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Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson Prediction, H2H & Stats

Argentina: Torneo Federal A · Regular Season - 16
Alvarado

Alvarado

5th in table
WLDWL
Full time
5:0
HT 4 - 0
Germinal de Rawson

Germinal de Rawson

30th in table
DDDWL
2' G. Cervera
8' S. Gutierrez
11' F. Centurion
34' R. Makarte
56' M. Perez
64'
84'
84'
Sunday, 5 July 2026
Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0Alvarado wins
0Draws
1Germinal de Rawson wins
1Goals per game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
03 May 2026Torneo Federal A Germinal de Rawson 1 - 0 Alvarado

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16871 13:4 +9 31 WWDDD
2 Douglas Haig 18945 22:15 +7 31 WLDWD
3 Sportivo Belgrano 18792 21:9 +12 30 DDDDD
4 San Martin Formosa 16934 25:19 +6 30 WLDWW
5 Alvarado 16763 19:7 +12 27 DWLWD
6 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18765 17:12 +5 27 DDWLW
7 Defensores de Belgrano VR 18765 24:20 +4 27 DWDDW
8 Kimberley Mar del Plata 16682 15:9 +6 26 DWWDD
9 Bartolomé Mitre 16754 13:7 +6 26 LWLDD
10 Sol de América 16826 19:14 +5 26 LWWLL
11 Juventud Antoniana 16745 19:11 +8 25 WWDWD
12 Cipolletti 16745 19:15 +4 25 WDDWL
13 Sarmiento de La Banda 16745 17:15 +2 25 DWLWW
14 9 de Julio Rafaela 18747 28:27 +1 25 LLLWW
15 Sportivo Las Parejas 18594 12:13 -1 24 DDDDW
16 Villa Mitre 16583 14:8 +6 23 DWDWW
17 Argentino Monte Maíz 16583 16:12 +4 23 DDDDD
18 Atenas 16655 12:13 -1 23 DDLWD
19 Huracan Las Heras 16655 11:13 -2 23 DWWLW
20 Atletico Escobar 18648 21:29 -8 22 DWDWL
21 Fundacion Amigos 16493 17:14 +3 21 DDWDD
22 Deportivo Rincon 16547 13:16 -3 19 WLLLL
23 San Martín Mendoza 16475 11:15 -4 19 DDWLW
24 Defensores de Vilelas 16619 21:26 -5 19 LWLWL
25 Independiente De Chivilcoy 18477 15:22 -7 19 DLDLL
26 El Linqueño 18549 14:21 -7 19 WWLDL
27 Costa Brava 16466 12:13 -1 18 LLWDW
28 Sol de Mayo 16466 15:18 -3 18 DLLWD
29 Boca Unidos 16538 19:25 -6 18 LLWLW
30 Germinal de Rawson 16466 7:14 -7 18 LLLWD
31 Juventud Unida Univ. 16385 10:10 0 17 DLDDL
32 Tucuman Central 16529 14:19 -5 17 DLLLW
33 Gimnasia Concepción 18459 12:18 -6 17 LDWLL
34 Guillermo Brown 16457 13:20 -7 17 WLWLL
35 Sarmiento Resistencia 16367 12:23 -11 15 WLWLW
36 Santamarina 16277 9:17 -8 13 LDLLD
37 Circulo Deportivo 16277 8:16 -8 13 DWLDL

Top scorers

Torneo Federal A
1 Imanol IriberriCirculo Deportivo 3goals 0assists 14apps
2 E. GutiérrezSarmiento de La Banda 2goals 0assists 10apps
3 Francisco GramajoTucuman Central 0goals 0assists 1apps
4 Raul VillarrealAtletico Escobar 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Torneo Federal A Alvarado 1 - 2 Sportivo Las Parejas L
25 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A Sportivo Las Parejas 0 - 1 Alvarado W
18 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A Alvarado 0 - 0 Cipolletti D
11 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A Cipolletti 1 - 0 Alvarado L
04 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A Alvarado 2 - 0 Defensores de Belgrano VR W
27 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Defensores de Belgrano VR 2 - 2 Alvarado D
20 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Alvarado 1 - 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca D
13 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Cipolletti 1 - 0 Alvarado L
06 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Alvarado 3 - 2 Atenas W
30 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A Kimberley Mar del Plata 0 - 2 Alvarado W
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
20 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Circulo Deportivo 2 - 0 Germinal de Rawson L
13 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Germinal de Rawson 1 - 0 Guillermo Brown W
06 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Fundacion Amigos 1 - 1 Germinal de Rawson D
30 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A Germinal de Rawson 0 - 0 Deportivo Rincon D
23 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A Germinal de Rawson 0 - 0 San Martín Mendoza D
16 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A Sol de Mayo 1 - 0 Germinal de Rawson L
12 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A Germinal de Rawson 5 - 1 Santamarina W
08 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A Costa Brava 1 - 1 Germinal de Rawson D
02 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A Germinal de Rawson 2 - 1 Juventud Unida Univ. W
26 Jul 2026Torneo Federal A Guillermo Brown 2 - 0 Germinal de Rawson L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Alvarado Draw Germinal de Rawson
Value spotted: Draw at 3.85 (model 31% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

1-0 29.6%
0-0 24.7%
2-0 17.8%
3-0 7.1%
1-1 5.9%
0-1 4.9%

Expected goals: 1.2 Alvarado · 0.2 Germinal de Rawson

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals41%
Over 2.5 goals17%
Over 3.5 goals5%
Both teams score13%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
71%
Attack
29%
25%
Defence
75%
93%
Goal model
7%
0%
Head to head
100%
0%
Goals
100%
59%
Overall
40%

Season numbers

Torneo Federal A 2026

When the goals come

5
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
3
2
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
3
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
Alvarado Germinal de Rawson

Side by side

Alvarado Germinal de Rawson
14 Played 13
6 Won 4
5 Drawn 6
3 Lost 3
1 Goals scored per game 0.5
0.5 Goals conceded per game 0.5
1.6 / 0.4 Scored per game (home / away) 0.7 / 0.3
9 Clean sheets 8
6 Failed to score 6
2 Longest winning run 1
3-0 Biggest win 1-0
2-0 Biggest defeat 2-1
1/1 Penalties scored 2/2

Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson: preview and prediction

Alvarado host Germinal de Rawson in the Argentina Torneo Federal A (Regular Season - 16) on Sunday, 5th July 2026 at 18:00 at Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata. Alvarado sit 5th in the table and Germinal de Rawson 30th.

Alvarado have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-W-L). Germinal de Rawson have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-D-W-L).

In the last 1 meetings, Alvarado won 0, Germinal de Rawson won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.2 goals for Alvarado and 0.2 for Germinal de Rawson. It gives Alvarado the edge (63% home win, 31% draw, 6% away win), 17% for over 2.5 goals and 13% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 2.66. We also like Under 2.5, BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson FAQs

What is the best prediction for Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (2.66 odds).

Who will win Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson?

Alvarado are favourites: our model gives Alvarado 63%, the draw 31% and Germinal de Rawson 6%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 13% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.4 goals in total, with a 17% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 5th July 2026 at 18:00 at Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata.