RaraBet
Home Pricing About Partners News Contact Us
Register Login

Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ethiopia: Premier League · Regular Season - 20
Arba Minch Kenema

Arba Minch Kenema

20th in table
WWLLL
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 1
Negelle Arsi

Negelle Arsi

2nd in table
WDWLD
18' D. Tefera
48' B. Gizachew
64'
Sunday, 22 February 2026

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0Arba Minch Kenema wins
1Draws
0Negelle Arsi wins
2Goals per game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
18 Oct 2025Premier League Negelle Arsi 1 - 1 Arba Minch Kenema

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sidama Bunna 3819118 43:23 +20 68 LWDWW
2 Negelle Arsi 3815158 37:30 +7 60 LWDWD
3 Mekelakeya 3814159 44:31 +13 57 DLWLL
4 Fasil Ketema 38141311 28:28 0 55 WLWWL
5 Mebrat Hayl 38131510 32:26 +6 54 WDWDL
6 Kedus Giorgis 38141212 33:31 +2 54 DWDWW
7 Welayta Dicha 3811189 37:31 +6 51 DWLWD
8 Ethiopia Bunna 38131213 40:39 +1 51 DWDLL
9 Awassa Kenema 38121412 37:32 +5 50 LDDLW
10 Sheger Ketema 38111710 34:31 +3 50 WWLDW
11 Bahardar 389218 28:28 0 48 DLDLD
12 Hadiya Hosaena 38111512 31:35 -4 48 DDWLD
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 38111413 45:45 0 47 DLDLW
14 Ethiopian Medhin 38101612 30:31 -1 46 LLLWD
15 Adama Kenema 38101612 35:39 -4 46 WLDWL
16 Welwalo Adigrat Uni 38101612 32:36 -4 46 DWLDD
17 Suhul Shire 3891514 24:32 -8 42 LWDLD
18 Dire Dawa Kenema 3891514 27:41 -14 42 WDWLL
19 Mekelle Kenema 3881614 26:38 -12 40 WLDDD
20 Arba Minch Kenema 3871417 30:46 -16 35 LLLWW

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Jul 2026Premier League Dire Dawa Kenema 2 - 1 Arba Minch Kenema L
26 Jun 2026Premier League Arba Minch Kenema 0 - 1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni L
22 Jun 2026Premier League Fasil Ketema 2 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema L
15 Jun 2026Premier League Arba Minch Kenema 2 - 0 Suhul Shire W
28 May 2026Premier League Mekelakeya 1 - 2 Arba Minch Kenema W
21 May 2026Premier League Arba Minch Kenema 0 - 3 Sidama Bunna L
16 May 2026Premier League Awassa Kenema 0 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema D
10 May 2026Premier League Arba Minch Kenema 2 - 3 Welayta Dicha L
05 May 2026Premier League Mekelle Kenema 0 - 2 Arba Minch Kenema W
30 Apr 2026Premier League Arba Minch Kenema 0 - 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank D
4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Premier League Kedus Giorgis 1 - 1 Negelle Arsi D
01 Jul 2026Premier League Mekelle Kenema 3 - 0 Negelle Arsi L
26 Jun 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 2 - 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank W
20 Jun 2026Premier League Sidama Bunna 1 - 1 Negelle Arsi D
15 Jun 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 2 - 1 Awassa Kenema W
04 Jun 2026Premier League Welayta Dicha 0 - 0 Negelle Arsi D
21 May 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 0 - 0 Suhul Shire D
14 May 2026Premier League Mekelakeya 4 - 0 Negelle Arsi L
11 May 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 3 - 0 Dire Dawa Kenema W
06 May 2026Premier League Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1 - 2 Negelle Arsi W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Arba Minch Kenema Draw Negelle Arsi
Value spotted: Negelle Arsi win at 2.09 (model 51% vs market 43%)

Most likely scores

0-1 21%
0-0 18.3%
0-2 12.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-0 10%
1-2 6.6%

Expected goals: 0.55 Arba Minch Kenema · 1.15 Negelle Arsi

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals51%
Over 2.5 goals24%
Over 3.5 goals9%
Both teams score29%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
29%
Form
71%
50%
Attack
50%
27%
Defence
73%
17%
Goal model
83%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
37%
Overall
62%

Season numbers

Premier League 2025

When the goals come

2
0-15'
6
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
3
3
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
7
5
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
1
4
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
2
7
76-90'
4
Arba Minch Kenema Negelle Arsi

Side by side

Arba Minch Kenema Negelle Arsi
19 Played 19
1 Won 10
9 Drawn 5
9 Lost 4
0.5 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.2 Goals conceded per game 0.6
0.4 / 0.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.1 / 1.1
5 Clean sheets 10
11 Failed to score 5
1 Longest winning run 4
1-2 Biggest win 2-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 0-1
1/1 Penalties scored 3/3

Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi: preview and prediction

Arba Minch Kenema host Negelle Arsi in the Ethiopia Premier League (Regular Season - 20) on Sunday, 22nd February 2026 at 13:00. Arba Minch Kenema sit 20th in the table and Negelle Arsi 2nd.

Arba Minch Kenema are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-L). Negelle Arsi have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-L-D).

In the last 1 meetings, Arba Minch Kenema won 0, Negelle Arsi won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 0.55 goals for Arba Minch Kenema and 1.15 for Negelle Arsi. It gives Negelle Arsi the edge (18% home win, 32% draw, 51% away win), 24% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.09.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi FAQs

What is the best prediction for Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.09 odds).

Who will win Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Negelle Arsi are favourites: our model gives Arba Minch Kenema 18%, the draw 32% and Negelle Arsi 51%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 29% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.7 goals in total, with a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 22nd February 2026 at 13:00.