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Ashton United vs Leek Town Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 34
Ashton United

Ashton United

10th in table
LLWLL
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Leek Town

Leek Town

8th in table
WWLLL
65' C. Heath
Saturday, 7 March 2026
Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
1Ashton United wins
0Draws
2Leek Town wins
2.3Goals per game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
11 Nov 2025Non League Premier - Northern Leek Town 2 - 0 Ashton United
22 Mar 2025Non League Premier - Northern Leek Town 3 - 1 Ashton United
16 Nov 2024Non League Premier - Northern Ashton United 1 - 0 Leek Town

Non League Premier - Northern table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Hebburn Town 4023107 75:41 +34 79 WWWWW
2 Hednesford Town 4022117 62:35 +27 77 DWDWW
3 United of Manchester 4021910 65:41 +24 72 LLDLW
4 Rylands 4018139 59:42 +17 67 DWLWW
5 Stockton Town 40181210 62:50 +12 63 LWDDL
6 Lancaster City 40171112 56:45 +11 62 WDWDW
7 Gainsborough Trinity 40161113 50:45 +5 59 LLLWL
8 Leek Town 4017716 50:52 -2 58 WWWWW
9 Cleethorpes Town 40141313 56:47 +9 55 DLLDW
10 Ashton United 40141115 47:54 -7 53 DDWLW
11 Ilkeston Town 4015718 52:54 -2 52 WDWLD
12 Bamber Bridge 4014818 52:52 0 50 LLLDL
13 Guiseley AFC 4013918 46:56 -10 48 DLLDW
14 Warrington Town 40121216 43:63 -20 48 LLLDL
15 Hyde United 40111415 58:63 -5 47 WWDWD
16 Rushall Olympic 40121117 48:61 -13 47 LWWWL
17 Whitby Town 40101317 43:55 -12 43 DLDLL
18 Workington 40101317 43:58 -15 43 LWLDL
19 Prescot Cables 4091516 40:50 -10 42 WWLLL
20 Morpeth Town 4012622 38:54 -16 42 WLLWL
21 Stocksbridge Park Steels 4081220 38:65 -27 36 LDLLL

Top scorers

Non League Premier - Northern
1 T. ObadeyiAlvechurch 4goals 0assists 3apps
2 Aaron RobertsBromsgrove Sporting 1goals 0assists 2apps
3 Harry HaysomAveley 1goals 0assists 1apps
4 Oliver MuldoonAveley 1goals 0assists 1apps
5 Kaleb ParkinsonHyde United 1goals 0assists 1apps
6 Jaden CharlesBromsgrove Sporting 1goals 0assists 1apps
7 Denzel GayleCray Valley PM 1goals 0assists 1apps
8 Yusuf MersinHyde United 0goals 0assists 1apps
9 Crossley LemaCray Valley PM 0goals 0assists 1apps
10 Danny WaldrenCray Valley PM 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

1 W 4 D 5 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Non League Premier - Northern Ashton United 0 - 1 Warrington Town L
31 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Ashton United 1 - 2 Rylands L
24 Oct 2026FA Trophy Ashton United 1 - 0 Redcar Athletic W
21 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Avro 3 - 2 Ashton United L
17 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Ashton United 1 - 2 Redcar Athletic L
13 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Ashton United 0 - 0 Alfreton Town D
10 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Leek Town 2 - 2 Ashton United D
06 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Quorn 2 - 2 Ashton United D
26 Sep 2026FA Trophy Warrington Town 2 - 2 Ashton United D
19 Sep 2026FA Cup Buxton 1 - 0 Ashton United L
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Non League Premier - Northern Guiseley AFC 4 - 1 Leek Town L
31 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Curzon Ashton 2 - 1 Leek Town L
27 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Bury 5 - 3 Leek Town L
24 Oct 2026FA Trophy Leek Town 4 - 1 Bootle W
17 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Lancaster City 1 - 2 Leek Town W
10 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Leek Town 2 - 2 Ashton United D
06 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Northern Leek Town 3 - 3 Rylands D
26 Sep 2026FA Trophy Worcester City 0 - 2 Leek Town W
22 Sep 2026Non League Premier - Northern Leek Town 2 - 1 Hyde United W
19 Sep 2026FA Cup Bromsgrove Sporting 2 - 1 Leek Town L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ashton United Draw Leek Town
Value spotted: Leek Town win at 3.08 (model 35% vs market 29%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.9%
1-0 8.8%
2-1 8.6%
0-1 8.2%
1-2 8%
2-0 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.45 Ashton United · 1.35 Leek Town

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams score57%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
71%
Attack
29%
31%
Defence
69%
47%
Goal model
53%
33%
Head to head
67%
29%
Goals
71%
42%
Overall
57%

Season numbers

Non League Premier - Northern 2025

When the goals come

4
0-15'
5
6
16-30'
8
9
31-45'
8
2
46-60'
10
4
61-75'
3
8
76-90'
3
3
0-15'
5
5
16-30'
7
7
31-45'
10
9
46-60'
7
10
61-75'
5
6
76-90'
8
Ashton United Leek Town

Side by side

Ashton United Leek Town
30 Played 32
11 Won 10
7 Drawn 7
12 Lost 15
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.2
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.1 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.2 / 1.2
8 Clean sheets 7
7 Failed to score 12
2 Longest winning run 3
3-1 Biggest win 4-0
0-4 Biggest defeat 0-3
2/2 Penalties scored 1/1

Ashton United vs Leek Town: preview and prediction

Ashton United host Leek Town in the England Non League Premier - Northern (Regular Season - 34) on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 16:00 at Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester. Ashton United sit 10th in the table and Leek Town 8th.

Ashton United are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L). Leek Town are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Ashton United won 1, Leek Town won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Ashton United and 1.35 for Leek Town. It gives Ashton United the edge (40% home win, 25% draw, 35% away win), 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.62.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ashton United vs Leek Town FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ashton United vs Leek Town?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.62 odds).

Who will win Ashton United vs Leek Town?

Ashton United are favourites: our model gives Ashton United 40%, the draw 25% and Leek Town 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 57% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ashton United vs Leek Town?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 16:00 at Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester.