Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh Prediction, H2H & Stats

Saudi-Arabia: Pro League · Regular Season - 28
Al-Ahli Jeddah

Al-Ahli Jeddah

3rd in table
WWWLD
Full time
3:1
HT 1 - 0
Al-Fateh

Al-Fateh

11th in table
LWLLL
25' Abdulaziz Al-Swealem
27' I. Toney (Penalty)
50' S. Bendebka
76' I. Toney (Penalty)
78' Matías Vargas
90' I. Toney
Wednesday, 6 May 2026
King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
A. Al Qahtani

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2Al-Ahli Jeddah wins
2Draws
4Al-Fateh wins
2.8Goals per game
63%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
26 Dec 2025Pro League Al-Fateh 2 - 1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
07 Feb 2025Pro League Al-Ahli Jeddah 2 - 0 Al-Fateh
27 Aug 2024Pro League Al-Fateh 1 - 0 Al-Ahli Jeddah
02 Mar 2024Pro League Al-Ahli Jeddah 1 - 1 Al-Fateh
02 Sep 2023Pro League Al-Fateh 5 - 1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
11 Feb 2022Pro League Al-Fateh 0 - 1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
17 Sep 2021Pro League Al-Ahli Jeddah 1 - 1 Al-Fateh
20 Mar 2021Pro League Al-Fateh 4 - 1 Al-Ahli Jeddah

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Al-Nassr 342824 91:28 +63 86 WDWLW
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 342590 85:27 +58 84 WWDWW
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah 342563 71:25 +46 81 WWWWW
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC 342383 83:34 +49 77 WWWWW
5 Al-Ittihad FC 3416711 55:48 +7 55 LLWWD
6 Al Taawon 3415811 59:46 +13 53 LDLWL
7 Al-Ettifaq 3414812 51:55 -4 50 DLWDW
8 NEOM 3412913 43:48 -5 45 DLWDD
9 Al-Hazm 3411914 38:57 -19 42 WLDLD
10 Al-Fayha 3410816 41:54 -13 38 LLLWD
11 Al-Fateh 3491015 41:55 -14 37 DWLLD
12 Al Khaleej Saihat 3410717 54:62 -8 37 LLLLW
13 Al Shabab 3481115 44:57 -13 35 LWLLL
14 Al Kholood 349619 39:61 -22 33 DLDDD
15 Al Riyadh 347918 35:63 -28 30 WDWLL
16 Damac 3461117 32:55 -23 29 LWLLL
17 Al Okhdood 345524 27:70 -43 20 LWDLL
18 Al Najma 343724 32:76 -44 16 WLDDL

Top scorers

Pro League
1 J. QuiñonesAl-Qadisiyah FC 33goals 4assists 31apps
2 I. ToneyAl-Ahli Jeddah 31goals 7assists 32apps
3 Cristiano RonaldoAl-Nassr 25goals 2assists 28apps
4 Roger MartínezAl Taawon 23goals 2assists 32apps
5 J. KingAl Khaleej Saihat 20goals 2assists 29apps
6 João FélixAl-Nassr 20goals 13assists 32apps
7 Y. CarrascoAl Shabab 18goals 8assists 29apps
8 K. BenzemaAl-Hilal Saudi FC 17goals 2assists 24apps
9 G. WijnaldumAl-Ettifaq 16goals 6assists 33apps
10 M. ReteguiAl-Qadisiyah FC 16goals 1assists 28apps

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026AFC Champions League Elite Al Sadd 0 - 0 Al-Ahli Jeddah D
30 Oct 2026Pro League Al Shabab 6 - 1 Al-Ahli Jeddah L
26 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Al-Ahli Jeddah 2 - 1 Al-Gharafa W
23 Oct 2026Pro League Al-Ahli Jeddah 4 - 1 Al Khaleej Saihat W
19 Oct 2026Pro League Al-Fayha 2 - 3 Al-Ahli Jeddah W
12 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Al-Wasl FC 1 - 3 Al-Ahli Jeddah W
09 Oct 2026Pro League Al-Fateh 0 - 4 Al-Ahli Jeddah W
19 Sep 2026FIFA Intercontinental Cup Mamelodi Sundowns 2 - 1 Al-Ahli Jeddah L
14 Sep 2026AFC Champions League Elite Al-Ahli Jeddah 1 - 1 Pakhtakor D
11 Sep 2026Pro League Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 - 1 Al-Hazm W
1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Pro League Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2 - 0 Al-Fateh L
22 Oct 2026Pro League Al-Fateh 1 - 3 Al Shabab L
18 Oct 2026Pro League Al-Fateh 2 - 3 Al Khaleej Saihat L
15 Oct 2026Pro League Al-Hazm 2 - 3 Al-Fateh W
09 Oct 2026Pro League Al-Fateh 0 - 4 Al-Ahli Jeddah L
13 Sep 2026Pro League NEOM 4 - 2 Al-Fateh L
09 Sep 2026Pro League Al-Fateh 1 - 2 Al Diriyah L
05 Sep 2026Pro League Al Taawon 0 - 0 Al-Fateh D
29 Aug 2026Pro League Al-Fateh 0 - 0 Al-Ittihad FC D
26 Aug 2026Pro League Al-Faisaly FC 1 - 1 Al-Fateh D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Al-Ahli Jeddah Draw Al-Fateh
Value spotted: Al-Fateh win at 10.50 (model 15% vs market 9%)

Most likely scores

2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.9%
1-0 9.4%
1-1 9%
3-0 7.6%
3-1 7.2%

Expected goals: 2.2 Al-Ahli Jeddah · 0.95 Al-Fateh

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams score54%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
58%
Form
42%
71%
Attack
29%
45%
Defence
55%
83%
Goal model
17%
29%
Head to head
71%
36%
Goals
64%
53%
Overall
46%

Season numbers

Pro League 2025

When the goals come

6
0-15'
5
10
16-30'
1
7
31-45'
10
9
46-60'
6
11
61-75'
10
13
76-90'
9
2
0-15'
6
3
16-30'
8
7
31-45'
9
3
46-60'
8
3
61-75'
7
7
76-90'
10
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Fateh

Side by side

Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Fateh
30 Played 30
21 Won 8
6 Drawn 9
3 Lost 13
2 Goals scored per game 1.3
0.7 Goals conceded per game 1.7
2.6 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.4 / 1.1
16 Clean sheets 5
3 Failed to score 6
8 Longest winning run 5
4-0 Biggest win 3-1
2-0 Biggest defeat 2-5
7/7 Penalties scored 7/7

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh: preview and prediction

Al-Ahli Jeddah host Al-Fateh in the Saudi-Arabia Pro League (Regular Season - 28) on Wednesday, 6th May 2026 at 19:00 at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah. Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 3rd in the table and Al-Fateh 11th.

Al-Ahli Jeddah are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-D). Al-Fateh are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 2, Al-Fateh won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 2.2 goals for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 0.95 for Al-Fateh. It gives Al-Ahli Jeddah the edge (66% home win, 19% draw, 15% away win), 61% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.21. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh FAQs

What is the best prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.21 odds).

Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?

Al-Ahli Jeddah are favourites: our model gives Al-Ahli Jeddah 66%, the draw 19% and Al-Fateh 15%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 54% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 6th May 2026 at 19:00 at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah.

Who is the referee?

A. Al Qahtani is in charge of this game.