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Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spain: La Liga · Regular Season - 2
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2nd in table
WWWDW
Full time
2:2
HT 0 - 0
Villarreal

Villarreal

10th in table
WDLWW
50' Santiago Mouriño
54' Alex Baena
59' M. Pubill
66' G. Moreno (Penalty)
76' Morten Hjulmand
76' Robin Le Normand
78' G. Mikautadze (Penalty)
85' G. Simeone
90+1' José María Giménez
90+10' Juan Foyth
Sunday, 23 August 2026
Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid
Alejandro Hernandez, Spain

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Atletico Madrid wins
4Draws
2Villarreal wins
3.4Goals per game
78%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
24 May 2026La Liga Villarreal 5 - 1 Atletico Madrid
13 Sep 2025La Liga Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Villarreal
25 Jan 2025La Liga Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Villarreal
19 Aug 2024La Liga Villarreal 2 - 2 Atletico Madrid
01 Apr 2024La Liga Villarreal 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid
12 Nov 2023La Liga Atletico Madrid 3 - 1 Villarreal
04 Jun 2023La Liga Villarreal 2 - 2 Atletico Madrid
21 Aug 2022La Liga Atletico Madrid 0 - 2 Villarreal
09 Jan 2022La Liga Villarreal 2 - 2 Atletico Madrid

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona 10901 40:11 +29 27 LWWWW
2 Atletico Madrid 10811 20:8 +12 25 WWWWW
3 Real Madrid 10802 25:10 +15 24 WWWLW
4 Real Betis 10622 16:14 +2 20 DLWDW
5 Real Sociedad 10613 19:18 +1 19 WWWWL
6 Sevilla 10523 16:16 0 17 WLDLW
7 Alaves 10334 14:11 +3 12 DLLDL
8 Athletic Club 9333 12:9 +3 12 WLDD
9 Celta Vigo 10262 10:7 +3 12 DWDWD
10 Villarreal 10334 15:14 +1 12 WDLWW
11 Deportivo La Coruna 10253 13:13 0 11 LDLDL
12 Osasuna 10325 10:20 -10 11 LWLDL
13 Racing Santander 10325 15:26 -11 11 WLDLL
14 Levante 10244 16:19 -3 10 LWDDL
15 Elche 10244 14:17 -3 10 WDDWL
16 Rayo Vallecano 9234 12:20 -8 9 LDDW
17 Getafe 10235 5:15 -10 9 LDLWL
18 Espanyol 10226 12:14 -2 8 LLDLL
19 Valencia 10136 7:17 -10 6 LDDLW
20 Malaga 10055 7:19 -12 5 DLDLL

Top scorers

La Liga
1 RaphinhaBarcelona 13goals 3assists 9apps
2 Kylian MbappéReal Madrid 11goals 2assists 10apps
3 M. ZabiriRacing Santander 8goals 0assists 10apps
4 Lamine YamalBarcelona 8goals 6assists 10apps
5 Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano 7goals 1assists 10apps
6 A. BudimirOsasuna 7goals 0assists 10apps
7 Roberto FernándezEspanyol 6goals 0assists 10apps
8 Fer NiñoElche 6goals 0assists 10apps
9 Álex BaenaAtletico Madrid 5goals 2assists 10apps
10 P. AubameyangDeportivo La Coruna 5goals 2assists 7apps

Recent form

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026La Liga Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Deportivo La Coruna W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid D
17 Oct 2026La Liga Espanyol 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid W
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Manchester United W
10 Oct 2026La Liga Alaves 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid W
20 Sep 2026La Liga Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Real Madrid W
16 Sep 2026La Liga Atletico Madrid 4 - 0 Osasuna W
13 Sep 2026La Liga Real Sociedad 0 - 3 Atletico Madrid W
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid L
05 Sep 2026La Liga Athletic Club 3 - 0 Atletico Madrid L
5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
27 Oct 2026Copa del Rey Manacor 0 - 5 Villarreal W
24 Oct 2026La Liga Valencia 1 - 2 Villarreal W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Liverpool 4 - 3 Villarreal L
17 Oct 2026La Liga Villarreal 0 - 0 Elche D
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Villarreal 3 - 1 Napoli W
10 Oct 2026La Liga Real Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal L
20 Sep 2026La Liga Villarreal 3 - 1 Levante W
17 Sep 2026La Liga Malaga 1 - 3 Villarreal W
14 Sep 2026La Liga Villarreal 1 - 2 Real Betis L
08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Villarreal L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Atletico Madrid Draw Villarreal
Value spotted: Villarreal win at 4.31 (model 40% vs market 23%)

Most likely scores

1-1 7.3%
1-2 7.3%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.3%
1-3 4.9%
2-3 4.9%

Expected goals: 2 Atletico Madrid · 2 Villarreal

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals56%
Both teams score75%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
75%
Form
25%
50%
Attack
50%
100%
Defence
0%
100%
Goal model
0%
62%
Head to head
38%
47%
Goals
53%
58%
Overall
41%

Season numbers

La Liga 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Atletico Madrid Villarreal

Side by side

Atletico Madrid Villarreal
1 Played 1
1 Won 0
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
2 Goals scored per game 2
0 Goals conceded per game 2
2 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 2
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 0
2-0 Biggest win -
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal: preview and prediction

Atletico Madrid host Villarreal in the Spain La Liga (Regular Season - 2) on Sunday, 23rd August 2026 at 16:00 at Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid. Atletico Madrid sit 2nd in the table and Villarreal 10th.

Atletico Madrid are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-W). Villarreal are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 3, Villarreal won 2 and 4 ended level. These games average 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Atletico Madrid and 2 for Villarreal. It gives Atletico Madrid the edge (40% home win, 21% draw, 40% away win), 76% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.26. We also like BTTS Yes, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal FAQs

What is the best prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.26 odds).

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?

It looks very close: our model gives Atletico Madrid 40%, the draw 21% and Villarreal 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 75% chance in our model, and it happened in 78% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4 goals in total, with a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 23rd August 2026 at 16:00 at Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid.

Who is the referee?

Alejandro Hernandez, Spain is in charge of this game.