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Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, H2H & Stats

Netherlands: Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8
Ajax

Ajax

2nd in table
DLWWW
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 1
NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

12th in table
DDDWD
7' T. Arokodare
17' Jorthy Mokio
19' T. Chery (Penalty)
33' Bryan Linssen
54' Gabriel Brás
67' Abdellah Ouazane
Saturday, 10 October 2026
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Ajax wins
4Draws
1NEC Nijmegen wins
2.6Goals per game
67%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
21 Feb 2026Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen
20 Dec 2025Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 2 - 2 Ajax
11 May 2025Eredivisie Ajax 0 - 3 NEC Nijmegen
01 Dec 2024Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 1 - 2 Ajax
18 Feb 2024Eredivisie Ajax 2 - 2 NEC Nijmegen
03 Dec 2023Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 1 - 2 Ajax
05 Mar 2023Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 0 NEC Nijmegen
08 Jan 2023Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 1 - 1 Ajax
23 Apr 2022Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 0 - 1 Ajax

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Feyenoord 10730 32:11 +21 24 DWWWW
2 Ajax 10631 29:13 +16 21 WWDDW
3 PSV Eindhoven 10622 28:13 +15 20 DLWLW
4 Twente 10622 19:10 +9 20 WLDWW
5 AZ Alkmaar 10622 20:12 +8 20 LDLWD
6 Fortuna Sittard 10532 17:17 0 18 WDDWL
7 Heerenveen 10433 18:13 +5 15 WWLWD
8 Groningen 10433 24:21 +3 15 DLWWD
9 GO Ahead Eagles 10352 23:23 0 14 WLDDD
10 Cambuur 10334 19:22 -3 12 WDWDW
11 Utrecht 10334 17:27 -10 12 DWWLW
12 NEC Nijmegen 10253 17:18 -1 11 DDDDL
13 Excelsior 10325 16:19 -3 11 LLLDL
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10235 17:24 -7 9 LWDLL
15 PEC Zwolle 10226 11:23 -12 8 DWLLL
16 Telstar 10136 12:21 -9 6 LLDLD
17 ADO Den Haag 10136 13:23 -10 6 LWDDL
18 Willem II 10028 10:32 -22 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Eredivisie
1 S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles 8goals 2assists 10apps
2 B. WillumssonGroningen 8goals 0assists 10apps
3 J. BrandtAjax 6goals 2assists 10apps
4 J. TrenskowHeerenveen 6goals 2assists 10apps
5 M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam 6goals 1assists 10apps
6 G. TilPSV Eindhoven 6goals 1assists 10apps
7 Nacho FerriFeyenoord 6goals 1assists 9apps
8 A. Hadj-MoussaFeyenoord 6goals 1assists 9apps
9 T. van BergenGroningen 6goals 3assists 10apps
10 G. ZechiëlFeyenoord 5goals 4assists 10apps

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 2 Ajax W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Ajax 2 - 0 Atalanta W
18 Oct 2026Eredivisie Groningen 2 - 5 Ajax W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League HNK Hajduk Split 2 - 1 Ajax L
10 Oct 2026Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen D
19 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 2 - 2 Excelsior D
15 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 5 - 1 Willem II W
12 Sep 2026Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 1 - 5 Ajax W
05 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven L
30 Aug 2026Eredivisie Telstar 0 - 4 Ajax W
1 W 6 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 2 - 2 Groningen D
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 4 NEC Nijmegen W
18 Oct 2026Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 2 - 2 Fortuna Sittard D
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League NEC Nijmegen 1 - 1 Levski Sofia D
10 Oct 2026Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen D
20 Sep 2026Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 1 - 1 GO Ahead Eagles D
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Juventus 5 - 0 NEC Nijmegen L
12 Sep 2026Eredivisie Cambuur 3 - 0 NEC Nijmegen L
08 Sep 2026Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 2 - 2 Excelsior D
05 Sep 2026Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 1 - 3 Feyenoord L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ajax Draw NEC Nijmegen
Value spotted: NEC Nijmegen win at 8.80 (model 41% vs market 11%)

Most likely scores

2-2 7.3%
1-2 6.9%
2-1 6.8%
1-1 6.4%
2-3 5.2%
3-2 5.1%

Expected goals: 2.1 Ajax · 2.15 NEC Nijmegen

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals61%
Both teams score77%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
71%
Attack
29%
59%
Defence
41%
51%
Goal model
49%
50%
Head to head
50%
44%
Goals
56%
57%
Overall
43%

Season numbers

Eredivisie 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
1
6
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
2
5
61-75'
2
6
76-90'
3
2
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
2
Ajax NEC Nijmegen

Side by side

Ajax NEC Nijmegen
7 Played 7
4 Won 2
2 Drawn 2
1 Lost 3
3 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.9
2.5 / 3.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 2.3
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 2
5-1 Biggest win 1-4
1-3 Biggest defeat 1-3
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: preview and prediction

Ajax host NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands Eredivisie (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 20:00 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam. Ajax sit 2nd in the table and NEC Nijmegen 12th.

Ajax are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-W). NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten, with 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-D-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Ajax won 4, NEC Nijmegen won 1 and 4 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 2.1 goals for Ajax and 2.15 for NEC Nijmegen. It gives NEC Nijmegen the edge (39% home win, 20% draw, 41% away win), 79% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Our pick was Home Win. We also like BTTS Yes, Over 0.5, Over 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Home Win.

Who will win Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

NEC Nijmegen are favourites: our model gives Ajax 39%, the draw 20% and NEC Nijmegen 41%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 77% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.3 goals in total, with a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 20:00 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.

Who is the referee?

Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands is in charge of this game.