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AFC Hornchurch vs Torquay Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: National League - South · South Promotion Play-offs - Final
AFC Hornchurch

AFC Hornchurch

2nd in table
WLLLW
Full time
3:2
HT 1 - 1
Torquay

Torquay

3rd in table
WLDLW
6' D. Moore
45' D. Poleon (Penalty)
78' D. Moore
90+2' H. Hearn
117' S. Ling
Saturday, 9 May 2026

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
2AFC Hornchurch wins
0Draws
2Torquay wins
3Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
31 Jan 2026National League - South AFC Hornchurch 1 - 2 Torquay
01 Nov 2025National League - South Torquay 1 - 2 AFC Hornchurch
15 Feb 2025National League - South Torquay 2 - 1 AFC Hornchurch
26 Oct 2024National League - South AFC Hornchurch 2 - 1 Torquay

National League - South table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Worthing 4625912 99:52 +47 84 WLWWW
2 AFC Hornchurch 46231211 81:64 +17 81 DWDWL
3 Torquay 4624814 87:62 +25 80 WLWWW
4 Dorking Wanderers 46231013 78:61 +17 79 DLLLL
5 Hemel Hempstead Town 46231013 55:48 +7 79 DWWDL
6 Weston-super-Mare 4623914 61:48 +13 78 DDWWW
7 Maidenhead 46221113 66:41 +25 77 DWDWD
8 Maidstone Utd 46221113 72:50 +22 77 WWDWW
9 Ebbsfleet United 46221113 73:54 +19 77 LWLWW
10 Chelmsford City 46211015 73:62 +11 73 LWDDD
11 Chesham United 4621916 68:55 +13 72 DLLWW
12 AFC Totton 4620620 60:79 -19 66 LWWWL
13 Dagenham & Redbridge 46171316 61:62 -1 64 LDLDL
14 Tonbridge Angels 46161218 66:65 +1 60 LWWDL
15 Horsham 46151417 53:54 -1 59 WLLDL
16 Slough Town 4615922 69:87 -18 54 WLLLD
17 Salisbury 46141121 50:65 -15 53 DWLLL
18 Hampton & Richmond 46141121 56:72 -16 53 WLDLW
19 Farnborough 46141121 72:92 -20 53 WLWWL
20 Dover 46131122 60:75 -15 50 DLLLL
21 Bath City 46101323 50:77 -27 43 LWLWL
22 Chippenham Town 4611926 53:80 -27 42 LLDWL
23 Enfield Town 4691324 55:82 -27 40 LWLDL
24 Eastbourne Borough 469928 59:90 -31 36 WLLDL

Top scorers

National League - South
1 Luke HunterAFC Fylde 1goals 0assists 1apps
2 Harley HamiltonHereford 1goals 0assists 1apps
3 Keenan QuansahHereford 1goals 0assists 1apps
4 George CantrillAlfreton Town 1goals 0assists 1apps
5 Joel SullivanBath City 0goals 0assists 1apps
6 Danny GreensladeBath City 0goals 0assists 1apps
7 Nathan NewallAlfreton Town 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026National League Cup AFC Hornchurch 2 - 0 West Ham United U21 W
30 Oct 2026National League AFC Fylde 3 - 1 AFC Hornchurch L
27 Oct 2026National League AFC Hornchurch 1 - 2 Yeovil Town L
24 Oct 2026National League Hartlepool 2 - 1 AFC Hornchurch L
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Uxbridge 0 - 4 AFC Hornchurch W
10 Oct 2026National League AFC Hornchurch 2 - 0 Eastleigh W
06 Oct 2026National League Cup AFC Hornchurch 1 - 1 Fulham U21 D
03 Oct 2026National League Harrogate Town 3 - 0 AFC Hornchurch L
29 Sep 2026National League AFC Hornchurch 2 - 1 Aldershot Town W
26 Sep 2026National League Altrincham 3 - 0 AFC Hornchurch L
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026National League - South Walton & Hersham 0 - 3 Torquay W
27 Oct 2026National League - South AFC Totton 1 - 0 Torquay L
24 Oct 2026National League - South Torquay 1 - 1 Maidstone Utd D
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Torquay 0 - 1 Oxford City L
10 Oct 2026National League - South Torquay 5 - 1 Slough Town W
03 Oct 2026FA Cup Tonbridge Angels 0 - 1 Torquay W
26 Sep 2026National League - South Billericay Town 3 - 0 Torquay L
19 Sep 2026FA Cup Torquay 6 - 1 AFC Stoneham W
12 Sep 2026National League - South Torquay 2 - 2 Dorking Wanderers D
08 Sep 2026National League - South Maidenhead 0 - 4 Torquay W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
AFC Hornchurch Draw Torquay
Value spotted: AFC Hornchurch win at 2.58 (model 44% vs market 35%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.8%
1-0 9.4%
2-1 9.1%
0-1 7.6%
1-2 7.4%
2-0 7.3%

Expected goals: 1.55 AFC Hornchurch · 1.25 Torquay

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams score56%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
48%
Form
52%
36%
Attack
64%
64%
Defence
36%
54%
Goal model
46%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
50%
Overall
49%

Season numbers

National League - South 2025

When the goals come

9
0-15'
17
15
16-30'
10
16
31-45'
16
19
46-60'
16
7
61-75'
11
10
76-90'
12
12
0-15'
14
9
16-30'
13
2
31-45'
7
11
46-60'
9
11
61-75'
10
13
76-90'
11
AFC Hornchurch Torquay

Side by side

AFC Hornchurch Torquay
47 Played 47
24 Won 25
12 Drawn 8
11 Lost 14
1.8 Goals scored per game 1.9
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.7 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 2.4 / 1.5
13 Clean sheets 9
8 Failed to score 8
4 Longest winning run 5
3-0 Biggest win 7-0
2-3 Biggest defeat 0-5
4/4 Penalties scored 3/3

AFC Hornchurch vs Torquay: preview and prediction

AFC Hornchurch host Torquay in the England National League - South (South Promotion Play-offs - Final) on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 15:00. AFC Hornchurch sit 2nd in the table and Torquay 3rd.

AFC Hornchurch are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-W). Torquay have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-W).

In the last 4 meetings, AFC Hornchurch won 2, Torquay won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for AFC Hornchurch and 1.25 for Torquay. It gives AFC Hornchurch the edge (44% home win, 25% draw, 31% away win), 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.44.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

AFC Hornchurch vs Torquay FAQs

What is the best prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Torquay?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.44 odds).

Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Torquay?

AFC Hornchurch are favourites: our model gives AFC Hornchurch 44%, the draw 25% and Torquay 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 56% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is AFC Hornchurch vs Torquay?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 15:00.