Ards vs Strabane Athletic Prediction, H2H & Stats

Northern-Ireland: Championship · Regular Season - 9
Ards

Ards

9th in table
WLDDD
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Strabane Athletic

Strabane Athletic

15th in table
LDLLD
Saturday, 26 September 2026

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Annagh United 14941 36:16 +20 31 WWWDD
2 Glenavon FC 13832 34:16 +18 27 WWDWW
3 Newington Youth 13823 29:22 +7 26 WWLLW
4 Institute 13634 23:18 +5 21 DWDWL
5 Ballinamallard United 14635 20:19 +1 21 LWDWD
6 Queen's University 14626 24:18 +6 20 LLDLW
7 Newry City AFC 14554 21:23 -2 20 DLDWL
8 Warrenpoint Town 12534 21:17 +4 18 DWDWL
9 Ards 14455 16:17 -1 17 DDLWD
10 Loughgall 14455 18:26 -8 17 LWDLW
11 H&W Welders 13517 19:22 -3 16 LLDLL
12 Moyola Park 13436 15:25 -10 15 DLWLW
13 Rathfriland 13418 14:25 -11 13 DWWWL
14 Dundela 12255 19:24 -5 11 LLLWD
15 Strabane Athletic 14257 13:24 -11 11 DLDLD
16 Armagh City 14167 12:22 -10 9 WDLLD

Recent form

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Championship Ards 1 - 1 Newry City AFC D
24 Oct 2026Championship Armagh City 1 - 1 Ards D
20 Oct 2026League Cup Rathfriland 0 - 0 Ards D
16 Oct 2026Championship Ards 0 - 2 Institute L
09 Oct 2026Championship Newington Youth 0 - 2 Ards W
03 Oct 2026Championship Ballinamallard United 1 - 1 Ards D
26 Sep 2026Championship Ards 0 - 1 Strabane Athletic L
19 Sep 2026Championship Moyola Park 0 - 0 Ards D
12 Sep 2026Championship Ards 1 - 0 Rathfriland W
04 Sep 2026Championship Annagh United 2 - 1 Ards L
1 W 5 D 4 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Championship Rathfriland 2 - 2 Strabane Athletic D
23 Oct 2026Championship Strabane Athletic 0 - 1 Ballinamallard United L
20 Oct 2026League Cup Strabane Athletic 0 - 5 Glenavon FC L
16 Oct 2026Championship Strabane Athletic 1 - 1 Loughgall D
10 Oct 2026Championship Warrenpoint Town 1 - 0 Strabane Athletic L
02 Oct 2026Championship Strabane Athletic 0 - 0 Armagh City D
26 Sep 2026Championship Ards 0 - 1 Strabane Athletic W
18 Sep 2026Championship Dundela 1 - 1 Strabane Athletic D
11 Sep 2026Championship Strabane Athletic 2 - 2 Newry City AFC D
05 Sep 2026Championship Queen's University 6 - 0 Strabane Athletic L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ards Draw Strabane Athletic
Value spotted: Strabane Athletic win at 5.92 (model 30% vs market 15%)

Most likely scores

1-1 8.9%
2-1 8.9%
1-2 6.9%
2-2 6.9%
3-1 5.9%
1-0 5.7%

Expected goals: 2 Ards · 1.55 Strabane Athletic

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams score68%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
38%
Attack
63%
65%
Defence
35%
55%
Goal model
45%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
56%
Overall
44%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

Side by side

Ards Strabane Athletic
8 Played 8
3 Won 1
2 Drawn 2
3 Lost 5
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.4 Goals conceded per game 2.4
1 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1.3
2 Clean sheets 0
2 Failed to score 2
1 Longest winning run 1
1-0 Biggest win 1-3
0-3 Biggest defeat 1-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Ards vs Strabane Athletic: preview and prediction

Ards host Strabane Athletic in the Northern-Ireland Championship (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 26th September 2026 at 15:00. Ards sit 9th in the table and Strabane Athletic 15th.

Ards have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-D-D-D). Strabane Athletic are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-L-D).

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Ards and 1.55 for Strabane Athletic. It gives Ards the edge (48% home win, 22% draw, 30% away win), 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Under 3.5 at odds of 1.43.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ards vs Strabane Athletic FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ards vs Strabane Athletic?

Our top tip is Over/Under 3.5: Under 3.5 (1.43 odds).

Who will win Ards vs Strabane Athletic?

Ards are favourites: our model gives Ards 48%, the draw 22% and Strabane Athletic 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 68% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.6 goals in total, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ards vs Strabane Athletic?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 26th September 2026 at 15:00.