Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United Prediction, H2H & Stats

Jamaica: Premier League · Regular Season - 34
Arnett Gardens

Arnett Gardens

7th in table
LDDWD
Full time
1:0
HT 1 - 0
Montego Bay United

Montego Bay United

2nd in table
WWDLD
4' K. Wilson
Thursday, 16 April 2026
Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Arnett Gardens wins
3Draws
2Montego Bay United wins
2.4Goals per game
50%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
01 Mar 2026Premier League Montego Bay United 1 - 1 Arnett Gardens
16 Dec 2025Premier League Arnett Gardens 0 - 1 Montego Bay United
23 May 2025Premier League Arnett Gardens 4 - 2 Montego Bay United
18 Mar 2025Premier League Montego Bay United 2 - 2 Arnett Gardens
14 Jan 2025Premier League Arnett Gardens 1 - 0 Montego Bay United
08 Oct 2024Premier League Montego Bay United 1 - 0 Arnett Gardens
11 Feb 2024Premier League Montego Bay United 0 - 0 Arnett Gardens
20 Nov 2023Premier League Montego Bay United 1 - 3 Arnett Gardens

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Mount Pleasant Academy 3920145 69:25 +44 74 WWWWD
2 Montego Bay United 3921810 79:45 +34 71 LLLWW
3 Portmore United 3917157 54:35 +19 66 WDLWW
4 Waterhouse 3919812 51:32 +19 65 WWLLW
5 Cavalier 3919416 57:41 +16 61 WWWLW
6 Racing United 3914187 53:34 +19 60 WDLLL
7 Arnett Gardens 3917715 68:46 +22 58 WWWWL
8 Chapelton 3914718 42:57 -15 49 LLWLL
9 Dunbeholden 3913917 40:53 -13 48 LLLWL
10 Tivoli Gardens 39111117 37:58 -21 44 LLLLL
11 Treasure Beach 39101316 43:59 -16 43 LWWWW
12 Molynes United 3991515 45:47 -2 42 WLWWW
13 Harbour View 3991218 53:73 -20 39 LWWLL
14 Spanish Town Police 397527 25:111 -86 26 LLLLL

Recent form

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Premier League Tivoli Gardens 1 - 1 Arnett Gardens D
26 Oct 2026Premier League Arnett Gardens 4 - 1 Molynes United W
18 Oct 2026Premier League Montego Bay United 2 - 2 Arnett Gardens D
06 Oct 2026Premier League Arnett Gardens 1 - 1 Portmore United D
27 Sep 2026Premier League Cavalier 3 - 2 Arnett Gardens L
22 Sep 2026Premier League Arnett Gardens 3 - 0 Dunbeholden W
15 Sep 2026Premier League Racing United 3 - 2 Arnett Gardens L
06 May 2026Premier League Chapelton 2 - 7 Arnett Gardens W
03 May 2026Premier League Arnett Gardens 6 - 0 Spanish Town Police W
26 Apr 2026Premier League Portmore United 1 - 2 Arnett Gardens W
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Premier League Montego Bay United 2 - 2 Portmore United D
27 Oct 2026Premier League Mount Pleasant Academy 2 - 1 Montego Bay United L
18 Oct 2026Premier League Montego Bay United 2 - 2 Arnett Gardens D
11 Oct 2026Premier League Cavalier 1 - 3 Montego Bay United W
04 Oct 2026Premier League Montego Bay United 1 - 0 Dunbeholden W
27 Sep 2026Premier League Racing United 0 - 1 Montego Bay United W
20 Sep 2026Premier League Montego Bay United 0 - 0 Tru-Juice D
13 Sep 2026Premier League Montego Bay United 2 - 0 Chapelton W
24 May 2026Premier League Montego Bay United 2 - 3 Mount Pleasant Academy L
21 May 2026Premier League Montego Bay United 0 - 1 Cavalier L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Arnett Gardens Draw Montego Bay United
Value spotted: Arnett Gardens win at 3.76 (model 30% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.8%
0-1 11.6%
1-0 9.5%
1-2 8.6%
0-0 8.6%
0-2 7.9%

Expected goals: 1.1 Arnett Gardens · 1.35 Montego Bay United

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
27%
Form
73%
19%
Attack
81%
58%
Defence
42%
35%
Goal model
65%
62%
Head to head
38%
57%
Goals
43%
43%
Overall
57%

Season numbers

Premier League 2025

When the goals come

6
0-15'
9
3
16-30'
8
7
31-45'
11
7
46-60'
10
10
61-75'
13
14
76-90'
15
6
0-15'
2
6
16-30'
2
7
31-45'
9
8
46-60'
7
4
61-75'
6
7
76-90'
8
Arnett Gardens Montego Bay United

Side by side

Arnett Gardens Montego Bay United
33 Played 33
11 Won 19
8 Drawn 8
14 Lost 6
1.4 Goals scored per game 2
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1
1 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 2.4 / 1.6
10 Clean sheets 12
10 Failed to score 6
3 Longest winning run 4
4-0 Biggest win 6-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 0-1
2/2 Penalties scored 2/2

Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United: preview and prediction

Arnett Gardens host Montego Bay United in the Jamaica Premier League (Regular Season - 34) on Thursday, 16th April 2026 at 01:00 at Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston. Arnett Gardens sit 7th in the table and Montego Bay United 2nd.

Arnett Gardens have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-D-W-D). Montego Bay United have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-D-L-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Arnett Gardens won 3, Montego Bay United won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for Arnett Gardens and 1.35 for Montego Bay United. It gives Montego Bay United the edge (30% home win, 27% draw, 42% away win), 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.75. We also like Under 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United FAQs

What is the best prediction for Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.75 odds).

Who will win Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?

Montego Bay United are favourites: our model gives Arnett Gardens 30%, the draw 27% and Montego Bay United 42%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 16th April 2026 at 01:00 at Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston.