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Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Serie A · Regular Season - 16
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense

5th in table
DWLDL
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 0
Flamengo

Flamengo

1st in table
DWDWW
11' S. Mendoza
25' Jorge Carrascal
40' Felipinho
56' Jádson
70' Danilo
84' Pedro
90+2' Danilo
90+2' Danilo
Sunday, 17 May 2026
Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Atletico Paranaense wins
1Draws
6Flamengo wins
2.3Goals per game
33%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
29 Sep 2024Serie A Flamengo 1 - 0 Atletico Paranaense
16 Jun 2024Serie A Atletico Paranaense 1 - 1 Flamengo
14 Sep 2023Serie A Flamengo 0 - 3 Atletico Paranaense
13 Jul 2023Copa Do Brasil Atletico Paranaense 0 - 2 Flamengo
06 Jul 2023Copa Do Brasil Flamengo 2 - 1 Atletico Paranaense
07 May 2023Serie A Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1 Flamengo
29 Oct 2022CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo 1 - 0 Atletico Paranaense
18 Aug 2022Copa Do Brasil Atletico Paranaense 0 - 1 Flamengo
14 Aug 2022Serie A Flamengo 5 - 0 Atletico Paranaense

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo 332274 68:28 +40 73 WWWWD
2 Palmeiras 3320103 56:22 +34 70 DWWWW
3 Cruzeiro 3317610 52:46 +6 57 WWWLW
4 Fluminense 331599 52:42 +10 54 WLLLW
5 Atletico Paranaense 331599 50:40 +10 54 LDLWD
6 Bahia 3314118 48:42 +6 53 WDLWL
7 Atletico-MG 3314811 44:39 +5 50 LLWWD
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 44:39 +5 47 WWLDW
9 Santos 34121111 50:49 +1 47 LDDWL
10 Sao Paulo 3312714 39:39 0 43 LDWWL
11 Coritiba 3311913 40:50 -10 42 WLLDL
12 Botafogo 3310914 45:53 -8 39 LLWDL
13 Vasco DA Gama 3210814 40:49 -9 38 LWLDW
14 Vitoria 3310815 35:48 -13 38 LDDLW
15 Gremio 3391014 37:44 -7 37 WWLDD
16 Mirassol 3391014 37:47 -10 37 LDWLD
17 Corinthians 339915 36:42 -6 36 WLDLL
18 Internacional 3381114 37:42 -5 35 LWLDW
19 Remo 3361116 36:51 -15 29 WLDDD
20 Chapecoense-sc 324919 32:66 -34 21 LWLLL

Top scorers

Serie A
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21goals 3assists 31apps
2 PedroFlamengo 18goals 6assists 33apps
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 15goals 3assists 25apps
4 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 12goals 2assists 26apps
5 Samuel LinoFlamengo 11goals 9assists 32apps
6 Carlos ViníciusGremio 11goals 1assists 32apps
7 Luciano JubaBahia 11goals 1assists 29apps
8 Danilo SantosBotafogo 10goals 2assists 25apps
9 ReneVitoria 10goals 1assists 25apps
10 J. CalleriSao Paulo 10goals 2assists 27apps

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Serie A Gremio 2 - 0 Atletico Paranaense L
24 Oct 2026Serie A Vitoria 1 - 1 Atletico Paranaense D
17 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico Paranaense 0 - 2 Palmeiras L
12 Oct 2026Serie A Chapecoense-sc 1 - 4 Atletico Paranaense W
08 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico Paranaense 2 - 2 Atletico-MG D
20 Sep 2026Serie A Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1 Bahia W
12 Sep 2026Serie A Coritiba 3 - 3 Atletico Paranaense D
06 Sep 2026Serie A Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Atletico Paranaense L
30 Aug 2026Serie A Atletico Paranaense 3 - 3 Fluminense D
24 Aug 2026Serie A Botafogo 2 - 3 Atletico Paranaense W
6 W 4 D 0 L in the last 10
29 Oct 2026Serie A Vasco DA Gama 1 - 4 Flamengo W
26 Oct 2026Serie A Flamengo 3 - 2 Atletico-MG W
23 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo 0 - 0 Estudiantes L.P. D
18 Oct 2026Serie A Bahia 0 - 3 Flamengo W
16 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Estudiantes L.P. 0 - 0 Flamengo D
11 Oct 2026Serie A Flamengo 1 - 0 Fluminense W
08 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 2 - 2 Flamengo D
20 Sep 2026Serie A Flamengo 2 - 1 RB Bragantino W
18 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle D
13 Sep 2026Serie A Flamengo 2 - 1 Corinthians W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Atletico Paranaense Draw Flamengo
Value spotted: Atletico Paranaense win at 3.27 (model 43% vs market 29%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.3%
1-0 10.2%
2-1 8.9%
0-1 8.5%
2-0 7.4%
1-2 7.4%

Expected goals: 1.45 Atletico Paranaense · 1.2 Flamengo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
35%
Form
65%
31%
Attack
69%
50%
Defence
50%
55%
Goal model
45%
29%
Head to head
71%
45%
Goals
55%
40%
Overall
59%

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

6
0-15'
7
1
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
6
1
61-75'
4
7
76-90'
4
4
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
2
5
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
3
Atletico Paranaense Flamengo

Side by side

Atletico Paranaense Flamengo
15 Played 14
7 Won 9
2 Drawn 3
6 Lost 2
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.9
1.1 Goals conceded per game 0.9
1.9 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 2.2 / 1.8
4 Clean sheets 6
5 Failed to score 1
3 Longest winning run 4
4-1 Biggest win 3-0
0-1 Biggest defeat 3-0
3/4 Penalties scored 3/3

Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo: preview and prediction

Atletico Paranaense host Flamengo in the Brazil Serie A (Regular Season - 16) on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 23:30 at Arena da Baixada, Curitiba. Atletico Paranaense sit 5th in the table and Flamengo 1st.

Atletico Paranaense have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-D-L). Flamengo are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 2, Flamengo won 6 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.2 for Flamengo. It gives Atletico Paranaense the edge (43% home win, 26% draw, 31% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.35. We also like Under 2.5, BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.35 odds).

Who will win Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?

Atletico Paranaense are favourites: our model gives Atletico Paranaense 43%, the draw 26% and Flamengo 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 23:30 at Arena da Baixada, Curitiba.

Who is the referee?

Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil is in charge of this game.