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Atletico-MG vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Serie A · Regular Season - 27
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

6th in table
DWWWL
Full time
3:1
HT 0 - 0
Fluminense

Fluminense

5th in table
WLLLW
19' Alan Franco
52' Otávio
61' Reinier
63' Tomás Cuello
69' Rodrigo Castillo
81' Vitão
90' Rodrigo Castillo
Saturday, 12 September 2026
Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte
Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Atletico-MG wins
2Draws
4Fluminense wins
2.4Goals per game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
21 Mar 2026Serie A Fluminense 1 - 0 Atletico-MG
04 Oct 2025Serie A Fluminense 3 - 0 Atletico-MG
11 May 2025Serie A Atletico-MG 3 - 2 Fluminense
25 Sep 2024CONMEBOL Libertadores Atletico-MG 2 - 0 Fluminense
18 Sep 2024CONMEBOL Libertadores Fluminense 1 - 0 Atletico-MG
25 Aug 2024Serie A Atletico-MG 0 - 2 Fluminense
04 May 2024Serie A Fluminense 2 - 2 Atletico-MG
29 Oct 2023Serie A Atletico-MG 2 - 0 Fluminense
22 Jun 2023Serie A Fluminense 1 - 1 Atletico-MG

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo 312074 61:25 +36 67 WWDWW
2 Palmeiras 311993 54:22 +32 66 WWWDW
3 Atletico Paranaense 311588 49:37 +12 53 LWDWD
4 Cruzeiro 3115610 50:46 +4 51 WLWWL
5 Fluminense 311498 49:39 +10 51 LLWWL
6 Atletico-MG 311489 42:35 +7 50 WWDWD
7 Bahia 3113108 44:39 +5 49 LWLLW
8 Santos 3112910 48:46 +2 45 WLDWW
9 Sao Paulo 3112613 36:35 +1 42 WWLLW
10 RB Bragantino 3111812 39:36 +3 41 DWDLL
11 Botafogo 3110912 44:48 -4 39 WDLLW
12 Coritiba 3110912 38:49 -11 39 LDLLD
13 Vitoria 3110714 34:45 -11 37 DLWLD
14 Mirassol 319913 36:44 -8 36 WLDWD
15 Vasco DA Gama 309813 36:43 -7 35 LDWWW
16 Corinthians 318914 32:39 -7 33 DLLLL
17 Internacional 3171113 33:40 -7 32 LDWLW
18 Gremio 3171014 34:44 -10 31 LDDDL
19 Remo 3151115 34:49 -15 26 DDDLL
20 Chapecoense-sc 303918 30:62 -32 18 LLLDL

Top scorers

Serie A
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21goals 3assists 29apps
2 PedroFlamengo 16goals 6assists 31apps
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 15goals 3assists 23apps
4 Carlos ViníciusGremio 11goals 1assists 30apps
5 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 11goals 2assists 24apps
6 Danilo SantosBotafogo 10goals 2assists 24apps
7 ReneVitoria 10goals 1assists 24apps
8 J. CalleriSao Paulo 10goals 1assists 26apps
9 Luciano JubaBahia 10goals 1assists 27apps
10 Samuel LinoFlamengo 9goals 8assists 30apps

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
21 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Atletico Torque 2 - 0 Atletico-MG L
17 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 1 - 0 Coritiba W
14 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Atletico-MG 3 - 0 Atletico Torque W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Santos W
08 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico Paranaense 2 - 2 Atletico-MG D
03 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 1 - 0 RB Bragantino W
19 Sep 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Chapecoense-sc D
16 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Atletico-MG 4 - 2 Santos W
12 Sep 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 3 - 1 Fluminense W
09 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Santos 2 - 0 Atletico-MG L
5 W 0 D 5 L in the last 10
22 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Palmeiras 0 - 1 Fluminense W
18 Oct 2026Serie A Fluminense 1 - 2 Santos L
15 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Fluminense 1 - 2 Palmeiras L
11 Oct 2026Serie A Flamengo 1 - 0 Fluminense L
09 Oct 2026Serie A Fluminense 4 - 0 Coritiba W
20 Sep 2026Serie A Corinthians 1 - 3 Fluminense W
15 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Platense 2 - 1 Fluminense L
12 Sep 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 3 - 1 Fluminense L
08 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Fluminense 2 - 0 Platense W
06 Sep 2026Serie A Fluminense 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Atletico-MG Draw Fluminense

Most likely scores

1-1 11.4%
2-1 9.2%
1-0 8.8%
1-2 7.4%
0-1 7.2%
2-0 7%

Expected goals: 1.6 Atletico-MG · 1.3 Fluminense

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams score58%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
42%
Form
58%
41%
Attack
59%
58%
Defence
42%
54%
Goal model
46%
40%
Head to head
60%
42%
Goals
58%
46%
Overall
53%

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
2
7
16-30'
6
7
31-45'
8
2
46-60'
7
7
61-75'
5
3
76-90'
9
3
0-15'
6
3
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
5
8
61-75'
6
8
76-90'
8
Atletico-MG Fluminense

Side by side

Atletico-MG Fluminense
25 Played 26
10 Won 12
6 Drawn 9
9 Lost 5
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.2
1.7 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 1.3
6 Clean sheets 5
9 Failed to score 3
2 Longest winning run 2
3-0 Biggest win 3-1
0-4 Biggest defeat 1-2
2/2 Penalties scored 2/2

Atletico-MG vs Fluminense: preview and prediction

Atletico-MG host Fluminense in the Brazil Serie A (Regular Season - 27) on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 20:00 at Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte. Atletico-MG sit 6th in the table and Fluminense 5th.

Atletico-MG are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-L). Fluminense are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Atletico-MG won 3, Fluminense won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for Atletico-MG and 1.3 for Fluminense. It gives Atletico-MG the edge (44% home win, 24% draw, 31% away win), 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 1.5 at odds of 1.33.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Atletico-MG vs Fluminense FAQs

What is the best prediction for Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?

Our top tip is Over/Under 1.5: Over 1.5 (1.33 odds).

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?

Atletico-MG are favourites: our model gives Atletico-MG 44%, the draw 24% and Fluminense 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 58% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 20:00 at Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte.

Who is the referee?

Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil is in charge of this game.