Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ethiopia: Premier League · Regular Season - 37
Arba Minch Kenema

Arba Minch Kenema

20th in table
WWLLL
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 1
Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

16th in table
WDLLL
7' S. Haftey
Friday, 26 June 2026

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
2Arba Minch Kenema wins
2Draws
1Welwalo Adigrat Uni wins
2.4Goals per game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
01 Feb 2026Premier League Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1 - 2 Arba Minch Kenema
23 May 2025Premier League Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1 - 1 Arba Minch Kenema
23 Nov 2024Premier League Arba Minch Kenema 2 - 0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni
25 Apr 2018Premier League Welwalo Adigrat Uni 3 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema
10 Dec 2017Premier League Arba Minch Kenema 1 - 1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sidama Bunna 3819118 43:23 +20 68 LWDWW
2 Negelle Arsi 3815158 37:30 +7 60 LWDWD
3 Mekelakeya 3814159 44:31 +13 57 DLWLL
4 Fasil Ketema 38141311 28:28 0 55 WLWWL
5 Mebrat Hayl 38131510 32:26 +6 54 WDWDL
6 Kedus Giorgis 38141212 33:31 +2 54 DWDWW
7 Welayta Dicha 3811189 37:31 +6 51 DWLWD
8 Ethiopia Bunna 38131213 40:39 +1 51 DWDLL
9 Awassa Kenema 38121412 37:32 +5 50 LDDLW
10 Sheger Ketema 38111710 34:31 +3 50 WWLDW
11 Bahardar 389218 28:28 0 48 DLDLD
12 Hadiya Hosaena 38111512 31:35 -4 48 DDWLD
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 38111413 45:45 0 47 DLDLW
14 Ethiopian Medhin 38101612 30:31 -1 46 LLLWD
15 Adama Kenema 38101612 35:39 -4 46 WLDWL
16 Welwalo Adigrat Uni 38101612 32:36 -4 46 DWLDD
17 Suhul Shire 3891514 24:32 -8 42 LWDLD
18 Dire Dawa Kenema 3891514 27:41 -14 42 WDWLL
19 Mekelle Kenema 3881614 26:38 -12 40 WLDDD
20 Arba Minch Kenema 3871417 30:46 -16 35 LLLWW

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Jul 2026Premier League Dire Dawa Kenema 2 - 1 Arba Minch Kenema L
26 Jun 2026Premier League Arba Minch Kenema 0 - 1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni L
22 Jun 2026Premier League Fasil Ketema 2 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema L
15 Jun 2026Premier League Arba Minch Kenema 2 - 0 Suhul Shire W
28 May 2026Premier League Mekelakeya 1 - 2 Arba Minch Kenema W
21 May 2026Premier League Arba Minch Kenema 0 - 3 Sidama Bunna L
16 May 2026Premier League Awassa Kenema 0 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema D
10 May 2026Premier League Arba Minch Kenema 2 - 3 Welayta Dicha L
05 May 2026Premier League Mekelle Kenema 0 - 2 Arba Minch Kenema W
30 Apr 2026Premier League Arba Minch Kenema 0 - 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank D
2 W 1 D 4 L in the last 7
01 Nov 2026Premier League Welayta Dicha 2 - 0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni L
24 Oct 2026CAF Confederation Cup Al Ahli Tripoli 4 - 1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni L
16 Oct 2026CAF Confederation Cup Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0 - 4 Al Ahli Tripoli L
09 Oct 2026Premier League Halaba Ketema 1 - 1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni D
12 Sep 2026CAF Confederation Cup Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2 - 1 Al Hilal Port Sudan W
04 Sep 2026CAF Confederation Cup Al Hilal Port Sudan 2 - 1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni L
09 Jul 2026Ethiopia Cup Sidama Bunna 0 - 2 Welwalo Adigrat Uni W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Arba Minch Kenema Draw Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Value spotted: Welwalo Adigrat Uni win at 2.83 (model 47% vs market 32%)

Most likely scores

0-1 17.1%
0-0 14.2%
1-1 12.8%
1-0 10.7%
0-2 10.2%
1-2 7.7%

Expected goals: 0.75 Arba Minch Kenema · 1.2 Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals58%
Over 2.5 goals31%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams score37%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
54%
Form
46%
57%
Attack
43%
33%
Defence
67%
28%
Goal model
72%
62%
Head to head
38%
50%
Goals
50%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

Premier League 2025

When the goals come

3
0-15'
5
4
16-30'
4
6
31-45'
6
5
46-60'
2
4
61-75'
6
8
76-90'
7
9
0-15'
9
8
16-30'
4
7
31-45'
6
7
46-60'
3
4
61-75'
9
8
76-90'
4
Arba Minch Kenema Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Side by side

Arba Minch Kenema Welwalo Adigrat Uni
36 Played 36
7 Won 9
14 Drawn 15
15 Lost 12
0.8 Goals scored per game 0.8
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1
0.7 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 0.8 / 0.9
11 Clean sheets 13
17 Failed to score 15
2 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 2-0
1-4 Biggest defeat 1-4
1/1 Penalties scored 3/3

Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: preview and prediction

Arba Minch Kenema host Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Ethiopia Premier League (Regular Season - 37) on Friday, 26th June 2026 at 16:00. Arba Minch Kenema sit 20th in the table and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 16th.

Arba Minch Kenema are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-L). Welwalo Adigrat Uni are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-L-L-L).

In the last 5 meetings, Arba Minch Kenema won 2, Welwalo Adigrat Uni won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 0.75 goals for Arba Minch Kenema and 1.2 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni. It gives Welwalo Adigrat Uni the edge (23% home win, 30% draw, 47% away win), 31% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.35. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni FAQs

What is the best prediction for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.35 odds).

Who will win Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni are favourites: our model gives Arba Minch Kenema 23%, the draw 30% and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 47%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 37% chance in our model, and it happened in 60% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Kick-off is on Friday, 26th June 2026 at 16:00.