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Arbroath vs Morton Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 10
Arbroath

Arbroath

8th in table
LLWLL
Full time
1:2
HT 0 - 1
Morton

Morton

10th in table
LLLLW
9' S. Constable
10' G. Gillespie (Penalty)
28' C. Cupps
50' C. Dewar (Own Goal)
52' J. MacIntyre
54' M. McKenna
56' P. Croker
74' I. Wilson
Saturday, 10 October 2026
Gayfield Park, Arbroath
C. Stirling

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Arbroath wins
2Draws
5Morton wins
2.6Goals per game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
22 Aug 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath
28 Mar 2026Championship Morton 2 - 1 Arbroath
23 Jan 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Morton
08 Nov 2025Championship Morton 1 - 0 Arbroath
20 Sep 2025Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Morton
20 Apr 2024Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton
27 Jan 2024Championship Morton 3 - 0 Arbroath
09 Dec 2023Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton
26 Aug 2023Championship Morton 0 - 3 Arbroath

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Stenhousemuir 9711 12:4 +8 22 LWWWW
2 Raith Rovers 10622 15:6 +9 20 WWLDW
3 Partick 9531 10:3 +7 18 WWDLW
4 Livingston 10415 14:11 +3 13 LLWDW
5 Dunfermline 8341 7:5 +2 13 DWWDW
6 Inverness CT 10343 12:11 +1 13 LWWDW
7 Ayr Utd 10334 10:11 -1 12 DWLWL
8 Arbroath 10325 7:15 -8 11 LLWLL
9 Queen's Park 10217 6:16 -10 7 WLLLL
10 Morton 10118 7:18 -11 4 WLLLL

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton L
03 Oct 2026Championship Partick 3 - 0 Arbroath L
25 Sep 2026Championship Arbroath 2 - 1 Queen's Park W
19 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Arbroath L
12 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 4 - 0 Arbroath L
05 Sep 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
29 Aug 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 0 Livingston W
22 Aug 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath W
08 Aug 2026Championship Arbroath 0 - 0 Inverness CT D
01 Aug 2026Championship Ayr Utd 2 - 0 Arbroath L
1 W 1 D 8 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton W
03 Oct 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Raith Rovers L
25 Sep 2026Championship Inverness CT 2 - 0 Morton L
19 Sep 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline L
11 Sep 2026Championship Morton 1 - 4 Livingston L
05 Sep 2026Championship Queen's Park 2 - 1 Morton L
29 Aug 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Morton D
22 Aug 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath L
08 Aug 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Morton L
01 Aug 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Partick L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Arbroath Draw Morton
Value spotted: Arbroath win at 1.75 (model 59% vs market 52%)

Most likely scores

1-0 20.9%
0-0 15%
2-0 14.7%
1-1 10.5%
0-1 7.5%
2-1 7.3%

Expected goals: 1.4 Arbroath · 0.5 Morton

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams score30%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
100%
Form
0%
50%
Attack
50%
52%
Defence
48%
84%
Goal model
16%
38%
Head to head
62%
45%
Goals
55%
53%
Overall
46%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
3
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
4
2
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
2
4
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
5
Arbroath Morton

Side by side

Arbroath Morton
9 Played 9
3 Won 0
2 Drawn 1
4 Lost 8
0.7 Goals scored per game 0.6
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.9
1 / 0.4 Scored per game (home / away) 0.6 / 0.5
2 Clean sheets 0
5 Failed to score 4
2 Longest winning run 0
2-1 Biggest win -
4-0 Biggest defeat 1-4
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Arbroath vs Morton: preview and prediction

Arbroath host Morton in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 10) on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 15:00 at Gayfield Park, Arbroath. Arbroath sit 8th in the table and Morton 10th.

Arbroath are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L). Morton are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Arbroath won 2, Morton won 5 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Arbroath and 0.5 for Morton. It gives Arbroath the edge (59% home win, 27% draw, 13% away win), 30% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.75.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Arbroath vs Morton FAQs

What is the best prediction for Arbroath vs Morton?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.75 odds).

Who will win Arbroath vs Morton?

Arbroath are favourites: our model gives Arbroath 59%, the draw 27% and Morton 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 30% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.9 goals in total, with a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Arbroath vs Morton?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 15:00 at Gayfield Park, Arbroath.

Who is the referee?

C. Stirling is in charge of this game.