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Arbroath vs Morton Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 23
Arbroath

Arbroath

3rd in table
LLLLW
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 0
Morton

Morton

8th in table
LWWWL
58' A. Muirhead
74' M. Garrity
76' A. Muirhead
Friday, 23 January 2026
Gayfield Park, Arbroath
R. Lee

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6games
1Arbroath wins
1Draws
4Morton wins
2.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
08 Nov 2025Championship Morton 1 - 0 Arbroath
20 Sep 2025Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Morton
20 Apr 2024Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton
27 Jan 2024Championship Morton 3 - 0 Arbroath
09 Dec 2023Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton
26 Aug 2023Championship Morton 0 - 3 Arbroath

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 ST Johnstone 3622113 67:25 +42 77 WWWWW
2 Partick 3617154 53:36 +17 66 DDDWD
3 Arbroath 36131310 43:41 +2 52 DDWLL
4 Dunfermline 3614913 52:41 +11 51 DWLDL
5 Raith Rovers 3612915 43:42 +1 45 WLLWW
6 Queen's Park 3691413 35:48 -13 41 DLDLW
7 Ayr Utd 3681513 38:47 -9 39 LLLWL
8 Morton 3681414 36:52 -16 38 DLDLL
9 Airdrie United 3681216 35:49 -14 36 DWDDL
10 Ross County 3681018 36:57 -21 34 LWWLL

Top scorers

Championship
1 S. MallanST Johnstone 2goals 2assists 11apps
2 U. IkpeazuST Johnstone 1goals 0assists 14apps
3 G. Mackay-StevenRoss County 0goals 1assists 1apps
4 T. Oakley-BootheDunfermline 0goals 0assists 22apps
5 R. CallachanArbroath 0goals 0assists 1apps
6 J. BonnarAyr Utd 0goals 0assists 1apps
7 C. MainAyr Utd 0goals 0assists 1apps
8 T. WattPartick 0goals 0assists 1apps
9 R. FlynnArbroath 0goals 0assists 1apps
10 R. DochertyRoss County 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Arbroath 1 - 0 Queen of the South W
31 Oct 2026Championship Arbroath 0 - 4 Raith Rovers L
24 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 0 Arbroath L
17 Oct 2026Championship Inverness CT 2 - 0 Arbroath L
10 Oct 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton L
03 Oct 2026Championship Partick 3 - 0 Arbroath L
25 Sep 2026Championship Arbroath 2 - 1 Queen's Park W
19 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Arbroath L
12 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 4 - 0 Arbroath L
05 Sep 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
3 W 0 D 6 L in the last 9
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Morton 0 - 1 Kelty Hearts L
31 Oct 2026Championship Partick 2 - 3 Morton W
17 Oct 2026Championship Morton 2 - 0 Queen's Park W
10 Oct 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton W
03 Oct 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Raith Rovers L
25 Sep 2026Championship Inverness CT 2 - 0 Morton L
19 Sep 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline L
11 Sep 2026Championship Morton 1 - 4 Livingston L
05 Sep 2026Championship Queen's Park 2 - 1 Morton L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Arbroath Draw Morton

Most likely scores

1-1 12%
1-0 11%
2-1 9.3%
2-0 8.5%
0-1 7.8%
0-0 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.55 Arbroath · 1.1 Morton

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
71%
Form
29%
62%
Attack
38%
69%
Defence
31%
63%
Goal model
37%
7%
Head to head
93%
25%
Goals
75%
49%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

Championship 2025

When the goals come

3
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
5
4
31-45'
4
7
46-60'
2
7
61-75'
1
7
76-90'
7
4
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
5
3
31-45'
5
5
46-60'
8
5
61-75'
2
8
76-90'
6
Arbroath Morton

Side by side

Arbroath Morton
22 Played 21
10 Won 4
6 Drawn 10
6 Lost 7
1.4 Goals scored per game 1
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.6 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 0.8 / 1.1
4 Clean sheets 4
7 Failed to score 7
3 Longest winning run 2
4-1 Biggest win 2-1
0-5 Biggest defeat 0-4
1/1 Penalties scored 2/2

Arbroath vs Morton: preview and prediction

Arbroath host Morton in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 23) on Friday, 23rd January 2026 at 20:45 at Gayfield Park, Arbroath. Arbroath sit 3rd in the table and Morton 8th.

Arbroath are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-W). Morton are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-L).

In the last 6 meetings, Arbroath won 1, Morton won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for Arbroath and 1.1 for Morton. It gives Arbroath the edge (48% home win, 25% draw, 27% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.17.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Arbroath vs Morton FAQs

What is the best prediction for Arbroath vs Morton?

Our top tip is Free Tip: Home or Draw (1.17 odds).

Who will win Arbroath vs Morton?

Arbroath are favourites: our model gives Arbroath 48%, the draw 25% and Morton 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Arbroath vs Morton?

Kick-off is on Friday, 23rd January 2026 at 20:45 at Gayfield Park, Arbroath.

Who is the referee?

R. Lee is in charge of this game.