Atletico-MG vs Tombense Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Mineiro - 1 · Regular Season - 3
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

1st in table
WLLLL
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Tombense

Tombense

DWDLD
44' Wesley
71' Wesley
71' Wesley
Sunday, 18 January 2026
MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte
D. Filho

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
7Atletico-MG wins
2Draws
0Tombense wins
2.3Goals per game
44%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
22 Feb 2025Mineiro - 1 Tombense 0 - 2 Atletico-MG
15 Feb 2025Mineiro - 1 Atletico-MG 2 - 0 Tombense
14 Feb 2024Mineiro - 1 Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Tombense
29 Jan 2023Mineiro - 1 Tombense 1 - 2 Atletico-MG
29 Jan 2022Mineiro - 1 Atletico-MG 3 - 0 Tombense
08 May 2021Mineiro - 1 Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Tombense
01 May 2021Mineiro - 1 Tombense 0 - 3 Atletico-MG
05 Mar 2021Mineiro - 1 Tombense 1 - 2 Atletico-MG
30 Aug 2020Mineiro - 1 Tombense 0 - 1 Atletico-MG

Mineiro - 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Atletico-MG 8350 16:8 +8 14 LWDWD
2 Uniao Trabalhadores 8323 7:7 0 11 LLWWL
3 Uberlandia 8233 8:12 -4 9 LDLWW
4 Democrata GV 8215 3:8 -5 7 LLLLW

Top scorers

Mineiro - 1
1 Ronaldo TavaresAthletic Club 4goals 1assists 8apps
2 HulkAtletico-MG 4goals 0assists 8apps
3 Gustavo ErmelNorth Esporte 3goals 0assists 5apps
4 Bruno LopesNorth Esporte 2goals 2assists 8apps
5 Val SoaresAmerica Mineiro 2goals 1assists 10apps
6 Matheus PereiraCruzeiro 1goals 2assists 9apps
7 XandãoPouso Alegre 1goals 1assists 10apps
8 Paulo VictorAmerica Mineiro 1goals 0assists 10apps
9 YarlenAmerica Mineiro 1goals 0assists 6apps
10 Sérgio Antônio Borges JúniorItabirito 1goals 0assists 6apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Copa Do Brasil Gremio 2 - 0 Atletico-MG L
29 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 0 - 1 Cruzeiro L
26 Oct 2026Serie A Flamengo 3 - 2 Atletico-MG L
21 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Atletico Torque 2 - 0 Atletico-MG L
17 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 1 - 0 Coritiba W
14 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Atletico-MG 3 - 0 Atletico Torque W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Santos W
08 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico Paranaense 2 - 2 Atletico-MG D
03 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 1 - 0 RB Bragantino W
19 Sep 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Chapecoense-sc D
2 W 6 D 2 L in the last 10
27 Jun 2026Serie D Tombense 0 - 0 CRAC D
21 Jun 2026Serie D CRAC 1 - 0 Tombense L
14 Jun 2026Serie D Tombense 0 - 0 Vitória ES D
30 May 2026Serie D Porto BA 1 - 3 Tombense W
23 May 2026Serie D Tombense 1 - 1 Real Noroeste D
16 May 2026Serie D Tombense 3 - 1 Democrata GV W
10 May 2026Serie D Rio Branco ES 2 - 2 Tombense D
07 May 2026Copa Sul-Sudeste Juventude 2 - 1 Tombense L
03 May 2026Serie D Tombense 0 - 0 Rio Branco ES D
30 Apr 2026Copa Sul-Sudeste Tombense 2 - 2 São Bernardo D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Atletico-MG Draw Tombense
Value spotted: Draw at 5.20 (model 33% vs market 18%) · Tombense win at 17.00 (model 27% vs market 5%)

Most likely scores

0-0 17.4%
1-0 17.4%
0-1 13%
1-1 13%
2-0 8.7%
2-1 6.5%

Expected goals: 1 Atletico-MG · 0.75 Tombense

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals52%
Over 2.5 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Both teams score33%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
67%
Attack
33%
50%
Defence
50%
0%
Goal model
0%
93%
Head to head
7%
83%
Goals
17%
72%
Overall
28%

Season numbers

Mineiro - 1 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Atletico-MG Tombense

Side by side

Atletico-MG Tombense
2 Played 2
0 Won 0
2 Drawn 1
0 Lost 1
1 Goals scored per game 0.5
1 Goals conceded per game 1
1 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1
0 Longest winning run 0
- Biggest win -
- Biggest defeat 1-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Atletico-MG vs Tombense: preview and prediction

Atletico-MG host Tombense in the Brazil Mineiro - 1 (Regular Season - 3) on Sunday, 18th January 2026 at 22:00 at MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte.

Atletico-MG are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L). Tombense have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-D-L-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Atletico-MG won 7, Tombense won 0 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Atletico-MG and 0.75 for Tombense. It gives Atletico-MG the edge (40% home win, 33% draw, 27% away win), 26% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was BTTS Yes at odds of 2.51. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Atletico-MG vs Tombense FAQs

What is the best prediction for Atletico-MG vs Tombense?

Our top tip is Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes (2.51 odds).

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Tombense?

Atletico-MG are favourites: our model gives Atletico-MG 40%, the draw 33% and Tombense 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 33% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.8 goals in total, with a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Atletico-MG vs Tombense?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th January 2026 at 22:00 at MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte.

Who is the referee?

D. Filho is in charge of this game.