RaraBet
Home Pricing About Partners News Contact Us
Register Login

Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: South Australia NPL · Regular Season - 13
Adelaide City

Adelaide City

1st in table
WWWWD
Full time
4:1
HT 2 - 0
Sturt Lions

Sturt Lions

9th in table
DWDDL
20' D. Costanzo
25' A. Kasumovic
46' J. Diamantis
52' D. Bressan
72' D. Costanzo
Friday, 5 June 2026
Adelaide City Park

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
5Adelaide City wins
1Draws
1Sturt Lions wins
2.6Goals per game
29%Both scored
43%Over 2.5
18 Apr 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 0 Adelaide City
17 Jun 2023South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 2 - 2 Adelaide City
01 Apr 2023South Australia NPL Adelaide City 2 - 0 Sturt Lions
30 Jul 2022South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 4 Adelaide City
30 Apr 2022South Australia NPL Adelaide City 3 - 0 Sturt Lions
01 Sep 2021South Australia NPL Adelaide City 2 - 0 Sturt Lions
08 May 2021South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 0 - 1 Adelaide City

South Australia NPL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Adelaide City 221462 44:16 +28 48 WWWWW
2 West Torrens Birkalla 221435 54:29 +25 45 LWDWW
3 MetroStars 221354 53:23 +30 44 LDWWW
4 Playford City Patriots 221057 42:31 +11 35 LLWWL
5 FK Beograd 221039 35:30 +5 33 LLLWL
6 Croydon Kings 22868 46:41 +5 30 LLDLD
7 Adelaide United II 22787 33:32 +1 29 LWDLW
8 Campbelltown City 22859 35:36 -1 29 WWLDW
9 Sturt Lions 228311 35:36 -1 27 LDDWD
10 West Adelaide 22679 40:44 -4 25 LLWWD
11 Adelaide Comets 225512 25:38 -13 20 WDLWL
12 Para Hills Knights 220220 16:102 -86 2 LLLLL

Recent form

8 W 2 D 0 L in the last 10
11 Sep 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide City 2 - 2 West Torrens Birkalla D
05 Sep 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide City 6 - 0 Playford City Patriots W
29 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Playford City Patriots 1 - 2 Adelaide City W
15 Aug 2026South Australia NPL FK Beograd 0 - 3 Adelaide City W
07 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide City 1 - 0 Playford City Patriots W
31 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Campbelltown City 0 - 4 Adelaide City W
25 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide City 1 - 0 West Torrens Birkalla W
18 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide City 2 - 2 Croydon Kings D
04 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide City 2 - 0 Para Hills Knights W
26 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide Comets 0 - 1 Adelaide City W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
15 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 3 Campbelltown City L
11 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 0 - 0 Adelaide Comets D
08 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Croydon Kings 1 - 1 Sturt Lions D
25 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide United II 2 - 3 Sturt Lions W
18 Jul 2026South Australia NPL West Adelaide 0 - 0 Sturt Lions D
04 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 0 Playford City Patriots W
26 Jun 2026South Australia NPL West Torrens Birkalla 4 - 1 Sturt Lions L
20 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 6 - 0 Para Hills Knights W
13 Jun 2026South Australia NPL MetroStars 1 - 0 Sturt Lions L
05 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide City 4 - 1 Sturt Lions L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Adelaide City Draw Sturt Lions
Value spotted: Sturt Lions win at 5.33 (model 35% vs market 17%)

Most likely scores

1-1 8.8%
2-1 8.4%
1-2 7.5%
2-2 7.1%
3-1 5.3%
1-0 5.2%

Expected goals: 1.9 Adelaide City · 1.7 Sturt Lions

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams score69%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
73%
Form
27%
55%
Attack
45%
67%
Defence
33%
52%
Goal model
48%
71%
Head to head
29%
73%
Goals
27%
65%
Overall
34%

Season numbers

South Australia NPL 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
5
16-30'
1
5
31-45'
6
7
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
6
2
0-15'
6
2
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
6
4
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
3
Adelaide City Sturt Lions

Side by side

Adelaide City Sturt Lions
12 Played 12
6 Won 5
4 Drawn 0
2 Lost 7
1.9 Goals scored per game 1.8
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1.8
2.4 / 1.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 2
2 Clean sheets 2
3 Failed to score 3
2 Longest winning run 2
4-1 Biggest win 4-3
1-0 Biggest defeat 2-4
0/0 Penalties scored 0/1

Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions: preview and prediction

Adelaide City host Sturt Lions in the Australia South Australia NPL (Regular Season - 13) on Friday, 5th June 2026 at 11:00 at Adelaide City Park. Adelaide City sit 1st in the table and Sturt Lions 9th.

Adelaide City are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-D). Sturt Lions have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-D-D-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Adelaide City won 5, Sturt Lions won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% and over 2.5 goals in 43%.

Our goal model expects about 1.9 goals for Adelaide City and 1.7 for Sturt Lions. It gives Adelaide City the edge (43% home win, 22% draw, 35% away win), 70% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.48. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions FAQs

What is the best prediction for Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.48 odds).

Who will win Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?

Adelaide City are favourites: our model gives Adelaide City 43%, the draw 22% and Sturt Lions 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 69% chance in our model, and it happened in 29% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.6 goals in total, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?

Kick-off is on Friday, 5th June 2026 at 11:00 at Adelaide City Park.