 0assists 18apps
8 G. PeredoGuabirá 6goals 2assists 21apps
9 M. CauteruccioBolívar 6goals 2assists 20apps
10 M. RangelAurora 6goals 1assists 20apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Primera División Aurora 1 - 0 Real Tomayapo W
20 Oct 2026Copa de la División Profesional Independiente Petrolero 4 - 0 Aurora L
17 Oct 2026Primera División Real Oruro 1 - 0 Aurora L
11 Oct 2026Primera División Aurora 2 - 2 Nacional Potosí D
07 Oct 2026Copa de la División Profesional Aurora 2 - 0 ABB W
03 Oct 2026Copa de la División Profesional Real Potosí 1 - 1 Aurora D
30 Sep 2026Copa de la División Profesional Aurora 2 - 2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo D
25 Sep 2026Copa de la División Profesional ABB 0 - 1 Aurora W
19 Sep 2026Copa de la División Profesional Aurora 4 - 2 Universitario de Vinto W
16 Sep 2026Primera División Guabirá 3 - 1 Aurora L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
26 Oct 2026Primera División Nacional Potosí 3 - 0 Guabirá W
22 Oct 2026Copa de la División Profesional Oriente Petrolero 3 - 2 Nacional Potosí L
18 Oct 2026Primera División Nacional Potosí 0 - 1 Bolívar L
11 Oct 2026Primera División Aurora 2 - 2 Nacional Potosí D
08 Oct 2026Copa de la División Profesional Always Ready 2 - 3 Nacional Potosí W
03 Oct 2026Copa de la División Profesional Nacional Potosí 2 - 0 Real Oruro W
30 Sep 2026Copa de la División Profesional Real Tomayapo 1 - 1 Nacional Potosí D
25 Sep 2026Copa de la División Profesional Nacional Potosí 9 - 0 Always Ready W
22 Sep 2026Copa de la División Profesional Nacional Potosí 0 - 1 Real Potosí L
20 Sep 2026Copa de la División Profesional Real Potosí 2 - 2 Nacional Potosí D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Aurora Draw Nacional Potosí
Value spotted: Nacional Potosí win at 4.54 (model 29% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.8%
2-1 9.4%
1-0 8.3%
2-0 7.3%
1-2 7%
0-1 6.2%

Expected goals: 1.75 Aurora · 1.3 Nacional Potosí

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score60%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
47%
Form
53%
50%
Attack
50%
58%
Defence
42%
53%
Goal model
47%
29%
Head to head
71%
40%
Goals
60%
46%
Overall
53%

Season numbers

Primera División 2026

When the goals come

5
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
3
7
31-45'
6
3
46-60'
5
8
61-75'
7
5
76-90'
7
8
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
6
9
46-60'
6
3
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
9
Aurora Nacional Potosí

Side by side

Aurora Nacional Potosí
20 Played 20
7 Won 8
9 Drawn 3
4 Lost 9
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.4
2.1 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.2
5 Clean sheets 6
4 Failed to score 3
2 Longest winning run 2
3-0 Biggest win 4-1
2-4 Biggest defeat 0-4
5/5 Penalties scored 1/1

Aurora vs Nacional Potosí: preview and prediction

Aurora host Nacional Potosí in the Bolivia Primera División (Apertura - 21) on Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 22:15 at Felix Capriles, Cochabamba. Aurora sit 6th in the table and Nacional Potosí 7th.

Aurora have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-L-L-W). Nacional Potosí have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-L-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Aurora won 3, Nacional Potosí won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Aurora and 1.3 for Nacional Potosí. It gives Aurora the edge (48% home win, 23% draw, 29% away win), 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 2.07.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Aurora vs Nacional Potosí FAQs

What is the best prediction for Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (2.07 odds).

Who will win Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?

Aurora are favourites: our model gives Aurora 48%, the draw 23% and Nacional Potosí 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 60% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 22:15 at Felix Capriles, Cochabamba.

Who is the referee?

M. Lopez is in charge of this game.