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Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction, H2H & Stats

Netherlands: Eredivisie · Regular Season - 5
Ajax

Ajax

2nd in table
DLWWW
Full time
1:3
HT 1 - 2
PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

3rd in table
WLLWD
-5' Davy Klaassen
-5' Lutsharel Geertruida
-5' Ivan Perišić
5' R. Pepi
16' Kodai Sano
23' T. Arokodare
37' Noah Fernandez
45' L. Geertruida
74' Filip Kostić
81' Youri Baas
81' Ruben van Bommel
90+6' Anton Gaaei
90' E. Bajraktarevic
Saturday, 5 September 2026
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Ajax wins
4Draws
3PSV Eindhoven wins
3.6Goals per game
78%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
02 May 2026Eredivisie Ajax 2 - 2 PSV Eindhoven
21 Sep 2025Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 2 - 2 Ajax
30 Mar 2025Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 0 - 2 Ajax
02 Nov 2024Eredivisie Ajax 3 - 2 PSV Eindhoven
03 Feb 2024Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 1 PSV Eindhoven
29 Oct 2023Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 5 - 2 Ajax
30 Apr 2023KNVB Beker Ajax 1 - 1 PSV Eindhoven
23 Apr 2023Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 3 - 0 Ajax
06 Nov 2022Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 2 PSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Feyenoord 10730 32:11 +21 24 DWWWW
2 Ajax 10631 29:13 +16 21 WWDDW
3 PSV Eindhoven 10622 28:13 +15 20 DLWLW
4 Twente 10622 19:10 +9 20 WLDWW
5 AZ Alkmaar 10622 20:12 +8 20 LDLWD
6 Fortuna Sittard 10532 17:17 0 18 WDDWL
7 Heerenveen 10433 18:13 +5 15 WWLWD
8 Groningen 10433 24:21 +3 15 DLWWD
9 GO Ahead Eagles 10352 23:23 0 14 WLDDD
10 Cambuur 10334 19:22 -3 12 WDWDW
11 Utrecht 10334 17:27 -10 12 DWWLW
12 NEC Nijmegen 10253 17:18 -1 11 DDDDL
13 Excelsior 10325 16:19 -3 11 LLLDL
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10235 17:24 -7 9 LWDLL
15 PEC Zwolle 10226 11:23 -12 8 DWLLL
16 Telstar 10136 12:21 -9 6 LLDLD
17 ADO Den Haag 10136 13:23 -10 6 LWDDL
18 Willem II 10028 10:32 -22 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Eredivisie
1 S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles 8goals 2assists 10apps
2 B. WillumssonGroningen 8goals 0assists 10apps
3 J. BrandtAjax 6goals 2assists 10apps
4 J. TrenskowHeerenveen 6goals 2assists 10apps
5 M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam 6goals 1assists 10apps
6 G. TilPSV Eindhoven 6goals 1assists 10apps
7 Nacho FerriFeyenoord 6goals 1assists 9apps
8 A. Hadj-MoussaFeyenoord 6goals 1assists 9apps
9 T. van BergenGroningen 6goals 3assists 10apps
10 G. ZechiëlFeyenoord 5goals 4assists 10apps

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 2 Ajax W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Ajax 2 - 0 Atalanta W
18 Oct 2026Eredivisie Groningen 2 - 5 Ajax W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League HNK Hajduk Split 2 - 1 Ajax L
10 Oct 2026Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen D
19 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 2 - 2 Excelsior D
15 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 5 - 1 Willem II W
12 Sep 2026Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 1 - 5 Ajax W
05 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven L
30 Aug 2026Eredivisie Telstar 0 - 4 Ajax W
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 1 - 1 Feyenoord D
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League FC Porto 0 - 1 PSV Eindhoven W
17 Oct 2026Eredivisie ADO Den Haag 2 - 1 PSV Eindhoven L
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig 1 - 0 PSV Eindhoven L
09 Oct 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 2 - 0 Heerenveen W
20 Sep 2026Eredivisie Twente 3 - 2 PSV Eindhoven L
13 Sep 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 4 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam W
10 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League PSV Eindhoven 1 - 1 Shakhtar Donetsk D
05 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven W
30 Aug 2026Eredivisie Utrecht 1 - 6 PSV Eindhoven W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ajax Draw PSV Eindhoven
Value spotted: PSV Eindhoven win at 2.42 (model 67% vs market 40%)

Most likely scores

1-2 7.5%
1-3 7.5%
1-4 5.6%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 5.6%
0-2 5%

Expected goals: 1.5 Ajax · 3 PSV Eindhoven

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams score73%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
41%
Form
59%
35%
Attack
65%
71%
Defence
29%
26%
Goal model
74%
75%
Head to head
25%
59%
Goals
41%
51%
Overall
48%

Season numbers

Eredivisie 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
4
0
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
3
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
Ajax PSV Eindhoven

Side by side

Ajax PSV Eindhoven
3 Played 4
2 Won 3
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
2.7 Goals scored per game 3.8
0.7 Goals conceded per game 1.3
2 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 3.5 / 4
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 0
0-4 Biggest win 5-1
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 1/2

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven: preview and prediction

Ajax host PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands Eredivisie (Regular Season - 5) on Saturday, 5th September 2026 at 19:00 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam. Ajax sit 2nd in the table and PSV Eindhoven 3rd.

Ajax are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-W). PSV Eindhoven have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Ajax won 2, PSV Eindhoven won 3 and 4 ended level. These games average 3.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Ajax and 3 for PSV Eindhoven. It gives PSV Eindhoven the edge (17% home win, 15% draw, 67% away win), 81% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Home or Away. We also like Over 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Home or Away.

Who will win Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven are favourites: our model gives Ajax 17%, the draw 15% and PSV Eindhoven 67%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 73% chance in our model, and it happened in 78% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.5 goals in total, with a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 5th September 2026 at 19:00 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.

Who is the referee?

Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands is in charge of this game.