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Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction, H2H & Stats

Bulgaria: First League · Regular Season - 5
Arda Kardzhali

Arda Kardzhali

6th in table
LLWDW
Full time
3:1
HT 2 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia

Lokomotiv Sofia

12th in table
WDWDL
31' S. Ivanov
35' S. Ivanov
45+1' Birsent Karagaren
51' Mark Emilio Papazov
61' Spas Delev
75' Caue Caruzo
88' S. Kovachev
90+1' Adil Taoui
Monday, 17 August 2026
Arena Arda, Kardzhali
R. Gidzhenov

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
6Arda Kardzhali wins
2Draws
1Lokomotiv Sofia wins
2.7Goals per game
33%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
28 Nov 2025First League Lokomotiv Sofia 0 - 0 Arda Kardzhali
27 Jul 2025First League Arda Kardzhali 1 - 1 Lokomotiv Sofia
13 Apr 2025First League Arda Kardzhali 5 - 0 Lokomotiv Sofia
02 Nov 2024First League Lokomotiv Sofia 0 - 2 Arda Kardzhali
09 Dec 2023First League Lokomotiv Sofia 0 - 1 Arda Kardzhali
11 Aug 2023First League Arda Kardzhali 1 - 0 Lokomotiv Sofia
01 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs Arda Kardzhali 2 - 4 Lokomotiv Sofia
29 May 2023First League Lokomotiv Sofia 1 - 3 Arda Kardzhali
14 May 2023First League Arda Kardzhali 3 - 0 Lokomotiv Sofia

First League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Levski Sofia 121020 25:5 +20 32 WDWDW
2 CSKA Sofia 13940 29:9 +20 31 DWWDW
3 Ludogorets 12921 24:9 +15 29 WLWWW
4 CSKA 1948 13913 31:14 +17 28 WWLWW
5 Botev Plovdiv 13715 22:20 +2 22 WLWWW
6 Arda Kardzhali 13634 18:19 -1 21 WDLDL
7 Slavia Sofia 13274 9:9 0 13 DDLLD
8 Spartak Varna 13346 12:23 -11 13 LLWLD
9 Cherno More Varna 13337 14:22 -8 12 WWLDD
10 Dunav Ruse 13328 15:22 -7 11 LWWDL
11 Botev Vratsa 13247 10:22 -12 10 LDLDD
12 Lokomotiv Sofia 13166 15:25 -10 9 LDDWL
13 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13238 6:17 -11 9 LDDDL
14 Septemvri Sofia 13229 11:25 -14 8 LLLLL

Top scorers

First League
1 Frédéric MacielCSKA 1948 3goals 0assists 10apps
2 Bruno JordãoCSKA Sofia 2goals 0assists 12apps
3 Elias FrancoCSKA 1948 2goals 0assists 12apps
4 B. TekpeteyLudogorets 2goals 0assists 11apps
5 Rwan CruzLudogorets 1goals 2assists 12apps
6 André Filipe Rio LiberalSeptemvri Sofia 1goals 1assists 13apps
7 B. KaragarenArda Kardzhali 1goals 1assists 13apps
8 S. DelevLokomotiv Sofia 1goals 1assists 13apps
9 I. BudinovDunav Ruse 1goals 1assists 11apps
10 Georg StojanovskiSpartak Varna 1goals 1assists 2apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 2 - 1 Septemvri Sofia W
27 Oct 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 1 - 1 Levski Sofia D
18 Oct 2026Cup Spartak Plovdiv 1 - 2 Arda Kardzhali W
12 Oct 2026First League Ludogorets 5 - 0 Arda Kardzhali L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2 - 0 Arda Kardzhali L
19 Sep 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 1 - 1 Cherno More Varna D
12 Sep 2026First League CSKA Sofia 4 - 1 Arda Kardzhali L
04 Sep 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 2 - 3 Botev Plovdiv L
31 Aug 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 2 - 0 Botev Vratsa W
24 Aug 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 1 Arda Kardzhali W
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026First League Lokomotiv Sofia 2 - 5 Botev Plovdiv L
24 Oct 2026First League Lokomotiv Sofia 1 - 1 Botev Vratsa D
17 Oct 2026Cup Vihren 1 - 2 Lokomotiv Sofia W
10 Oct 2026First League Lokomotiv Sofia 1 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Lokomotiv Sofia 4 - 1 Radnicki NIS W
20 Sep 2026First League Spartak Varna 0 - 1 Lokomotiv Sofia W
16 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Sofia 0 - 2 CSKA Sofia L
11 Sep 2026First League Cherno More Varna 2 - 2 Lokomotiv Sofia D
06 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Sofia 1 - 2 Ludogorets L
31 Aug 2026First League Dunav Ruse 2 - 2 Lokomotiv Sofia D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Arda Kardzhali Draw Lokomotiv Sofia
Value spotted: Lokomotiv Sofia win at 4.20 (model 31% vs market 22%)

Most likely scores

0-0 15%
1-0 15%
0-1 13.5%
1-1 13.5%
2-0 7.5%
2-1 6.7%

Expected goals: 1 Arda Kardzhali · 0.9 Lokomotiv Sofia

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams score38%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
78%
Form
22%
56%
Attack
44%
70%
Defence
30%
100%
Goal model
0%
85%
Head to head
15%
90%
Goals
10%
75%
Overall
24%

Season numbers

First League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
4
Arda Kardzhali Lokomotiv Sofia

Side by side

Arda Kardzhali Lokomotiv Sofia
4 Played 4
2 Won 0
1 Drawn 2
1 Lost 2
1.3 Goals scored per game 1
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1.8
1 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 0
1-0 Biggest win -
2-1 Biggest defeat 1-3
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia: preview and prediction

Arda Kardzhali host Lokomotiv Sofia in the Bulgaria First League (Regular Season - 5) on Monday, 17th August 2026 at 19:15 at Arena Arda, Kardzhali. Arda Kardzhali sit 6th in the table and Lokomotiv Sofia 12th.

Arda Kardzhali have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-W). Lokomotiv Sofia have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Arda Kardzhali won 6, Lokomotiv Sofia won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 0.9 for Lokomotiv Sofia. It gives Arda Kardzhali the edge (37% home win, 32% draw, 31% away win), 30% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.19. We also like Under 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.19 odds).

Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

Arda Kardzhali are favourites: our model gives Arda Kardzhali 37%, the draw 32% and Lokomotiv Sofia 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 38% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.9 goals in total, with a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia?

Kick-off is on Monday, 17th August 2026 at 19:15 at Arena Arda, Kardzhali.

Who is the referee?

R. Gidzhenov is in charge of this game.