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Ajax vs Willem II Prediction, H2H & Stats

Netherlands: Eredivisie · Regular Season - 3
Ajax

Ajax

2nd in table
DLWWW
Full time
5:1
HT 2 - 0
Willem II

Willem II

18th in table
LLLLW
41' D. Klaassen
45' J. Brandt
69' V. Tsygankov
74' O. Gloukh
76' A. Ciranni
87' K. Dolberg
Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Allard Lindhout, Netherlands

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
6Ajax wins
1Draws
1Willem II wins
2.8Goals per game
38%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
13 Apr 2025Eredivisie Willem II 1 - 2 Ajax
27 Oct 2024Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 0 Willem II
19 Feb 2022Eredivisie Willem II 0 - 1 Ajax
02 Dec 2021Eredivisie Ajax 5 - 0 Willem II
28 Jan 2021Eredivisie Ajax 3 - 1 Willem II
23 Dec 2020Eredivisie Willem II 1 - 1 Ajax
06 Dec 2019Eredivisie Ajax 0 - 2 Willem II
05 May 2019KNVB Beker Willem II 0 - 4 Ajax

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Feyenoord 10730 32:11 +21 24 DWWWW
2 Ajax 10631 29:13 +16 21 WWDDW
3 PSV Eindhoven 10622 28:13 +15 20 DLWLW
4 Twente 10622 19:10 +9 20 WLDWW
5 AZ Alkmaar 10622 20:12 +8 20 LDLWD
6 Fortuna Sittard 10532 17:17 0 18 WDDWL
7 Heerenveen 10433 18:13 +5 15 WWLWD
8 Groningen 10433 24:21 +3 15 DLWWD
9 GO Ahead Eagles 10352 23:23 0 14 WLDDD
10 Cambuur 10334 19:22 -3 12 WDWDW
11 Utrecht 10334 17:27 -10 12 DWWLW
12 NEC Nijmegen 10253 17:18 -1 11 DDDDL
13 Excelsior 10325 16:19 -3 11 LLLDL
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10235 17:24 -7 9 LWDLL
15 PEC Zwolle 10226 11:23 -12 8 DWLLL
16 Telstar 10136 12:21 -9 6 LLDLD
17 ADO Den Haag 10136 13:23 -10 6 LWDDL
18 Willem II 10028 10:32 -22 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Eredivisie
1 S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles 8goals 2assists 10apps
2 B. WillumssonGroningen 8goals 0assists 10apps
3 J. BrandtAjax 6goals 2assists 10apps
4 J. TrenskowHeerenveen 6goals 2assists 10apps
5 M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam 6goals 1assists 10apps
6 G. TilPSV Eindhoven 6goals 1assists 10apps
7 Nacho FerriFeyenoord 6goals 1assists 9apps
8 A. Hadj-MoussaFeyenoord 6goals 1assists 9apps
9 T. van BergenGroningen 6goals 3assists 10apps
10 G. ZechiëlFeyenoord 5goals 4assists 10apps

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 2 Ajax W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Ajax 2 - 0 Atalanta W
18 Oct 2026Eredivisie Groningen 2 - 5 Ajax W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League HNK Hajduk Split 2 - 1 Ajax L
10 Oct 2026Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen D
19 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 2 - 2 Excelsior D
15 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 5 - 1 Willem II W
12 Sep 2026Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 1 - 5 Ajax W
05 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven L
30 Aug 2026Eredivisie Telstar 0 - 4 Ajax W
1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
27 Oct 2026KNVB Beker Helmond Sport 3 - 4 Willem II W
24 Oct 2026Eredivisie Willem II 1 - 6 Cambuur L
17 Oct 2026Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 2 Willem II L
11 Oct 2026Eredivisie Utrecht 3 - 1 Willem II L
19 Sep 2026Eredivisie Willem II 0 - 1 Fortuna Sittard L
15 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 5 - 1 Willem II L
11 Sep 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Willem II D
05 Sep 2026Eredivisie Willem II 0 - 3 Excelsior L
30 Aug 2026Eredivisie Willem II 2 - 2 Heerenveen D
15 Aug 2026Eredivisie Willem II 1 - 4 NEC Nijmegen L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ajax Draw Willem II
Value spotted: Draw at 9.05 (model 21% vs market 11%) · Willem II win at 16.00 (model 34% vs market 6%)

Most likely scores

1-1 8.2%
2-1 8.2%
1-2 7.2%
2-2 7.2%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.8%

Expected goals: 2 Ajax · 1.75 Willem II

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams score71%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
83%
Form
17%
74%
Attack
26%
70%
Defence
30%
67%
Goal model
33%
100%
Head to head
0%
86%
Goals
14%
76%
Overall
24%

Season numbers

Eredivisie 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
5
76-90'
3
2
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
6
2
76-90'
2
Ajax Willem II

Side by side

Ajax Willem II
5 Played 5
3 Won 0
1 Drawn 2
1 Lost 3
2.8 Goals scored per game 1
1.2 Goals conceded per game 2.8
1.5 / 3.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 0
1-5 Biggest win -
1-3 Biggest defeat 1-4
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Ajax vs Willem II: preview and prediction

Ajax host Willem II in the Netherlands Eredivisie (Regular Season - 3) on Tuesday, 15th September 2026 at 19:00 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam. Ajax sit 2nd in the table and Willem II 18th.

Ajax are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-W). Willem II are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Ajax won 6, Willem II won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Ajax and 1.75 for Willem II. It gives Ajax the edge (44% home win, 21% draw, 34% away win), 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 2.5. We also like Home Win, BTTS Yes, Over 0.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ajax vs Willem II FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ajax vs Willem II?

Our top tip is Banker: Over 2.5.

Who will win Ajax vs Willem II?

Ajax are favourites: our model gives Ajax 44%, the draw 21% and Willem II 34%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 71% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.8 goals in total, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ajax vs Willem II?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 15th September 2026 at 19:00 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.

Who is the referee?

Allard Lindhout, Netherlands is in charge of this game.