Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spain: La Liga · Regular Season - 28
Alaves

Alaves

14th in table
LDLLD
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 0
Villarreal

Villarreal

3rd in table
WDLWW
36' Lucas Boyé
40' R. Marin (Own Goal)
50' Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
58' Sergi Cardona
90+5' Antonio Blanco
90' Antonio Sivera
90' N. Pepe
Friday, 13 March 2026
Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
A. Quintero

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Alaves wins
2Draws
3Villarreal wins
3.1Goals per game
75%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
10 Jan 2026La Liga Villarreal 3 - 1 Alaves
08 Mar 2025La Liga Alaves 1 - 0 Villarreal
09 Nov 2024La Liga Villarreal 3 - 0 Alaves
10 Feb 2024La Liga Alaves 1 - 1 Villarreal
22 Oct 2023La Liga Villarreal 1 - 1 Alaves
30 Apr 2022La Liga Alaves 2 - 1 Villarreal
21 Dec 2021La Liga Villarreal 5 - 2 Alaves
21 Apr 2021La Liga Alaves 2 - 1 Villarreal

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona 383116 95:36 +59 94 LWLWW
2 Real Madrid 382756 77:35 +42 86 WWWLW
3 Villarreal 3822610 72:46 +26 72 WLLDW
4 Atletico Madrid 3821611 62:44 +18 69 LWWLW
5 Real Betis 3815158 59:48 +11 60 WLWDW
6 Celta Vigo 38141212 53:48 +5 54 WDLWW
7 Getafe 3815617 32:38 -6 51 WLWDL
8 Rayo Vallecano 38121412 41:44 -3 50 WWDDW
9 Valencia 38131015 46:55 -9 49 WWDWL
10 Real Sociedad 38111314 59:61 -2 46 DLDDL
11 Espanyol 38121016 43:55 -12 46 DWWLL
12 Athletic Club 3813619 43:58 -15 45 LDLLW
13 Sevilla 3812719 46:60 -14 43 LLWWW
14 Alaves 38111017 44:56 -12 43 LWWDL
15 Elche 38101315 49:57 -8 43 DWLDL
16 Levante 3811918 47:61 -14 42 LWWWL
17 Osasuna 3811918 44:50 -6 42 LLLLL
18 Mallorca 3811918 47:57 -10 42 WLLDW
19 Girona 3891415 39:55 -16 41 DLDDL
20 Oviedo 3861121 26:60 -34 29 LLLDL

Top scorers

La Liga
1 Kylian MbappéReal Madrid 25goals 5assists 31apps
2 V. MuriqiMallorca 23goals 1assists 37apps
3 A. BudimirOsasuna 17goals 0assists 37apps
4 Ferran TorresBarcelona 16goals 2assists 33apps
5 Lamine YamalBarcelona 16goals 11assists 28apps
6 Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid 16goals 5assists 36apps
7 Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad 15goals 4assists 34apps
8 Toni MartínezAlaves 14goals 3assists 37apps
9 R. LewandowskiBarcelona 14goals 2assists 31apps
10 Borja IglesiasCelta Vigo 14goals 2assists 35apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
23 Oct 2026La Liga Alaves 1 - 1 Malaga D
18 Oct 2026La Liga Celta Vigo 2 - 1 Alaves L
10 Oct 2026La Liga Alaves 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid L
19 Sep 2026La Liga Athletic Club 0 - 0 Alaves D
15 Sep 2026La Liga Alaves 0 - 1 Valencia L
12 Sep 2026La Liga Racing Santander 2 - 1 Alaves L
06 Sep 2026La Liga Alaves 5 - 2 Osasuna W
28 Aug 2026La Liga Alaves 1 - 0 Villarreal W
20 Aug 2026La Liga Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Alaves D
15 Aug 2026La Liga Alaves 3 - 0 Getafe W
5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
27 Oct 2026Copa del Rey Manacor 0 - 5 Villarreal W
24 Oct 2026La Liga Valencia 1 - 2 Villarreal W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Liverpool 4 - 3 Villarreal L
17 Oct 2026La Liga Villarreal 0 - 0 Elche D
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Villarreal 3 - 1 Napoli W
10 Oct 2026La Liga Real Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal L
20 Sep 2026La Liga Villarreal 3 - 1 Levante W
17 Sep 2026La Liga Malaga 1 - 3 Villarreal W
14 Sep 2026La Liga Villarreal 1 - 2 Real Betis L
08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Villarreal L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Alaves Draw Villarreal
Value spotted: Alaves win at 3.58 (model 37% vs market 27%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.2%
0-1 9.1%
1-0 9.1%
1-2 8.3%
2-1 8.3%
0-0 6.7%

Expected goals: 1.35 Alaves · 1.35 Villarreal

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
18%
Form
82%
42%
Attack
58%
44%
Defence
56%
45%
Goal model
55%
38%
Head to head
62%
33%
Goals
67%
36%
Overall
63%

Season numbers

La Liga 2025

When the goals come

6
0-15'
4
2
16-30'
7
3
31-45'
11
2
46-60'
12
5
61-75'
8
6
76-90'
7
4
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
4
3
31-45'
5
9
46-60'
7
7
61-75'
4
11
76-90'
10
Alaves Villarreal

Side by side

Alaves Villarreal
27 Played 27
7 Won 17
6 Drawn 3
14 Lost 7
0.9 Goals scored per game 1.9
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.2
1.2 / 0.6 Scored per game (home / away) 2.2 / 1.5
3 Clean sheets 8
10 Failed to score 4
2 Longest winning run 6
3-1 Biggest win 5-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 0-2
5/5 Penalties scored 3/3

Alaves vs Villarreal: preview and prediction

Alaves host Villarreal in the Spain La Liga (Regular Season - 28) on Friday, 13th March 2026 at 21:00 at Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz. Alaves sit 14th in the table and Villarreal 3rd.

Alaves are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-L-D). Villarreal are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Alaves won 3, Villarreal won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Alaves and 1.35 for Villarreal. It gives Alaves the edge (37% home win, 26% draw, 37% away win), 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw. We also like Away Win, Over 1.5, Away Wins Either Half.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Alaves vs Villarreal FAQs

What is the best prediction for Alaves vs Villarreal?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw.

Who will win Alaves vs Villarreal?

It looks very close: our model gives Alaves 37%, the draw 26% and Villarreal 37%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Alaves vs Villarreal?

Kick-off is on Friday, 13th March 2026 at 21:00 at Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz.

Who is the referee?

A. Quintero is in charge of this game.