Adelaide United vs Auckland Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: A-League · Semi-finals
Adelaide United

Adelaide United

2nd in table
LWLWW
Full time
0:3
HT 0 - 1
Auckland

Auckland

3rd in table
WWLLL
4' Hiroki Sakai
44' J. Girdwood-Reich
58' S. Cosgrove (Penalty)
64' Louis Verstraete
86' L. Rogerson
90+4' Ethan Alagich
Friday, 15 May 2026
Coopers Stadium, Adelaide
D. Elder

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
0Adelaide United wins
4Draws
1Auckland wins
3.8Goals per game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
09 May 2026A-League Auckland 1 - 1 Adelaide United
03 Apr 2026A-League Adelaide United 1 - 1 Auckland
01 Nov 2025A-League Auckland 2 - 1 Adelaide United
01 Mar 2025A-League Auckland 4 - 4 Adelaide United
22 Jan 2025A-League Adelaide United 2 - 2 Auckland

A-League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Newcastle Jets 261538 55:39 +16 48 WDDLW
2 Adelaide United 261277 46:36 +10 43 WWDDW
3 Auckland 261196 42:29 +13 42 DLDDL
4 Melbourne Victory 261178 44:33 +11 40 WDDLW
5 Sydney 261169 33:25 +8 39 DDWDL
6 Melbourne City 261088 33:33 0 38 LWWWW
7 Macarthur 269710 37:44 -7 34 WLLWW
8 Wellington Phoenix 269611 36:48 -12 33 LWLWW
9 Central Coast Mariners 268810 35:42 -7 32 LWDLD
10 Perth Glory 268711 32:39 -7 31 WDWDD
11 Brisbane Roar 266812 27:36 -9 26 LLDDL
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 265615 27:43 -16 21 LLLLL

Top scorers

A-League
1 S. CosgroveAuckland 12goals 4assists 29apps
2 L. JovanovićAdelaide United 11goals 3assists 24apps
3 E. AdamsNewcastle Jets 10goals 4assists 23apps
4 J. RandallAuckland 9goals 8assists 30apps
5 C. TaylorNewcastle Jets 9goals 3assists 23apps
6 L. BrookAuckland 9goals 2assists 30apps
7 I. EzeWellington Phoenix 9goals 1assists 25apps
8 M. CaputoMelbourne City 8goals 1assists 27apps
9 L. RoseNewcastle Jets 8goals 1assists 26apps
10 X. BertoncelloNewcastle Jets 7goals 1assists 27apps

Recent form

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Two BG Pathum United 1 - 2 Adelaide United W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Perth Glory 1 - 3 Adelaide United W
27 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Perth Glory 2 - 0 Adelaide United L
17 Sep 2026AFC Champions League Two Adelaide United 3 - 0 Wofoo Tai Po W
11 Aug 2026AFC Champions League Elite Adelaide United 0 - 2 Công An Nhân Dân L
30 Jul 2026Australia Cup South Melbourne 2 - 1 Adelaide United L
20 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs Playford City Patriots 0 - 2 Adelaide United W
14 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs The Cove 0 - 5 Adelaide United W
15 May 2026A-League Adelaide United 0 - 3 Auckland L
09 May 2026A-League Auckland 1 - 1 Adelaide United D
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
19 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Auckland 1 - 3 Western Sydney Wanderers L
26 Aug 2026FIFA Intercontinental Cup Al-Ahli Jeddah 1 - 0 Auckland L
26 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs Auckland 0 - 2 Tottenham L
23 May 2026A-League Auckland 1 - 0 Sydney W
15 May 2026A-League Adelaide United 0 - 3 Auckland W
09 May 2026A-League Auckland 1 - 1 Adelaide United D
02 May 2026A-League Auckland 1 - 1 Melbourne City D
26 Apr 2026A-League Sydney 2 - 2 Auckland D
19 Apr 2026A-League Auckland 0 - 1 Central Coast Mariners L
11 Apr 2026A-League Auckland 2 - 2 Melbourne Victory D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Adelaide United Draw Auckland
Value spotted: Auckland win at 2.95 (model 40% vs market 33%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.6%
1-2 8.7%
0-1 8.3%
2-1 8.1%
1-0 7.7%
0-2 6.2%

Expected goals: 1.4 Adelaide United · 1.5 Auckland

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
60%
Form
40%
53%
Attack
47%
58%
Defence
42%
41%
Goal model
59%
36%
Head to head
64%
47%
Goals
53%
49%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

A-League 2025

When the goals come

6
0-15'
8
4
16-30'
7
7
31-45'
10
5
46-60'
6
13
61-75'
6
12
76-90'
5
6
0-15'
4
7
16-30'
6
4
31-45'
6
11
46-60'
4
5
61-75'
5
4
76-90'
8
Adelaide United Auckland

Side by side

Adelaide United Auckland
27 Played 28
12 Won 12
8 Drawn 10
7 Lost 6
1.7 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.1
1.9 / 1.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 1.7
3 Clean sheets 7
2 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 3
4-0 Biggest win 3-0
0-4 Biggest defeat 1-3
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Adelaide United vs Auckland: preview and prediction

Adelaide United host Auckland in the Australia A-League (Semi-finals) on Friday, 15th May 2026 at 10:35 at Coopers Stadium, Adelaide. Adelaide United sit 2nd in the table and Auckland 3rd.

Adelaide United are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W). Auckland are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-L).

In the last 5 meetings, Adelaide United won 0, Auckland won 1 and 4 ended level. These games average 3.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 60%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Adelaide United and 1.5 for Auckland. It gives Auckland the edge (35% home win, 25% draw, 40% away win), 55% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.60. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Adelaide United vs Auckland FAQs

What is the best prediction for Adelaide United vs Auckland?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.60 odds).

Who will win Adelaide United vs Auckland?

Auckland are favourites: our model gives Adelaide United 35%, the draw 25% and Auckland 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Adelaide United vs Auckland?

Kick-off is on Friday, 15th May 2026 at 10:35 at Coopers Stadium, Adelaide.

Who is the referee?

D. Elder is in charge of this game.